Tipps Hapoel Hadera Ashdod Ligat 30/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Ashdod wins the match

1. Ashdod has a better offensive performance. In the last 5 matches, Ashdod has scored an average of 2 goals per game, compared to 0.8 for Hapoel Hadera, giving Ashdod an offensive potential of 71% compared to 29% for Hapoel Hadera.

2. Probability statistics also favor an Ashdod win. With a probability of winning of 36.76% compared to 32.43% for Hapoel Hadera, Ashdod is more favored to win the match.

3. Both teams have a similar defensive performance, but Ashdod scores more on average per away game (2 goals) compared to Hapoel Hadera at home (0.8 goals). Ashdod’s away record is therefore more positive, despite conceding more goals.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. The past performances of both teams show a low-scoring trend. Based on the last 5 home matches of Hapoel Hadera, there is an average of 0.8 goals per match, and on the last 5 away matches of Ashdod, there is an average of 2 goals per match. These relatively low averages may predict a match with less than 2.5 goals.
2. The recent matches between Hapoel Hadera and Ashdod have also been low-scoring. In their last encounter, the match ended with a score of 2-0, which is below the 2.5 goals threshold.
3. The odds provided for betting heavily favor a match with less than 2.5 goals. With a 87.03% probability for under 3.5 goals, and a 95.68% probability for under 4.5 goals, it is likely that the total goals will be below 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The home goal statistics of Hapoel Hadera and the away goal statistics of Ashdod show a relatively high average of goals scored and conceded, namely 0.8/1 and 2/2 goals per match on average, respectively. This offensive and defensive potential suggests a match with goal-scoring opportunities for both teams.

2. Based on the last five matches of each team, both teams have a tendency to score and concede goals. In the case of Hapoel Hadera, despite a low proportion of home wins, the team has managed to score goals in more than half of its recent home matches. For Ashdod, despite a negative away record, the team has scored in all of its recent away matches, except one.

3. Finally, the calculated probability of both teams scoring is 54.59%, which is higher than the probability of both teams not scoring (45.41%). This percentage, based on the past performances of both teams, therefore suggests that both teams have good chances of scoring in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Hapoel Hadera 1-2 Ashdod

1. Recent performances of Hapoel Hadera at home show a tendency to score few goals (average of 0.8 goals per match) and also to concede few goals (average of 1 goal per match). Ashdod, on the other hand, has shown a notable tendency to score (2 goals on average per match) as well as to concede goals (also 2 goals on average per match) when playing away. These statistics may justify a 1-2 result in favor of Ashdod.

2. Ashdod has a slightly higher probability of winning the match (36.76%), compared to Hapoel Hadera (32.43%). This indicates that despite Ashdod’s less consistent performance when playing away, they could have the edge over Hapoel Hadera, once again justifying the predicted score of 1-2.

3. The statistics suggest a relatively high probability that both teams will score in the match (54.59%). Given the offensive and defensive trends of both teams, a scoreline of 1-2 seems quite probable.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Hapoel Hadera has only achieved a 20% home win rate in their last 5 matches, accompanied by a 29% offensive power. Their solid defense at 36% along with a 60% draw rate suggests resilience.

Ashdod away shows a similar performance with only a 20% win rate and 20% draws. However, with an offensive and defensive strength of 71%, they are well capable of both attacking and counterattacking.

Statistically, Ashdod has a 36.76% chance of winning and Hapoel Hadera 32.43%. A draw is also possible with 30.81%.

Hapoel Hadera tends to score less than 1.5 goals per match (73.51% success rate). Ashdod, despite their strong attack, struggles in defense conceding an average of 2 goals per match.

Given these statistics, it can be inferred that the match could be tight. A low to medium score seems likely. Therefore, a bet on “Under 2.5 goals in the match” at 1.65 seems appealing.

The recent matches of both teams show that Hapoel Hadera lost to Ashdod at home while Ashdod suffered an away defeat against the same team. This suggests that the home advantage may not play a decisive role.

In conclusion, a balanced match is expected with a slight statistical advantage for Ashdod, but the momentum could shift in favor of Hapoel Hadera at any time. A match to keep a close eye on.

The potential number of goals

Hapoel Hadera has a low home win rate of 20% in their last 5 matches. Their attack is modest, with a total of 4 goals scored and an average of 0.8 goals per match. Their defense remains solid, conceding on average only one goal per match.

On the other hand, Ashdod also has a 20% away win rate but is more offensive with 8 goals scored in total and an average of 2 goals per match. However, they have a weak defense, conceding on average 2 goals per match.

Probability analysis predicts that Ashdod is more likely to win the match at 36.76%, while Hapoel Hadera closely follows with 32.43%. The draw has a probability of 30.81%. A bet on either Hapoel Hadera or Ashdod to win presents a high percentage of 63.24% and 67.57% respectively.

The analysis suggests that there is a high probability (73.51%) of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match but a lower probability (45.95%) of there being over 2.5 goals.

Finally, examining the previous home matches of Hapoel Hadera and away matches of Ashdod, there is variability in the results. However, in their last encounter, Hapoel Hadera beat Ashdod 2-0.

In conclusion, this match looks to be undecided with a slight edge for Ashdod. There are strong chances of there being more than 1.5 goals, but less likelihood of exceeding 2.5 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In short, this analysis of stats and predictions promises an exciting match between Hapoel Hadera and Ashdod. Both teams have comparable performances, although Ashdod is slightly favored due to their offensive strength. Despite this, the outcome of the match remains difficult to predict, with a notable possibility of a draw. There is a high chance that both teams will score, while likely staying below the 2.5 goals mark. Bettors could consider placing bets on “Ashdod to win”, “Under 2.5 goals in the match”, and “Both teams to score”. Ultimately, the bet offering a truly interesting value bet is “Under 3.5 goals in the match”. However, it is important to remember that sports betting remains a game of chance, despite favorable statistics.