Tipps Guadalajara Chivas San Jose Earthquakes Leagues Cup 28/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Guadalajara wins the match.

1. Guadalajara has a better home record in their last 5 matches compared to SJ Earthquakes away, with Guadalajara winning 60% of their games compared to SJ Earthquakes’ 0%.
2. Guadalajara has shown a stronger defensive performance at home, conceding an average of 1 goal per game while SJ Earthquakes concede an average of 1.4 goals in their away matches.
3. The statistical probability of Guadalajara winning the match is higher (48.77%) compared to SJ Earthquakes (30.25%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. The past offensive performances of Guadalajara and SJ Earthquakes have been relatively weak. In their respective last 5 matches, Guadalajara has scored an average of 1.2 goals per home match, while SJ Earthquakes has only scored 0.4 goals per away match. Therefore, both teams average 1.6 goals per match, which is below 2.5.

2. The past defensive performances of both teams have also been strong. Guadalajara has conceded an average of 1 goal per match in their last 5 home matches, while SJ Earthquakes has conceded an average of 1.4 goals per match in their last 5 away matches. The probabilities show that 67.28% of matches have fewer than 3.5 goals and 87.04% of matches have fewer than 4.5 goals.

3. Finally, considering the recent match history of both teams, the majority of Guadalajara’s home matches and SJ Earthquakes’ away matches have resulted in a total of goals scored less than 2.5. For example, 4 out of the last 5 home matches for Guadalajara had less than 2.5 goals, while this was the case for all 5 of SJ Earthquakes’ last away matches.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Guadalajara has only conceded goals in 40% of its last 5 home matches, while SJ Earthquakes has only scored in 40% of its last 5 away matches. Guadalajara’s defense is statistically superior to SJ Earthquakes’ attack, suggesting that Guadalajara may be able to keep a clean sheet.

2. SJ Earthquakes’ offensive statistics are weak away from home, with an average of 0.4 goals per match in their last 5 matches. This, combined with Guadalajara’s strong home defense, suggests a low potential for SJ Earthquakes to score.

3. The odds of “Both teams to score – No” at 2.35 are relatively high compared to other odds presented. This could indicate that bookmakers also believe that one or both teams will struggle to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“SJ Earthquakes wins the match.”

Bet on the exact result

Guadalajara 1-0 SJ Earthquakes

1. The home match history of Guadalajara shows a solid record, with a win rate of 60%. Their average goal frequency at home is 1.2 goals per match, aligning with the predicted score of 1-0.

2. SJ Earthquakes’ away performances are poor, winning in 0% of cases. Additionally, they only average 0.4 goals per match, often leaving them goalless on their travels.

3. The defensive statistics of Guadalajara at home and SJ Earthquakes away support the idea of a low-scoring match. Guadalajara concedes on average only 1 goal per home match, while SJ Earthquakes concede an average of 1.4 goals per match on their travels.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Guadalajara has a strong home record with a 60% win rate and a solid defense having conceded only 5 goals. With more than half of their matches won and an average of 1.2 goals per game, their form appears to be solid.

On the other hand, SJ Earthquakes show weaker form away from home. They have not won any of their last 5 matches and have conceded 10 goals. They only score an average of 0.4 goals per game, indicating a weak attacking performance.

The highest probability, at 69.75%, is for a draw or a win for Guadalajara. This trend is supported by Guadalajara’s 48.77% win rate compared to the low 30.25% for SJ Earthquakes.

Regarding the number of goals, focusing on less than 4.5 goals with an 87.04% probability seems like a sensible choice. The recent history of both teams suggests that a high-scoring game is unlikely.

In conclusion, the odds and the teams’ histories suggest a likely win for Guadalajara or a draw with less than 4.5 goals scored in the match.

The potential number of goals

Guadalajara has won 60% of its last 5 home matches, with no draws. Their offense has scored 5 goals, and their defense has conceded the same.

SJ Earthquakes struggle away from home. In their last 5 matches, they haven’t won any, scoring 6 goals and conceding 10.

Guadalajara’s home offense is moderate, averaging 1.2 goals per match. Their defensive potential, conceding one goal per match, indicates a percentage of 36%.

SJ Earthquakes, away from home, struggle to score with a meager 0.4 goals per match. However, they concede more, averaging 1.4 goals, which puts their defensive potential at 50%.

According to the probabilities, Guadalajara has a 48.77% chance of winning, while the Earthquakes have less chance of winning at 30.25%.

The match could therefore lean in favor of Guadalajara, with a total of 5 goals possible overall, based on the probabilities of over 4.5 goals in the match.

A close score is expected, with a 67.28% probability of there being less than 3.5 goals in the match. The probability that both teams score is 52.47%.

The data indicates a strong performance by Guadalajara at home, with 2-0 victories against Mazatlán and Queretaro, for example. On the other hand, the Earthquakes have struggled away from home, with heavy defeats particularly against Los Angeles and New York City.

The numbers suggest that Guadalajara could be favored for this match. There will likely be less than three goals, and both teams could well score.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, relying on recent performances, statistical probabilities, and general trends, it appears that Guadalajara has a strong chance of winning against SJ Earthquakes. Indeed, past defensive and offensive performances show a superiority of Guadalajara, as well as a stronger form at home compared to the weak performances of SJ Earthquakes away.

Considering the history of scores between these two teams, an exact score of 1-0 in favor of Guadalajara seems to be a good prediction. Furthermore, given the low offensive potential of both teams, the “Under 2.5” bet seems to be an interesting option.

However, a value bet could be placed on a victory for SJ Earthquakes, considering that the market may underestimate their chances.

All in all, although each bet carries its own risks, Guadalajara appears to be in a better position to win this Leagues Cup match, with probably fewer than three total goals. It is essential to consider that sports betting always remains uncertain, and these recommendations are based on probabilities and trend analyses, not on certainties.