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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Gremio Fluminense
Tipps Gremio Fluminense Copa Libertadores 14/08/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
Draw or Gremio RS wins the match.
1. Statistically, Gremio RS has a better performance at home, winning 60% of their last 5 matches and drawing 20% of the time. This fact shows a certain consistency and control of games on their home turf compared to Fluminense, who has only won 40% of their last 5 away matches.
2. Based on the calculated probabilities, there is a higher chance (76.34%) that the match will end either in a Gremio RS win or a draw. This demonstrates a strong tendency towards this outcome, and it is recommended to follow this probability.
3. Analysis of Gremio RS’s recent home matches shows a relatively solid defense, conceding only 8 goals in total over 5 matches. In contrast, Fluminense appears less effective in attack away from home, scoring only 5 goals in total over 5 matches. This difference gives Gremio RS an advantage.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
Under 2.5 goals in the match
1. The teams’ offensive and defensive performances: Gremio RS has a 36% offensive potential at home with an average of 1 goal scored per match, while Fluminense has a 50% offensive potential away from home with an average of 1.4 goals scored per match. Additionally, their defensive potentials are 14% and 36% respectively. These statistics suggest that a high number of goals is unlikely.
2. Previous matches: The recent home matches of Gremio RS and away matches of Fluminense have mostly produced less than 2.5 goals. Let’s look at the results for Gremio RS: 0-0, 1-0, 2-0, 3-1, 0-2 and for Fluminense: 3-2, 0-1, 0-1, 1-1, 1-0.
3. Betting odds: The odds for “Under 2.5 goals in the match” are 1.62, confirming the higher probability of this outcome compared to “Over 2.5 goals in the match”, which has odds of 2.25.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams score: Yes
1. The offensive and defensive statistics of both teams: On average, Gremio RS scores 1 goal per match at home, and Fluminense scores 1.4 goals per match away. Additionally, Gremio RS concedes on average 0.4 goals per match at home and Fluminense concedes 1 goal per match away, suggesting a potential for each team to score.
2. The previously calculated probability: The probability of both teams scoring in this match was estimated at 54.84%, which is higher than the opposite outcome (45.16%), supporting the relevance of the prediction.
3. The teams’ recent performances: By examining the last five home matches of Gremio RS and away matches of Fluminense, we can see that both teams have a tendency to score, which is favorable for the prediction of both teams scoring in this match.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
Under 2.5 goals in the match
1. The statistics of the last matches of Gremio RS and Fluminense show that they have a low offensive potential, 36% and 50% respectively, and both teams have an average goal per match of less than 2.
2. Recent matches between these two teams have generally featured few goals, as suggested by the scores of their latest matches.
3. The odds offered for the bet ‘Under 2.5 goals in the match’ are 1.62, which is potentially profitable given the previous factors and the statistical probability of this outcome.
Bet on the exact result
Gremio RS 1-1 Fluminense
1. Historical statistics show that in 20% of cases, Gremio RS’s home matches and Fluminense’s away matches end in a draw.
2. With Gremio RS’s offensive potential estimated at 36% and Fluminense’s at 50%, the probability of each team scoring exactly one goal is quite plausible.
3. Most odds indicate a tendency towards low scores, with goal probabilities in the match often below 2.5, and a rate of 54.84% for both teams to score during the match. These figures seem aligned with a potential score of 1-1.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
Gremio RS, at home, have a strong performance with victories in 60% of their recent matches and a draw in 20% of cases. The team has scored 6 goals and conceded 8, highlighting a slight defensive issue. Fluminense, when playing away, has fewer wins, 40%, but an identical draw percentage, 20%. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 6, not too different from Gremio.
However, fairness seems to be more present in their game. Gremio RS scores an average of 1 goal per home match and concedes 0.4. This results in an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 14%, a rather defensive performance. Fluminense scores 1.4 goals on their travels and concedes 1, resulting in an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 36%, a more balanced performance.
The probability of Gremio RS winning is 43.01%, with odds of 2.20, a draw is at 33.33%, with odds of 3.10, and a Fluminense victory stands at 23.66%, with odds of 3.45. Betting on a draw or a Gremio RS victory has a 76.34% probability, with odds of 1.30.
More than 1.5 goals in the match have a 72.58% chance of happening, with odds of 1.42. Furthermore, less than 3.5 goals in the match is likely at 84.95% with odds of 1.22, a fairly safe prediction.
Both teams to score holds a probability of 54.84%, with odds of 1.91. In conclusion, Gremio RS and Fluminense seem set to deliver an intense match with likely involvement on the scoresheet on both sides.
The potential number of goals
The analysis of the last five matches for Gremio RS shows a 60% home win rate. However, Gremio RS scored 6 goals and conceded 8 goals in these matches.
For Fluminense, the last five away matches ended with a 40% win rate, scoring 5 goals and conceding 6 goals.
Furthermore, Gremio RS has a 36% home offensive potential, averaging one goal per match, but their defensive potential is low at 14%.
Fluminense, on the other hand, is more offensive away from home with a 50% success rate and averages 1.4 goals per match. Their defensive performance is superior to Gremio, standing at 36%.
In terms of the final result, Gremio RS has a higher chance of winning at 43.01%, followed by a possible draw at 33.33%. Fluminense has a 23.66% probability of winning.
Regarding the total goals, there is a high probability (72.58%) of having over 1.5 goals in this match. Additionally, it is highly likely (84.95%) that there will be fewer than 3.5 goals during the game.
Based on my estimations, there is a 54.84% chance that both teams will score during the match.
In summary, the match between Gremio RS and Fluminense is expected to be closely contested, with a slight advantage for Gremio RS. Expect a low-scoring but competitive match.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
In conclusion, based on the analyses and statistics presented, we could expect a tight but low-scoring match between Gremio RS and Fluminense. Gremio RS, playing at home, has a slight edge and a strong chance of winning or drawing. The total number of goals in the match is very likely to be under 2.5, and there is a moderate chance of both teams scoring. It is important to remember that sports betting involves risks. While analysis and statistical data can support decision-making and betting direction, the final outcome is always uncertain. Therefore, bettors are encouraged to gamble responsibly.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Gremio against Fluminense on 14/08/2024
1. Statistically, Gremio RS has a better performance at home, winning 60% of their last 5 matches and drawing 20% of the time. This fact shows a certain consistency and control of games on their home turf compared to Fluminense, who has only won 40% of their last 5 away matches.
2. Based on the calculated probabilities, there is a higher chance (76.34%) that the match will end either in a Gremio RS win or a draw. This demonstrates a strong tendency towards this outcome, and it is recommended to follow this probability.
3. Analysis of Gremio RS’s recent home matches shows a relatively solid defense, conceding only 8 goals in total over 5 matches. In contrast, Fluminense appears less effective in attack away from home, scoring only 5 goals in total over 5 matches. This difference gives Gremio RS an advantage.
Live Match: Get all the details about the Gremio vs Fluminense match!
To not miss anything from the Gremio vs Fluminense match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 14/08/2024 in the Copa Libertadores live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Gremio vs Fluminense
Lineups Gremio
Lineups Fluminense
Match Highlights Gremio vs Fluminense on 14/08/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Gremio vs Fluminense match on 14/08/2024 at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Gremio and Fluminense
All statistics for the match between Gremio and Fluminense will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Gremio against Fluminense!
Form state of Gremio in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Gremio has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Gremio has a form rating of %.
Form state of Fluminense in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Fluminense has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Fluminense has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Gremio against Fluminense!
Average goals scored by Gremio in the current season.
Goals scored by Gremio in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Gremio
Gremio has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Gremio in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Gremio
Gremio has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Fluminense in the current season
Goals scored by Fluminense in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Fluminense
Fluminense has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Fluminense in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Fluminense
Fluminense has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Gremio and Fluminense, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Gremio vs Fluminense: Probabilities for the outcome
1. The teams’ offensive and defensive performances: Gremio RS has a 36% offensive potential at home with an average of 1 goal scored per match, while Fluminense has a 50% offensive potential away from home with an average of 1.4 goals scored per match. Additionally, their defensive potentials are 14% and 36% respectively. These statistics suggest that a high number of goals is unlikely.
2. Previous matches: The recent home matches of Gremio RS and away matches of Fluminense have mostly produced less than 2.5 goals. Let’s look at the results for Gremio RS: 0-0, 1-0, 2-0, 3-1, 0-2 and for Fluminense: 3-2, 0-1, 0-1, 1-1, 1-0.
3. Betting odds: The odds for “Under 2.5 goals in the match” are 1.62, confirming the higher probability of this outcome compared to “Over 2.5 goals in the match”, which has odds of 2.25.
Forecast results from winflix for Gremio and Fluminense!
The last 5 winning predictions für Gremio
The last 5 winning predictions für Fluminense
How do I find the best forecast for Gremio Fluminense?
Finding a forecast for the Gremio Fluminense match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Gremio Fluminense on 14/08/2024 in Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira are the team's past performance in the Copa Libertadores, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Gremio at home and Fluminense away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 14/08/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Gremio and Fluminense on 14/08/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Copa Libertadores, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira, Gremio could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Gremio and Fluminense, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Gremio and the away win rate of Fluminense, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 14/08/2024!
The individual performances of players from Gremio and Fluminense can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 14/08/2024 at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Gremio and Fluminense, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Gremio or Fluminense on 14/08/2024.
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