Tipps Guingamp PAU Ligue 2 18/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on the statistics presented and despite the apparent balance between the two teams, the best betting option according to these numbers remains “Draw or Guingamp wins the match.” Indeed, the Guingamp team seems to have a slight advantage at home with 40% of wins, compared to only 20% for PAU away from home.

1. Guingamp’s home results: Analyzing Guingamp’s last 5 home matches, the team tends to achieve good results with a 40% win rate. This indicates a certain strength on their turf, justifying the prediction “Draw or Guingamp wins the match.”

2. PAU’s away performances: Based on the statistics of PAU’s last 5 away matches, their performance is less convincing with only a 20% win rate, supporting the forecast in favor of Guingamp or a draw.

3. Goals scored/conceded ratio: Guingamp has a balanced goal ratio between goals scored and conceded at home (14 goals scored and 14 goals conceded). On the other hand, PAU has a deficit in terms of goals away from home (10 goals scored and 11 goals conceded). Guingamp’s slight defensive superiority could be decisive for this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5”

1. Teams’ scoring history: At home, Guingamp has scored 14 goals and conceded 14 as well, averaging 2.8 goals per match. On the other hand, PAU away has scored 10 goals and conceded 11, averaging 2.1 goals per match. These statistics suggest that matches involving these two teams often exceed 2.5 goals.

2. Teams’ offensive potential: Guingamp and PAU have an equivalent offensive potential of 57%. This similarity could lead to a balanced exchange of goals between the two teams, thereby increasing the likelihood of there being more than 2.5 goals in the match.

3. Guingamp and PAU’s recent matches: Looking at Guingamp’s last five home matches and PAU’s last five away matches, most of these games have seen over 2.5 goals. In fact, out of the 10 mentioned matches, only two had less than 2.5 goals. This is another strong indicator that the match could exceed 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics from past matches clearly show a trend for these teams to both score and concede goals at the same time. Guingamp has scored 14 goals and conceded 14 at home in their last 5 matches, while PAU has scored 10 goals and conceded 11 in their away games.

2. The offensive potential of Guingamp and PAU is quite similar and above 50%, meaning they both have a good ability to score goals. The fact that Guingamp has scored at least 2 goals in each of their last 5 home matches strengthens this possibility.

3. Additionally, their defensive potential is not the best. Guingamp and PAU have both conceded an average of 2 and 1.4 goals per match, respectively. This implies a high probability that both teams will score in their encounter.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Guingamp 2-2 Pau

1. The offensive capability of Guingamp at home and PAU away from home is the same, with an average of 1.6 goals per match. Therefore, there is a high probability that each team will score at least two goals.
2. The defense of Guingamp at home and PAU away from home has shown signs of weakness, with an average of 2 goals conceded per match for Guingamp and 1.4 for PAU. This indicates the possibility of a high-scoring match.
3. The recent match history shows a trend towards draws for Guingamp at home and PAU away from home, especially with a 2-2 scoreline. Guingamp has had two 2-2 draws in their last five home matches, and PAU has had two 2-2 draws in their last five away matches.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Guingamp has had a mixed performance at home, with 40% wins and 20% draws in their last 5 matches. They have scored 14 goals but also conceded 14.

PAU has a poor away performance, with only 20% wins and 40% draws in their last 5 matches. They have scored 10 goals but conceded 11.

Guingamp averages 1.6 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per home match. They have an offensive potential of 57% and defensive potential of 71%.

Away, PAU also averages 1.6 goals scored but only concedes 1.4. Their offensive potential is at 57%, while their defensive potential is at 50%.

Recent home matches for Guingamp have shown a trend towards high scores, like Guingamp 3 – 1 Caen and Guingamp 4 – 0 Troyes.

Recent away matches for PAU have also seen high scores, as seen in games like Laval 3 – 1 PAU and Dunkerque 3 – 2 PAU.

Despite these figures, probabilities regarding the match result are not available. The same goes for goal-scoring probabilities.

However, considering recent performances and goal statistics, one can expect a match with a total score of less than 4.5 goals, but there’s no guarantee that both teams will score.

The potential number of goals

Guingamp has recently recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 14 goals scored, while conceding the same number at home. This team therefore presents an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 71%.

PAU, when playing away, has managed only one win and two draws, with a total of 10 goals scored against 11 conceded. Its offensive potential is 57% against a defense at 50%.

In the last five home matches of Guingamp, the trend indicates an average of 2.8 goals per game. The away record of PAU shows a similar average with around 2.6 goals per match.

Both teams fail to score in 100% of cases. This is a key factor to consider for your predictions.

The match between Guingamp and PAU could therefore be a low-scoring game, with a high likelihood of having less than 4.5 goals as the probability suggests 100%.

However, it is important to note that information on the win probabilities of both teams is not available, so any prediction of the result would be hypothetical.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, although the performances of both teams present different scenarios, the highest probability is that of a match with less than 4.5 goals. Guingamp seems to have an advantage with a superior performance at home, which suggests a potential winner or a draw. The interesting value of the bet could lie beyond 2.5 goals for this clash, given the high offensive potential of both teams and their defensive weaknesses. It is possible that both teams score, with a predicted exact score of 2-2. However, this information should be interpreted cautiously as it does not take into account other factors that could influence the match outcome, such as injuries, form of key players, or the importance of the match for each team. It is always recommended to research and analyze thoroughly before placing a bet.