Tipps Guingamp Estac Troyes Ligue 2 16/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Guingamp or draw.

1. Guingamp has a strong history of home draws (60% in their last 5 matches), indicating defensive solidity and resilience against opponents.
2. Troyes, when playing away, tends to struggle to win (with only a 20% win rate in their last 5 matches), suggesting that Guingamp, even if they don’t win, have a moderate risk of losing at home.
3. The offensive and defensive statistics of both teams are very similar (43% offensive potential and 43% defensive potential for Troyes, 43% offensive and 57% defensive for Guingamp), implying a balanced match where Guingamp, being at home, might have a slight advantage.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. The offensive potential of both teams is relatively low, with an average of 1.2 goals per match, whether it’s for Guingamp at home or Troyes away.
2. Both teams tend to concede more goals than they score, indicating a defensive predominance over the attack. Especially with Guingamp, who have only scored 3 goals at home against 3 goals conceded in their recent matches.
3. The recent performances of these two teams in their last matches reveal that there are regularly less than 2.5 goals per match. Particularly when looking at Guingamp’s home matches and Troyes’ away matches.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Recent statistics show a low offensive performance from both teams. Guingamp and Troyes have only scored 3 goals each in their last 5 matches, indicating a lack of offensive efficiency.

2. The defensive records of Guingamp and Troyes are relatively solid with only 3 goals conceded each in the last 5 matches. This shows an ability to limit opponents’ scoring opportunities.

3. Information on the offensive and defensive potential of each team points to a tendency for low-scoring matches (less than 3.5 goals per match in 100% of cases). This reinforces the idea that it is unlikely for both teams to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

Guingamp 1-1 Troyes

1. At home, Guingamp has a strong tendency to draw (60% of cases in the last 5 matches) and has conceded as many goals as they have scored (3 goals), indicating a stable but not dominant performance.

2. Away, Troyes also draws in a significant number of cases (40% of the last 5 matches) and, like Guingamp, has scored as many goals as they have conceded (3 goals), demonstrating a similar performance to Guingamp.

3. The average goals per match statistics for both teams are also similar (Guingamp: 1.2 goals scored, 1.6 goals conceded; Troyes: 1.2 goals scored, 1.2 goals conceded). This suggests that a close scoreline is very likely.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Guingamp has been struggling at home, with no wins in their last 5 matches. They have a goals scored – goals conceded ratio of 0. On the other hand, Troyes hasn’t really shined away from home, with only one win in their last 5 attempts. Their goals scored – goals conceded ratio is also 0. Guingamp has a weak offensive and defensive potential at home, 43% and 57% respectively. Troyes is completely equal in this regard, with 43% in both attack and defense in away matches. The probability is zero for any type of prediction: win, draw, or loss. However, a clear trend can be noted: Under 3.5 and under 4.5 goals have a probability of 100% respectively. Both teams struggle to score, with a 0% chance of both teams scoring in the same match. In conclusion, this match seems to promise few goals and a close score, with no clear favorite for the win.

The potential number of goals

The Guingamp vs Troyes match could be tight. Guingamp, at home, has shown a consistent performance with 60% of their matches ending in draws and a total of 3 goals scored and conceded in their last 5 matches. Troyes, playing away, has won 20% of their matches. They have also scored and conceded 3 goals.

In terms of potential, Guingamp has an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 57 at home. Troyes, playing away, has similar figures with an offensive and defensive potential of 43%.

The numbers suggest that the two teams are evenly matched. This is not surprising, especially since each has scored and conceded the same number of goals recently.

However, it is highly likely that the match will end with less than 3.5 goals, with a success probability of 100%. Furthermore, it is probable that both teams will not score, with a probability of this occurrence also being 100%.

Considering these statistics, the prediction is that the match is very likely to end with a low number of goals, possibly none.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the detailed statistical analysis and recent performances of both teams, the Guingamp vs Troyes match appears to be very evenly matched. A draw is more likely, given both teams’ tendency to draw, especially Guingamp at home. Furthermore, considering the relatively similar offensive potential of both teams, a 1-1 scoreline seems to be the most probable outcome. It is also worth noting that the match is likely to be characterized by low offensive intensity, as indicated by the probability of fewer than 2.5 goals and both teams’ tendency not to score many goals. Therefore, it is advisable to bet on a low-scoring match with a close scoreline.