Tipps Henan Jianye Chengdu Better City Super League 21/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Chengdu Better City wins the match.

1. Chengdu Better City has a significantly stronger offensive capacity than Henan Jianye when playing away, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per match compared to only 0.8 for Henan Jianye at home. Chengdu Better City has also shown better defensive performance, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match, which is less than Henan Jianye at home.

2. In their last 5 matches, Chengdu Better City won in 60% of the cases and drew in 20% of the cases, while Henan Jianye won in 60% of the cases but drew in 40% of the cases. The success probability of Chengdu Better City is 62.73%, which is significantly higher than Henan Jianye’s victory probability (12.42%).

3. The betting league assigns Chengdu Better City a winning odds of 1.57, indicating that they are the clear favorite for this match. Furthermore, the bet “draw or Chengdu Better City wins the match” has a success probability of 87.58%, further attesting to the strength of Chengdu Better City against Henan Jianye.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Offensive and Defensive Statistics: According to the statistics, Henan Jianye scores an average of 0.8 goals per home match, while Chengdu Better City scores an average of 2.2 goals away. Combining these offensive performances with their respective defensive statistics (1.4 goals conceded per home match by Henan Jianye and 1.2 goals conceded by Chengdu Better City away), the average total of goals scored in matches involving these two teams exceeds the threshold of 2.5 goals.

2. Match History: Recent away matches of Chengdu Better City show a tendency towards a high number of goals, as seen in the scores of 2-1, 3-0, and 3-1. As for Henan Jianye, despite more modest home performances, the team has managed to score in 3 out of its last 5 home matches.

3. Bookmakers’ Probabilities: The odds indicate a 58.39% probability of the match ending with over 2.5 goals. This probability, higher than for under 2.5 goals, reinforces the prediction of a high-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics show a strong offensive trend for both teams, with Henan Jianye averaging 0.8 goals per match at home and Chengdu Better City averaging 2.2 goals per match away. This indicates a likelihood of both teams scoring during the match.

2. Both teams have a rather weak defense, with Henan Jianye conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match at home and Chengdu Better City conceding an average of 1.2 goals away. It is therefore probable that both teams will concede at least one goal during the match.

3. Considering Chengdu Better City’s last 5 away matches, they have managed to score in every match, regardless of the final outcome. Similarly, Henan Jianye has scored in 3 of their last 5 home matches. These factors support the prediction that both teams will score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Both teams score.”

Bet on the exact result

Henan Jianye 1-2 Chengdu Better City

1. Match history: Chengdu Better City has significantly better performance in terms of wins, both overall (60% compared to Henan Jianye’s 60%) and specifically away from home (60% compared to Henan Jianye’s 40% at home). In addition, Chengdu Better City has a much higher average goals scored per match (2.2) compared to Henan Jianye at home (0.8), which leans towards a favorable score for Chengdu.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: Chengdu Better City has an offensive potential of 79% compared to just 29% for Henan Jianye at home, and Chengdu Better City also has a defensive potential of 43% compared to 50% for Henan Jianye at home. This suggests a likely victory for Chengdu Better City.

3. Match result probabilities: The success probabilities heavily favor Chengdu Better City with a 62.73% chance of winning the match compared to only 12.42% for Henan Jianye. The probabilities also indicate that it is more likely for both teams to score (59.01%) and for the match to have over 2.5 goals (58.39%). These factors support a scoreline of 1-2 in favor of Chengdu Better City.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Henan Jianye has won 60% of their home matches, but with a low goals scored/conceded ratio of 4/5. Average score? 0.8 goals per match. Strong defense? An average of 1.4 goals conceded suggests otherwise.

Chengdu Better City shines away from home: with a 60% winning rate and 9 goals scored against 10 conceded. Average goals per match: 2.2. Solid defense? With an average of 1.2 goals conceded per match.

Probability of Henan Jianye winning? Slim at 12.42%. Probability of a draw? 24.84%. Chengdu Better City is the favorite with a 62.73% probability. Match with over 1.5 goals expected at 82.61%, and over 2.5 goals at 58.39%.

Recent results highlight Henan Jianye’s strong defense at home, keeping a clean sheet twice. Chengdu Better City displays a powerful offense away from home, scoring 9 goals in 5 matches.

Prediction: Chengdu Better City’s odds look good. The match promises to be lively with likely over 1.5 goals.

The potential number of goals

Henan Jianye struggles at home, with only a 60% win rate and 0.8 goals per match. Chengdu Better City is more efficient away, with a 60% win rate and 2.2 goals per match.

Chengdu Better City excels offensively with a 79% potential compared to only 29% for Henan Jianye. They also concede fewer goals with a 43% defensive potential compared to 50% for Henan Jianye.

In their last 10 matches, Henan Jianye has struggled against teams of different calibers. They lost 2-0 to Shijiazhuang Y. J., a mid-table team, and 1-0 to Shanghai SIPG, one of the top teams in the league. This indicates a defensive weakness.

Chengdu Better City, on the other hand, has shown a strong offense in their away games with wins like 2-1 against Nanjing City, 3-0 against Sichuan Jiuniu, and a 3-1 loss to Shandong Luneng, a top team.

The probability of success for Chengdu Better City is 62.73% with odds of 1.57. There is an 82.61% chance that over 1.5 goals will be scored, with odds of 1.22.

Despite the unfavorable statistics for Henan Jianye, they have a 37.27% chance of drawing or winning the match with odds of 2.30. Both teams have a 59.01% probability of scoring at least one goal.

In conclusion, Chengdu Better City appears to have the advantage for this match, thanks to their strong offense and form in away games. However, football is unpredictable, and Henan Jianye has the potential to surprise.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on a detailed analysis of several key parameters – recent team performance, offensive and defensive trends, goal potential, previous results, and bookmakers’ odds – the prediction for the match between Henan Jianye and Chengdu Better City points towards a probable victory for Chengdu Better City. However, football being an unpredictable sport, the possibility of a turnaround in favor of Henan Jianye cannot be ruled out.

In terms of betting, the safest bet seems to be that Chengdu Better City will win the match, with a success probability of 62.73%. The betting option that offers an interesting value bet is “Both teams to score,” supported by strong statistics. Regarding the exact score, a 1-2 win in favor of Chengdu Better City seems to be the most plausible prediction.

It is worth noting that the over/under bet indicates that it is more likely for the match to end with more than 2.5 goals. All this information should be considered by bettors to make informed and profitable bets on this match. It should be emphasized that despite thorough analysis, sports betting always involves an element of randomness. Therefore, it is advisable to bet responsibly.