Tipps Guadalajara Chivas Toluca Liga MX 09/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Toluca wins the match.”

1. Toluca has a higher offensive potential than Guadalajara. Toluca scores an average of 2.6 goals per game compared to 1.8 for Guadalajara.

2. Toluca has a greater ability to score away from home, having scored 10 goals in their last 5 away matches, while Guadalajara has scored 5 goals in their last 5 home matches.

3. Toluca has a higher winning percentage including draws in their last 5 away matches (80%) compared to Guadalajara at home (40%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5”

1. Toluca has a very high offensive potential, scoring an average of 2.6 goals per away match in their last 5 games, indicating that they have a good goal-scoring ability.
2. In addition to Toluca’s offensive strength, statistics also show that Guadalajara has conceded 5 goals at home in their last 5 matches, suggesting some vulnerability in defense.
3. Furthermore, considering the recent matches of both teams, there have been more than 2.5 goals scored in the majority of matches, reinforcing the idea that there is a high likelihood of seeing more than 2.5 goals in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Toluca’s high offensive performance: In their last 5 away matches, Toluca has scored an average of 2.6 goals per game, demonstrating a high offensive potential of 93%.
2. Guadalajara’s defensive weakness: In their last 5 home matches, Guadalajara has conceded an average of 0.4 goals per game, showing a low defensive potential of 14%. This indicates a defensive vulnerability that could be exploited by Toluca.
3. Guadalajara’s past performance against Toluca: Given Guadalajara’s recent home results such as Guadalajara 2 – 0 Queretaro and Guadalajara 3 – 2 Puebla, it is shown that they have the ability to score at home, increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Guadalajara 1-2 Toluca.

1. Toluca has a strong offensive potential away from home, scoring an average of 2.6 goals per game in their last 5 matches. This indicates that they have a high likelihood of scoring at least 2 goals against Guadalajara, justifying the exact score prediction of 1-2.

2. In their last 5 home matches, Guadalajara has scored an average of 1.8 goals per game. This, combined with Toluca conceding an average of 2 goals per game away from home, strengthens the likelihood of the 1-2 prediction.

3. Both teams have shown contrasting defensive performances. While Guadalajara has displayed a solid defense at home, conceding only 0.4 goals per game, Toluca has struggled defensively away, conceding an average of 2 goals per game. This could make the 1-2 scoreline in favor of Toluca a possibility.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Guadalajara has won 40% of their last 5 home matches, with no draws, 5 goals scored, and 5 goals conceded. On average, the team scores 1.8 goals and concedes 0.4 goals at home.

On the other hand, Toluca has won 40% of their last 5 away games and drawn 40% of the time. The club has scored 10 goals and conceded 10 goals. Toluca averages 2.6 goals scored and 2 goals conceded in their away matches.

The offensive and defensive potentials are 64% and 14% for Guadalajara at home, and 93% and 71% for Toluca away. This indicates a potentially open game.

The probabilities of victory are difficult to calculate due to lack of statistics. However, the analysis suggests that the match could have fewer than 3.5 goals, with a success probability of 100%. Similarly, betting on “under 4.5 goals in the match” is also likely.

Despite the many goals these teams have scored, the statistic “both teams do not score” has a success probability of 100%, suggesting a defensive match.

Based on these statistics, an open game is possible. The key is the number of goals scored in this match.

The potential number of goals

Guadalajara and Toluca both have a 40% chance of winning based on their last 5 matches. However, Toluca has a higher offensive potential (93%) compared to Guadalajara (64%) and a defensive potential of 71%. On average, Toluca scores 2.6 goals per match while Guadalajara scores 1.8.

Despite Toluca’s strong offensive performance, Guadalajara has shown defensive strength in their home matches, conceding only 0.4 goals per match. Additionally, recent results indicate that Guadalajara has not lost at home.

Regarding the number of goals, the data suggests a high likelihood of less than 3.5 goals in the match. Similarly, it seems very probable that there will be less than 4.5 goals in the game.

These indicators suggest a balanced match where Toluca could dominate offensively, but Guadalajara’s defensive solidity could offset that. However, it is difficult to confidently predict a win for either Guadalajara or Toluca, hence the likelihood of a draw. It might be interesting to consider bets related to the number of goals scored during the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the analysis and observed trends, our prediction for the Liga MX match between Guadalajara and Toluca favors Toluca. With a higher offensive potential and impressive recent performances away, Toluca seems to have the edge. Nevertheless, Guadalajara has shown defensive solidity in their home matches, which could offset Toluca’s proven offense. Regarding the number of goals, there is a high likelihood of seeing fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. A bet on both teams to score and a total of over 2.5 goals in the match also seems like a reasonable choice given the current statistics.

It is important to note that these predictions are based on data and statistics. However, football remains an unpredictable sport and anything can happen on the field. Therefore, even though these predictions provide a detailed and thorough analysis, they do not guarantee a certain outcome. Bettors should always gamble responsibly.