Tipps Heart Of Midlothian Ross County Premiership 28/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Heart Of Midlothian wins the match.

1. Over their last 5 home matches, Heart Of Midlothian has managed to secure a draw 80% of the time, indicating a strong tendency to avoid defeat when playing on their own turf.

2. In their last 5 away matches, Ross County has only been able to win 40% of the time and has only drawn 20% of the time, showing a weakness in their performances away from home.

3. The success rate for the bet “Draw or Heart Of Midlothian wins the match” stands at 80.61%, which is significantly higher than other options, making it a safer bet in terms of probabilities.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Firstly, Heart Of Midlothian has a low offensive potential when playing at home, scoring only 0.4 goals per game on average in the last 5 matches. This means they struggle to score, limiting the total number of potential goals in the match.

2. Additionally, Ross County, despite having a better offensive potential away from home, only averages 1 goal per game in the last 5 matches. They are also prone to conceding goals, with an average of 2.2 goals conceded per match, highlighting their defensive weakness rather than offensive strength. However, Heart Of Midlothian does not have a strong offensive power to exploit this weakness.

3. Finally, looking at the recent performances of both teams, matches have often featured few goals. For instance, in the last 5 home matches of Heart Of Midlothian, 4 ended with less than 2.5 goals. Similarly, in the last 5 away matches of Ross County, 4 also ended with less than 2.5 goals. These trends suggest that this match could also see a low total number of goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics of goals scored and conceded by both teams in their recent matches indicate that they both have offensive and defensive capabilities. For example, Heart Of Midlothian scored 2 goals and conceded 4 goals at home in their last 5 matches, while Ross County scored 5 goals and conceded 6 goals away in their last 5 matches.

2. On average, Heart Of Midlothian scores 0.4 goals per match and concedes 1.8 goals per match at home, while Ross County scores 1 goal per match and concedes 2.2 goals per match away. These statistics suggest that there is a good chance that both teams will score in this match.

3. Finally, the calculated probabilities for the “Both teams to score” bet stand at 51.53%, which is slightly above the average (50%). This implies that the odds are slightly in favor of this bet.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

“Heart Of Midlothian 0-1 Ross County”

1. Recent home performance of Heart Of Midlothian: They have not won a single match in their last 5 home games, with a very low offensive conversion rate of 14% and a defensive potential of 64%, suggesting they struggle to score while conceding a number of goals.

2. Past away performance of Ross County: They have won 2 of their last 5 away games, with an offensive conversion rate of 36% and a defensive potential of 79%. This suggests they have a decent ability to score goals, even away from home.

3. Overall odds: Even though the probability of Heart Of Midlothian winning the match is higher (56.63%), a bet on the exact score of 0-1 in favor of Ross County could be justified by the fact that the probability of a match with less than 1.5 goals is quite high (3.60 odds). Notably, Heart Of Midlothian struggles to score at home while Ross County manages to score away.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Heart Of Midlothian is struggling at home, having not won any of their last 5 matches and conceding 4 goals. On the other hand, Ross County shows some dominance away from home, with a 40% win rate in their last 5 outings.

However, Heart Of Midlothian’s offensive potential at home is rather low, with an average of 0.4 goals per match, while Ross County has a better performance with an average of 1 goal per match away from home.

In terms of defense, Heart Of Midlothian shows more solidity at home with a 64% potential, compared to Ross County with a defense potential of 79% away from home.

In probability terms, Heart Of Midlothian has a 56.63% chance of winning the match, while there is a 19.39% chance of a Ross County victory.

The safest prediction would be either a draw or a Heart Of Midlothian win, with an 80.61% success rate.

Regarding the number of goals, the highest probability of 80.61% is for over 1.5 goals in the match.

Lastly, for the “both teams to score” criterion, the probability is nearly equivalent, with a slight edge for “yes” at 51.53%.

These data suggest a close match, likely to be dominated by Heart Of Midlothian at home. However, Ross County should not be underestimated given their recent form away from home.

The potential number of goals

Heart Of Midlothian is struggling. 0% home win rate with 2 goals scored in the last 5 matches. The defense concedes 1.8 goals per match.

Ross County is more sharp. 40% away win rate and 5 goals scored. But their defense concedes 2.2 goals per match.

The probabilities favor a Heart Of Midlothian win with 56.63%, but Ross County cannot be ruled out with 19.39%.

On total goals, we are more likely under 4.5 goals with a probability of 89.8%.

Both teams could score, with a 51.53% probability. However, in the last home matches of Heart Of Midlothian, they failed to score in 60% of cases. Ross County has scored in every recent away match.

Tip: Safe bet on under 4.5 goals in the match. A bet on both teams to score could pay off. No clear favorite for the win.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering Heart Of Midlothian’s recent home results and Ross County’s away performances, the match seems like it could be tight. Heart Of Midlothian will likely avoid defeat, given their impressive ability to secure draws at home, but a surprise from Ross County is still possible.

The weak attacking potential of Heart Of Midlothian and some defensive solidity from both teams suggest a limited number of goals in the match. Therefore, the safest bet would seem to be “under 2.5 goals in the match.” However, considering the respectable attacking performances of both teams, it is likely that both teams will score.

Despite the high probability of a win or draw for Heart Of Midlothian, betting on the exact score of 0-1 in favor of Ross County could offer an interesting value bet, taking into account Heart Of Midlothian’s weak attacking potential and Ross County’s ability to score away from home.

Overall, this analysis suggests a challenging match for Heart Of Midlothian despite home support, a possibility of goals from both sides but in limited quantity, and an opportunity to capitalize on a potentially high exact score.