Tipps Guadalajara Chivas Club Queretaro Liga MX 21/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Queretaro wins the match.”

1. Queretaro has performed exceptionally well away from home, with a win rate of 80% in their last 5 matches, compared to Guadalajara’s 20% home win rate. This clearly indicates Queretaro’s better form, increasing their chances of winning.

2. Queretaro has an offensive potential of 57% shown by their average of 1.6 goals per away match, higher than Guadalajara’s 43% home offensive potential. It is therefore likely that they will score more goals than Guadalajara.

3. Queretaro’s recent away matches demonstrate their ability to beat teams despite playing away. This is evidenced by their results against Leon, Atlas, Pachuca, and Puebla, where they scored 2 goals each time. In contrast, Guadalajara struggles to win at home, as shown by their draws against Atlas and America and their loss to Leon.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Queretaro has a strong offensive record away from home, averaging 1.6 goals per game in their last 5 matches. Additionally, they have managed to score in each of their last 5 away matches.

2. Guadalajara, while having a less impressive home record in terms of wins, has a 43% home scoring potential, indicating they are likely to score at least one goal during the match.

3. Both teams have relatively weak defenses, with Guadalajara conceding 6 goals in their recent home matches and Queretaro conceding 11 goals in their recent away matches. This suggests a high-scoring game is quite probable.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Historical data shows a trend for both teams to score in their matches, with Queretaro scoring in each of their last 5 away matches and Guadalajara scoring in 2 of their last 5 home matches.
2. The offensive and defensive statistics of both teams reveal that they have average goals scored and conceded per match exceeding 1. This trend suggests that it is likely for both teams to score during the match.
3. The calculated probability for the event of both teams scoring is 59.9%, slightly higher than the probability of them not scoring (40.1%). This statistic indicates a higher risk associated with the hypothesis of both teams not scoring, therefore supporting the prediction that both teams will score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Queretaro wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Guadalajara 1-2 Queretaro

1. Over their last 5 away matches, Queretaro has shown impressive form with an 80% win rate, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match. This indicates a high likelihood that Queretaro will score at least one goal in the upcoming match.

2. Guadalajara, despite playing at home, has only won 20% of their last 5 matches, with an average of 1.2 goals per match. Their defense appears vulnerable, conceding an average of 0.4 goals per match. There is therefore a strong likelihood that Guadalajara will concede at least one goal.

3. The statistics suggest a high probability for a match with over 1.5 goals (77.6%) and under 3.5 goals (71.88%). Combining this with the teams’ success rates, a final score of 1-2 seems likely.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Guadalajara, at home, has struggled to win recently. Rare win rate (20%) and weak offensive potential (43%). On the other hand, Queretaro is strong away. 80% recent win rate. Tendency to score (1.6 goals on average).

Both teams show a defensive tendency. Guadalajara concedes 0.4 goals on average. Queretaro concedes 1 goal on average. Information favors the bet “Under 2.5 goals in the match” with odds of 2.05.

Regarding the final result, it’s balanced. Guadalajara has a 39.06% chance, Queretaro 31.25%. The draw has a probability of 29.69%. Interesting odds: Guadalajara to win at 2.45. Draw at 3.30. Queretaro to win at 2.85. Tough choices.

If looking to play it safe, the bet “Draw or Guadalajara wins the match” has a 68.75% chance of success. However, the return is low at odds of 1.44.

More than 1.5 goals in the match is also likely with a 77.6% chance at odds of 1.22. The option “Both teams to score” is also worth considering at 1.60, with a 59.9% chance of success.

In the end, based on current form, Queretaro seems to have a slight advantage despite Guadalajara playing at home. However, make sure to thoroughly analyze these information before betting.

The potential number of goals

Guadalajara has won 20% of home matches and scored 4 goals in 5 matches. Queretaro, playing away, has an 80% win rate and scored 10 goals.

Guadalajara’s defense is struggling a bit. They have conceded 6 goals in 5 home matches, averaging 1.2 goals per game.

Queretaro is even more porous. They have conceded 11 goals away from home, averaging 1.6 goals per game.

Guadalajara’s home offensive potential is at 43%, while Queretaro’s away potential is better at 57%.

In terms of defense, Guadalajara has a 14% potential, while Queretaro is stronger at 36%.

The prediction gives a 39.06% chance of Guadalajara winning, 29.69% for a draw, and 31.25% for a Queretaro victory.

Note that a match with over 1.5 goals is likely at 77.6%. Both teams scoring has a probability of 59.9%.

Considering these statistics, Queretaro is more likely to score. For a safe bet, it is advisable to favor a match with over 1.5 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Guadalajara and Queretaro presents many interesting betting opportunities. Queretaro, with their strong away performance, seems to have a slight advantage to win the match. However, with a calculated probability of 59.9%, the bet “Both teams to score: yes” could be a safe option to consider. Furthermore, a match with over 2.5 goals is highly suggested by the data, offering another potentially lucrative betting possibility. As always, it is crucial to take into account all factors and game analysis before placing your bet to maximize your chances of success.