Tipps Hamburger SV SC Paderborn 07 Bundesliga 2 28/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Hamburg wins the match

1. Hamburg’s home statistics are more convincing than Paderborn’s away record. Hamburg has a 40% win rate and 20% draw rate compared to Paderborn’s 40% win rate and 60% draw rate away from home. This demonstrates an advantage for Hamburg playing on their own turf.

2. Hamburg has a superior offensive potential to Paderborn with an average of 3.6 goals per match compared to Paderborn’s 2 goals per match. Despite both teams conceding the same number of goals per match on average (1 goal), Hamburg’s offensive potential could make the difference.

3. The indicated probability for Hamburg’s victory is 66.67% with favorable odds of 1.72. This indicates a high statistical confidence in Hamburg’s chances of winning this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The high offensive potential of both teams: Statistics show that at home, Hamburg scores an average of 3.6 goals per match and Paderborn scores an average of 2 goals per match away. This indicates a strong likelihood of seeing more than 2.5 goals in the match.

2. The recent results of both teams: Looking at the recent matches, it can be seen that several games of both Hamburg and Paderborn have exceeded 2.5 goals. In particular, Hamburg has scored an average of 3.6 goals per match in their last 5 home games.

3. The probability rate on the sports betting site: The prediction “Over 2.5 goals in the match” has a success rate of 66.67% according to the sports betting site. This shows a high chance of seeing more than 2.5 goals in the match between these two teams.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Hamburg has a strong tendency to score at home, the team has scored 10 goals in their last 5 home matches, showing good offensive form.
2. Paderborn is also capable of scoring away from home, they have also scored 10 goals in their last 5 away matches.
3. Both teams have a less reassuring defensive record, conceding 13 and 10 goals respectively in their last 5 matches, indicating a high likelihood of each team conceding at least one goal in the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Paderborn wins the match – 33.33% chance of success: 4.00

Bet on the exact result

Hamburg 2-2 Paderborn

1. Statistics show that Hamburg has a higher average of goals conceded per match than the average goals scored per match by Paderborn. This means that Paderborn has a good chance of scoring at least two goals in this match.

2. Based on Hamburg’s last 5 home matches, the team appears to have a strong offensive performance, but struggles in defense with more goals conceded than scored. Furthermore, Hamburg has drawn in 20% of its recent home matches, increasing the likelihood of a draw.

3. Looking at Paderborn’s last five away matches, the team demonstrates good scoring abilities with 10 goals in 5 matches, while also maintaining a solid defensive record with only 1 goal conceded on average per match. Additionally, Paderborn has drawn in 60% of its recent away matches, further increasing the probability of a draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Hamburg, in its last 5 home matches, has a record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. Their offensive strength is notable with 10 goals scored, although their defense seems weak with 13 goals conceded.

Paderborn, on the other hand, shows a similar form away from home with 2 wins and 3 draws, scoring and conceding 10 goals each.

In terms of potential, Hamburg appears more impactful in attack with an average of 3.6 goals per match but lacks in defense (36% defensive performance).

Paderborn has a more balanced profile, scoring an average of 2 goals per match with a defensive solidity similar to Hamburg (36%).

The probabilities suggest a Hamburg win (66.67%), followed by a possibility of a draw or Hamburg win at 66.67%. On the other hand, a Paderborn victory seems less likely (33.33%).

There is a higher chance of observing more than 1.5 goals in the match (100%) and a possibility of over 2.5 goals (66.67%).

The chances of both teams scoring seem low (33.33%), but it is more likely that both teams will not score (66.67%).

Based on this data, a high-scoring match context can be expected, with a fairly probable victory for Hamburg.

The potential number of goals

Hamburg has a decent home performance, with 40% wins and 20% draws in their last 5 matches. However, they have conceded 3 more goals than they have scored.

On the road, Paderborn is competitive with 40% wins and an impressive 60% draws. Furthermore, they have managed to balance their sheet with as many goals scored as conceded.

Hamburg has a high offensive potential of 129% at home, but their defense could be better, conceding an average of 1 goal per match.

Paderborn, on the other hand, has a good defense – the same as Hamburg’s, in fact – but their away attack could be improved.

The highest probability of success is for Hamburg, with odds of 1.72. The most likely scenario is therefore a win for Hamburg or a draw.

In terms of goals, expect a match with over 2.5 goals, with odds of 1.40. The probability is the same for under 3.5 goals.

In summary, a safe bet would be a win for Hamburg or a draw with over 2.5 goals scored.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering the recent performances and statistics of the two teams, it would seem reasonable to favor a bet on a win for Hamburger SV or a draw. With Hamburg’s higher offensive potential, it is also likely that the match will see over 2.5 goals scored. Furthermore, both teams have shown defensive weaknesses, so it is possible that each team will manage to score. Finally, although less probable, one should not rule out the possibility that Paderborn could take advantage of their away performances and cause an upset. Taking all these factors and the value bet into account, an informed prediction could be a win for Hamburger SV or a draw with over 2.5 goals scored.