Tipps Gwangju FC Jeju United FC K League 1 22/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Gwangju FC wins the match.

1. Recent Win Rate: Gwangju FC has won 60% of their recent home matches while Jeju United FC has only won 20% of their away matches. This strong home performance by Gwangju FC gives them an advantage over Jeju United FC.

2. Defensive Performances: Jeju United FC has an average of 2.6 goals conceded per away match, indicating a defensive weakness. In comparison, Gwangju FC concedes fewer goals on average (1.4) when playing at home.

3. Expert Predictions: The success probability for Gwangju FC is higher (41.36%) than that of Jeju United FC (22.51%). Therefore, the experts favor Gwangju FC.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Weak offensive performance: Analyzing the statistics of the last 5 matches, it can be observed that on average, Gwangju FC and Jeju United FC only score 0.8 goals per match. This indicates that it is less likely for them to score more than 2.5 goals combined in their encounter.

2. Strong defensive performance: Away from home, Jeju United FC has only conceded 2 goals in their last 5 matches, indicating a strong defensive performance. Even though Gwangju FC has conceded an average of 1.4 goals per match at home, their defensive potential is also notable at 50%. This defensive solidity on both sides makes it less likely to exceed 2.5 goals in the match.

3. Recent score history: The recent results of both teams show a tendency towards low scores. Among Gwangju FC’s last 5 home matches, 4 have seen a total of goals below 2.5. Similarly, Jeju United FC’s last 5 away matches have not exceeded 2.5 goals, reinforcing the hypothesis of a total number of goals below 2.5 for this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The offensive potential is low for both teams, with only 0.8 goals scored on average per game by Gwangju FC and Jeju United FC in their respective last 5 matches.
2. Jeju United FC has a strong defensive performance on the road, having conceded only 2 goals in their last 5 away matches.
3. Gwangju FC has shown a defensive weakness at home, conceding 8 goals in 5 matches, but given Jeju United FC’s lack of offensive efficiency, this may not be a problem.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Gwangju FC wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Gwangju FC 1-0 Jeju United FC

1. With a probability of 41.36%, Gwangju FC is more likely to win the match at home. This probability is supported by the fact that Gwangju FC won 60% of their last 5 home matches.

2. Jeju United FC’s weak offensive potential away from home is another factor to consider. On average, they have only scored 0.8 goals per match in their last 5 away matches while conceding an average of 2.6 goals, significantly reducing their chances of scoring in this match.

3. The goal statistics also suggest a low-scoring match. The probability of less than 1.5 goals in the match is 67.54% and Gwangju FC has an average of 0.8 goals per home match, further supporting the prediction of a 1-0 victory for Gwangju FC.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Gwangju FC looks strong at home with a 60% win rate, while Jeju United FC struggles away from home with only a 20% win rate.

Gwangju FC has scored 6 goals and conceded 8 in their last 5 home matches, while Jeju has only scored 2 goals and conceded 2 on the road.

Despite both teams having an offensive rate of 29%, Gwangju has a more solid defensive record at 50% compared to Jeju’s leaky 93%.

The match odds favor Gwangju FC to win at 41.36% compared to Jeju’s 22.51%. The draw is estimated at 36.13%.

A match with over 1.5 goals has a success probability of 67.54% compared to 41.88% for over 2.5 goals. The probability of both teams scoring is 52.36%.

Recent matches show Gwangju FC with wins of 2-1 against Pohang Steelers, 1-0 against Suwon City FC, and a 2-2 draw against Seongnam FC. Jeju, on the other hand, have suffered a series of defeats with only one win against Gimpo Citizen.

With an average attack and solid defense, Gwangju FC could make the difference against Jeju’s limited attacking threat.

The potential number of goals

Gwangju FC has a strong home form, winning 60% of matches. However, their defense has conceded 8 goals in the last 5 games. This contrasts with Jeju United FC, who struggle away from home, with only 20% wins and 2 goals scored.

By looking at the averages, Gwangju FC may score 0.8 goals per match while Jeju United FC could concede 2.6 goals. This highlights their defensive weaknesses.

In terms of probabilities, Gwangju FC has a 41.36% chance of winning, while Jeju United FC only has 22.51%. A draw is also possible with 36.13%.

In terms of goals, there is a 67.54% chance that the match will have more than 1.5 goals, with odds of 1.30. This indicates a trend towards a match with at least a few goals.

Overall, the prediction would favor Gwangju FC due to their strong home form and Jeju United FC’s weak attack. However, a match with more than 1.5 goals also seems plausible given recent trends.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Taking into account all statistical elements, past performances, and trends of both teams, several conclusions can be drawn. On one hand, Gwangju FC appears to be in a position of strength for this match, especially as it is being played at home where they have a significantly higher success rate than Jeju United FC away. On the other hand, the analysis suggests that the match is likely to have few goals, perhaps with less than 2.5 goals in total, possibly ending in a 1-0 score in favor of Gwangju FC. Lastly, an interesting “value bet” could be considered on the “Draw or Gwangju FC win” bet, given the calculated success probabilities. However, as with any prediction, nothing is ever 100% certain in the world of sports and every bet carries a level of risk. Therefore, it is important to always gamble responsibly.