Tipps Guingamp Caen Ligue 2 30/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Guingamp wins the match.

1. Caen’s poor away performance: In their last 5 away matches, Caen has not won any game and has only managed a draw in 20% of the cases. A Caen victory appears to be unlikely.

2. Guingamp’s offensive potential: At home, Guingamp has an offensive potential of 64% with an average of 1.8 goals per match in their last 5 games. Furthermore, Guingamp has scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches, which is superior to Caen’s performance on the road.

3. Success probabilities: The prediction “Draw or Guingamp wins the match” has a success probability of 72.47%, which is the highest among all available options.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Caen’s weak offensive performance away: In their last 5 away matches, Caen has scored an average of just 1 goal per game and has an offensive potential of 36%.

2. Guingamp’s relatively strong defensive performance at home: Guingamp has conceded an average of only 2.2 goals per game in their last 5 home matches and has a defensive potential of 79%.

3. The odds offered for under 2.5 goals in the match: The odds of 1.72 offered for a total of under 2.5 goals is also an indicator that bookmakers expect few goals in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics show a trend in both teams scoring and conceding goals. Guingamp, at home, scores an average of 1.8 goals and concedes 2.2 goals. Similarly, Caen, away from home, scores an average of 1 goal and concedes 1.2 goals.

2. The calculated probability for both teams to score is 50.56%, which is almost 50/50. This figure, although slight, leans towards a match where both teams would manage to score.

3. The recent match history of each team shows that both teams have scored in a majority of the matches. For example, in Guingamp’s last 5 home matches, both teams have scored in 3 matches. Similarly, in Caen’s last 5 away matches, both teams have scored in 1 match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Guingamp 2-1 Caen

1. Recent performances of Guingamp: Guingamp has shown a strong offensive performance at home recently, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match. Furthermore, Guingamp has won in 20% of cases in its last 5 home matches, indicating a home advantage.

2. Recent performances of Caen: Looking at Caen’s last 5 away matches, it hasn’t won any of them, indicating a less satisfactory performance away from home. Additionally, Caen has an average of 1 goal per match, which is lower than Guingamp.

3. Both teams to score and offensive potential: The prediction of a 2-1 score suggests that both teams will score during the match. Although Caen has a decent defensive performance by only conceding 1.2 goals per match on average, Guingamp’s offensive potential at home is at 64%, supporting our prediction of at least two goals for Guingamp.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Guingamp has won only one match in the last 5 at home. Caen is even worse, with no away victories in the last 5 matches.

Guingamp averages 1.8 goals per match at home, higher than Caen’s average of 1.

Guingamp’s defense is lacking, conceding an average of 2.2 goals, higher than Caen’s average of 1.2.

The probability of Guingamp winning the match is 42.13%, with a draw predicted at 30.34%.

The prediction favors over 1.5 goals in the match with a probability of 69.1%.

It is also possible that both teams score, with a probability of 50.56%.

Recent Guingamp home matches have generally seen many goals: 12 in 5 matches. For Caen, the total is less spectacular but significant with 9 goals in 5 matches.

In conclusion, this match has a potential for goals. Betting on over 1.5 goals could be an interesting option. However, the favorite according to the probabilities is Guingamp despite their weak defensive performance. Placing a double chance on Guingamp or draw with a success probability of 72.47% could be relevant.

The potential number of goals

Guingamp, at home, victorious only 20% of the time, but scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match. Their defense, not the best with an average of 2.2 goals conceded.

Caen struggles away, with no victories and few goals: only 4 scored in 5 matches. Their defense holds up better, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match.

According to the odds, Guingamp is more likely to win with a probability of 42.13%, followed by a draw at 30.34% and Caen at 27.53%.

Guingamp’s offensive potential, notable at 64%, faces Caen’s defensive potential, quite low at 43%. This could suggest goals scored by Guingamp.

A strong likelihood of 69.1% for over 1.5 goals in the match. This predicts a potentially goal-filled match.

The probability indicates that both teams will score in 50.56% of cases. This will be a key point in the match.

In conclusion, Guingamp has the advantage at home, but both teams have the ability to score. A match potentially rich in goals, worth keeping an eye on.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Guingamp and Caen presents interesting betting opportunities. Despite a poor performance away from home, Caen seems capable of scoring at least one goal, while Guingamp, playing at home, has shown notable attacking ability. Furthermore, recent trends suggest a draw as a possible outcome. Betting on over 1.5 goals in this match also offers a high probability of success. Lastly, a double chance bet of “Guingamp to win or draw” appears to be the safest option based on probabilities. However, as always in sports betting, it is essential to analyze objectively and not to bet more than one can afford to lose. Good luck to all.