Tipps Henan Jianye Qingdao Youth Island Super League 25/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Henan Jianye wins the match.”

1. Home Performance: Henan Jianye has a strong home performance with a 40% win rate in their last 5 matches. Additionally, they have managed to maintain a balanced record in terms of goals scored and conceded, suggesting that they can hold their own against formidable opponents.

2. Opponent’s Poor Away Performance: Qingdao Youth Island seems to struggle in away matches, with only a 20% win rate and an average of 3.2 goals conceded per match in their last 5 games. This indicates that their defense could be vulnerable against Henan Jianye’s attack.

3. Favorable Success Probability: According to statistics, Henan Jianye has a 64.62% chance of winning this match, which is a fairly high success probability. This, combined with their home performances and Qingdao Youth Island’s away struggles, supports the prediction that Henan Jianye will win this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Recent statistics show that both teams have a clear trend of scoring and conceding goals. Henan Jianye has scored 7 goals and conceded 7 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Qingdao Youth Island has scored 6 goals and conceded 9 goals in their last 5 away matches. These numbers suggest that both teams have vulnerable defenses and attacking capabilities, favoring a match with over 2.5 goals.

2. The average goals per match for both teams exceed 2.5. Henan Jianye averages 1.4 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per home match. Similarly, Qingdao Youth Island also averages 1.4 goals scored per away match, but concedes an average of 3.2 goals. This indicates that in previous encounters, the total goals scored by both teams have often exceeded 2.5 goals.

3. The odds offered by bookmakers confirm this trend. The market probability for “Over 2.5 goals in the match” is 61.03%, indicating a significant preference for this scenario.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Henan Jianye and Qingdao Youth Island have an average of 1.4 goals per match at home and away respectively, showing that they both have offensive capabilities.
2. Both teams have relatively weak defensive records, with Henan Jianye conceding on average 2 goals per home match and Qingdao Youth Island conceding an average of 3.2 goals per away match, increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring.
3. In their respective last 5 matches, Henan Jianye has scored in each home match and Qingdao Youth Island has managed to score in three of their away matches, indicating a consistent trend for both teams to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Henan Jianye 2-1 Qingdao Youth Island

1. Statistically, Henan Jianye has a high probability of winning at home with a success rate of 64.62% and a relatively solid defense demonstrated by the fact that they have scored and conceded the same number of goals in their last 5 home matches.
2. On the other hand, Qingdao Youth Island has a poor record when it comes to away matches, with only a 20% win rate and a defensive potential rate exceeding 100%, meaning they tend to concede more goals than they score.
3. Based on the average number of goals scored (1.4 for Henan and 1.4 for Qingdao) and conceded (2 for Henan and 3.2 for Qingdao) per match, a score of 2-1 for Henan Jianye seems quite plausible, with both teams having a likelihood of scoring according to the statistics, but Henan being more likely to net an additional goal given their better home performance.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Henan Jianye has been solid at home lately with a 40% win rate and no losses. It certainly helps when their average goals scored is higher than those conceded. On the flip side, Qingdao Youth Island seems to struggle away from home with only a 20% win rate and a somewhat leaky defense.

The odds are heavily favoring Henan Jianye with a 64.62% chance of winning. Based on the statistics, there is a higher likelihood of this match ending in a Henan Jianye victory or a draw, with a probability of 85.13%.

Moreover, the statistics also suggest that this match could see plenty of goals. The probability of there being over 1.5 goals is significant, estimated at 83.59%. Both teams often score, with a probability of 56.41%.

Considering these numbers, it would be wise to bet on either Henan Jianye or a draw. Additionally, it seems like the match will be high-scoring, so it could be profitable to bet on over 1.5 goals. However, in sports betting, nothing is ever certain. It’s up to each individual to make their choice.

The potential number of goals

Henan Jianye, at home, has a balanced record with 40% wins and 60% draws. They have scored as many goals as they have conceded: 7.
On the other hand, Qingdao Youth Island struggles away from home with only 20% wins. They have scored 6 goals but have conceded more, 9 in total.
Henan Jianye’s offensive game at home is average with 1.4 goals per match. Defensively, they concede 2 goals per game.
Qingdao Youth Island, when playing away, is similar in attack with also 1.4 goals per match. However, their defense leaks with 3.2 goals conceded per game.
Note that the probability of Henan Jianye winning is 64.62%, compared to 14.87% for Qingdao Youth Island. A draw is less likely at 20.51%.
In terms of goals, the probability of the match exceeding 1.5 goals is 83.59% and 61.03% for over 2.5 goals.
Regarding both teams, they have a respective 56.41% chance of scoring.
In summary, Henan Jianye appears stronger, especially at home. The chances of the match exceeding 1.5 goals are very high. Therefore, a favorable prediction could be a win for Henan Jianye with over 1.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering their recent form, Henan Jianye appears to be the clear favorite in this Super League match against Qingdao Youth Island. Their superior home performance combined with Qingdao Youth Island’s struggles in away games further strengthens this notion. Goal analysis also suggests that we could witness a high-scoring game, with a high likelihood of more than 2.5 goals being scored. Bettors might find the bet “Henan Jianye to win and over 2.5 goals in the match” intriguing.

However, it is important to emphasize that surprises are always possible in football and predictions never guarantee a certain outcome. Ultimately, the decision to bet depends on a personal choice based on analysis, probabilities, but also one’s own intuition and understanding of the game.