Tipps Hebar 1918 Lokomotiv Sofia Parva Liga 28/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Hebar 1918 wins the match.”

1. The statistical probability: With a success rate of 45.98%, Hebar 1918 has the highest chance of winning the match. This is the highest percentage among the three possible outcomes (victory for Hebar 1918, draw, victory for Lokomotiv Sofia).

2. Home and away performances: Hebar 1918 has a strong home performance, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match and winning 40% of their last 5 matches. In contrast, Lokomotiv Sofia has less impressive away performances with an average of 0.4 goals scored per match and only a 40% win rate in their last 5 away games.

3. Defensive capability: Hebar 1918 has a higher defensive potential at 86% compared to 71% for Lokomotiv Sofia. Despite a higher average of goals conceded per match at 2.4, Hebar 1918 could capitalize on counter-attack opportunities and weaknesses in the opponent’s defense.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive statistics of both teams in their last 5 matches show relatively low scoring, with an average of 1.6 goals per match for Hebar 1918 and only 0.4 for Lokomotiv Sofia, suggesting a low number of goals in their encounter.

2. The defensive statistics of both teams should also be taken into account. Hebar 1918 concedes an average of 2.4 goals per match and Lokomotiv Sofia 2 goals per match. This weak defensive capability is offset by the low offensive output of both teams.

3. Probability statistics indicate a strong likelihood of less than 2.5 goals in the match (1.62), which aligns with the recent performance of both teams.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The offensive potential of Lokomotiv Sofia away from home is relatively low, with an average of 0.4 goals scored per match. This shows that the team struggles to score when playing away, increasing the chances of both teams not scoring.

2. Hebar 1918 seems to have a solid defense at home, conceding only 2.4 goals on average per match. This indicates that the team is able to withstand the opponent’s attack and limit the chances of the opposing team scoring goals.

3. By observing the last matches of each team, it can be seen that in 3 out of the last 5 home matches of Hebar 1918, the opposing team failed to score. Similarly, in 3 out of the last 5 away matches of Lokomotiv Sofia, they failed to score. These past trends support the prediction that both teams will not score in the next match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Lokomotiv Sofia wins the match – 25.86% chance of success : 3.30

Bet on the exact result

Hebar 1918 1-1 Lokomotiv Sofia

1. The home performances of Hebar 1918 and the away performances of Lokomotiv Sofia are comparable, with similar offensive and defensive potential, indicating a balanced match that could end in a draw.
2. Based on the last 5 matches, Hebar 1918 scores an average of 1 goal per home match and Lokomotiv Sofia concedes an average of 1 goal per away match, suggesting a potential 1-1 scoreline.
3. The probabilities also point towards a low-scoring match, with a high probability (95.98%) of less than 3.5 goals in the match, supporting the hypothesis of a 1-1 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Hebar 1918 shows good form at home, with a 40% win rate and 60% draws. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 6.

On the other hand, Lokomotiv Sofia, away from home, also has a 40% win rate but no draws, scoring 4 goals and conceding 4.

Hebar 1918 has an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 86%. Lokomotiv Sofia, on the other hand, has a lower offensive potential at 14% but a defensive potential of 71%.

The match could favor Hebar 1918 with a 45.98% probability of winning compared to Lokomotiv Sofia’s 25.86%. The chances of a draw are 28.16%.

Regarding goals, there is a 67.24% chance that the match will end with more than 1.5 goals and a 37.93% chance for more than 2.5 goals.

Both teams scoring is also possible with a probability of 49.43%.

Previous matches of both teams show a variety of results, with wins and losses for both teams. Based on these statistics, a prediction of a win for Hebar 1918 or a draw could be considered.

The potential number of goals

Hebar 1918 has a mixed home record, with 40% wins and 60% draws in their last 5 matches. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 6, showing average performance in both attacking and defending.

On the other hand, Lokomotiv Sofia, playing away, has won 40% of their last 5 matches with no draws. They have scored and conceded 4 goals each, indicating limited attacking prowess but decent defense.

Hebar team averages 1.6 goals scored and 2.4 goals conceded per home match. Their 57% win rate suggests a strong attacking potential, while their defense is solid at 86%.

Lokomotiv Sofia, on the road, averages 0.4 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match. Their offensive and defensive potentials are quite weak at 14% and 71% respectively.

According to the odds, Hebar 1918 has a 45.98% chance of winning this match, while Lokomotiv Sofia has 25.86%. A draw or a Hebar win (74.14%) is more likely.

In terms of goals, there is a higher probability of over 1.5 goals (67.24%) but under 3.5 goals (95.98%). The likelihood of both teams scoring is almost equal (49.43% yes, 50.57% no).

Based on their recent performances, Hebar seems better equipped for this match, especially due to their strong home defense. The lack of offensive efficiency from Lokomotiv Sofia away from home could make a difference.

These factors point towards a possible victory for Hebar 1918 or a draw. However, football being unpredictable, every bettor should consider many other factors before placing a bet.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, analysis and statistics suggest that Hebar 1918 holds the advantage in this match. They have a better win rate, a greater offensive and defensive potential, and stand out particularly for their home performance. That being said, football remains an unpredictable sport, and a bet on a draw or a small upset by Lokomotiv Sofia could offer an interesting value bet.

The relatively low goal potential should also be taken into account, with a bet on “under 2.5 goals in the match” appearing attractive. Although it seems unlikely that both teams will score, statistics suggest that it is not impossible for this to happen.

Ultimately, it is essential for bettors to carefully evaluate all factors, analyze previous matches, and stay informed about the latest team news before placing a bet. From this perspective, it would be recommended for a novice to bet cautiously, while an experienced bettor may see value in a contrarian bet such as a Lokomotiv Sofia victory.