Tipps Gwangju FC Pohang Steelers K League 1 13/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Gwangju FC wins the match”

1. Gwangju FC’s home performance is superior to Pohang Steelers’ away performance, with a win rate of 40% compared to 20% respectively. This means that Gwangju FC tends to perform well at home and has better chances of winning.

2. According to probability statistics, Gwangju FC has a win prediction success rate of 50.77%, which is the highest compared to predicting a draw or a Pohang Steelers win. This suggests that Gwangju FC has higher chances of winning the match.

3. Looking at offensive and defensive potential, while Pohang Steelers have scored more goals on average, they have also conceded more goals, indicating a weak defense. On the other hand, Gwangju FC has a stronger defense, conceding fewer goals on average. This could give Gwangju FC an advantage on the field.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The high offensive potential of Pohang Steelers: With an average of 2 goals per match in their last 5 away games and an offensive potential of 71%, Pohang Steelers is a team capable of scoring multiple goals.

2. The weak defensive potential of Gwangju FC: With an average of 1.8 goals conceded per match in their last 5 home games, Gwangju FC has shown defensive vulnerabilities that could be exploited by Pohang Steelers.

3. The probability of having more than 2.5 goals in the match is relatively high: According to available statistics, the probability of having more than 2.5 goals in this match is 53.33%. This indicates a trend towards high-scoring games between these two teams.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes.

1. The offensive statistics of Pohang Steelers away from home: in their last 5 matches, they have scored an average of 2 goals per game, showing that they have a strong offensive potential when playing away.

2. The defensive weakness of Gwangju FC at home: in their last 5 matches, they have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game. This means they are quite vulnerable defensively when playing at home.

3. The probability percentage (54.87%) of both teams scoring is higher than the probability percentage (45.13%) of both teams not scoring. This is an additional indicator in favor of a prediction where both teams score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Pohang Steelers win the match

Bet on the exact result

Gwangju FC 1-2 Pohang Steelers

1. Offensive and defensive potential: Analyzing the performances of both teams in their last 5 matches, Pohang Steelers show a higher offensive potential with an average of 2 goals per match compared to 0.8 for Gwangju FC. Additionally, despite Steelers having a slightly higher defensive potential, both teams are likely to concede goals, favoring a scenario where both teams score.

2. Recent match record: Historically, Pohang Steelers have shown a better ability to score in their away games, as seen in the respective scores of their last away matches (5-4, 2-2, 2-1, 1-2, 2-1). On the other hand, Gwangju FC has struggled to score at home, often concluding matches with only one goal or none.

3. Probabilities: Even though Gwangju FC has a higher probability of winning the match (50.77%), Pohang Steelers have a success probability of 25.64%. Adding the probability of over 2.5 goals in the match (53.33%), it corroborates the idea of a match where each team scores at least once. The suggested score of 1-2 for Pohang Steelers seems consistent with these statistical data.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Gwangju FC, despite lacking power at home, has managed to win 40% of their last 5 home games while drawing the rest. They score frequently, with 4 goals to their name, but are vulnerable in defense, having conceded 6 goals.

Their offensive prowess at home is average, at 0.8 goals per game, while their defense struggles a bit, conceding an average of 1.8 goals.

On the other hand, Pohang Steelers score abundantly away from home with 10 goals in 5 games, although they have only won 20% of those matches. Apparently, their defense is slightly weaker, having allowed 12 goals.

With an average of 2 goals per game away, their offensive potential is quite strong. However, they also tend to concede goals, on average 2.4 per game.

Prediction: The odds slightly favor Gwangju FC with a 50.77% chance of winning, however, a tight match with lots of goals is expected – the “Over 2.5 goals” option having a 53.33% chance of success.

The potential number of goals

Gwangju FC, in its last 5 home matches, has a 40% win rate and a 60% draw rate. The defense has struggled, conceding 6 goals and scoring 4. On the other hand, Pohang, in its last 5 away games, has won 20% of the time, drawn 20%, scored 10 goals, and conceded 12, showing a strong offensive potential despite a solid defense.

On average, Gwangju FC scores 0.8 goals per home match and concedes 1.8, demonstrating a 29% offensive potential and a 64% defensive vulnerability. Pohang scores an average of 2 goals and concedes 2.4 on the road, with a 71% attacking strength and an 86% defensive resilience.

At halftime, the stats give us a 50.77% chance of Gwangju FC winning, 23.59% for a draw, and 25.64% for a Pohang victory.

Expecting more goals? The probability of over 1.5 goals is 76.92%, over 2.5 goals at 53.33%, while under 3.5 goals is at 73.85%.

Regarding both teams scoring, the probability is 54.87%.

For safe bettors, the choice of a draw or Gwangju FC to win stands at 74.36%. For the adventurous, a bet on over 4.5 goals seems enticing.

In summary, a goal-filled encounter is likely given the offensive potential of both teams, although Gwangju FC appears to be the favorite.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Gwangju FC and Pohang Steelers appears to hold great potential for bettors. The best prediction to take away would be that Gwangju FC has a better chance of winning at home, given their consistent performance and solid defense. However, despite being less successful away, Pohang Steelers have shown remarkable offensive strength that could tip the scales.

Additionally, the offensive potential of both teams and the rate of goals conceded suggest a match with several goals scored. Therefore, it would seem relevant to bet on more than 2.5 goals being scored.

Finally, with a 54.87% probability of both teams scoring, a bet on both teams to score seems like a good option. However, despite these probabilities, football remains an unpredictable sport, so it is crucial to carefully consider all factors before placing a bet. Good luck!