Tipps Heracles Heerenveen Eredivisie 14/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Heracles wins the match.

1. Heracles’ home performance is quite strong compared to Heerenveen’s away performance. In their last 5 home matches, Heracles has won 60% of the time and drawn 20% of the time. Additionally, they have an average of 1.8 goals per match, demonstrating an offensive potential of 64%. In comparison, Heerenveen has only won 20% of their away matches and drawn 40% of the time with a lower offensive potential of 57%.

2. Heracles’ defense appears to be stronger than Heerenveen’s. On average, Heracles concedes 1 goal per home match, indicating a defensive potential of 36%, while Heerenveen concedes an average of 2.4 goals per match in their away games, giving them a defensive potential of 86%, significantly lower than that of Heracles.

3. Considering the provided success probabilities, the probability of the match ending in a draw or with a Heracles win is higher (61.9%) compared to a Heerenveen win (38.1%). This suggests that the bet “Draw or Heracles win the match” is more likely to succeed based on the statistics.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The statistics show a strong trend for goal-filled matches. In the last five games, Heracles has scored 14 goals and conceded 18, while Heerenveen has scored 8 and conceded 11. This demonstrates a tendency for both teams to both score and concede goals.

2. The offensive and defensive potential of these two teams suggest that the match could be high-scoring. Heracles has an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 36%, while Heerenveen has an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 86%. These statistics indicate that there are good chances for the match to have over 2.5 goals.

3. Betting data also suggests a high-scoring match. The probability assigned to a match with over 2.5 goals is 61.9% with odds of 1.69, which is quite high. This shows that the bookmakers also consider there are good chances for the match to see over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes.

1. Match History: Recent matches for Heracles at home and Heerenveen away show that both teams have a tendency to score goals. Heracles have scored in all of their last five home matches, while Heerenveen have scored in three of their last five away matches.

2. Offensive Potential: Statistics indicate that both Heracles and Heerenveen have a significant offensive potential. Heracles scores an average of 1.8 goals per home match, while Heerenveen scores an average of 1.6 goals per away match, suggesting that both teams have enough attacking ability to score in the same match.

3. Defensive Weakness: In addition to their offensive capabilities, their defensive performances also point towards a scenario where both teams score. Heracles concedes an average of 1 goal per home match, while Heerenveen concedes an average of 2.4 goals per away match. This defensive weakness on both sides could allow each team to find the back of the net.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Heracles 2-1 Heerenveen

1. Heracles has proven to be a strong team at home, winning 60% of their last 5 home matches and scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game. This suggests an ability to score at least 2 goals against Heerenveen.

2. Although Heerenveen has a good record of draws away from home (40% in the last 5 matches), their defense seems weak with an average of 2.4 goals conceded per game and a defensive ability of 86%. It would therefore be logical to expect them to concede at least 2 goals against Heracles.

3. The probabilities strongly favor over 2.5 goals in the match (61.9%), indicating that a scoreline of 2-1 is quite possible. Additionally, both teams have a 58.73% probability of scoring in the match, further reinforcing the likelihood of the predicted score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Heracles has won 3 out of its last 5 home matches. They have scored 14 goals in 5 games, with an average of 1.8 goals per match. They have conceded 1 goal per match on average. Their attack is efficient at 64%, but their defense is weak at 36%.

Heerenveen rarely wins away matches, with only 1 victory in 5 attempts. They have scored 8 goals, averaging 1.6 per match, and conceded 11 goals, averaging 2.4 per match. Their attack is average at 57%, but their defense is weak at 86%.

Heracles has a near 39% chance of winning, while a draw is less likely at 23%. Heerenveen has similar chances of winning at 38.1%.

The option “draw or Heracles win” has a probability of 61.9%, while “draw or Heerenveen win” is at 61.11%.

There is a very high probability of over 1.5 goals in the match – 80.16%. Over 2.5 goals is at 61.9%, and under 3.5 goals is probable at 69.05%.

Both teams score quite often, with a probability of 58.73%, and less chance of both teams not scoring at 41.27%.

Considering these stats, factors, and recent team performances, a match with multiple goals is quite plausible. Heracles has a good chance of not losing this match.

The potential number of goals

Heracles is strong at home with a 60% win rate. They score an average of 1.8 goals per game and concede 1 goal per game. Their offensive potential is 64%, while their defensive potential is 36%.

Heerenveen struggles away from home with only a 20% win rate. They score an average of 1.6 goals per game but concede more, at 2.4 goals per game. Their offensive potential is 57% and their defensive potential is 86%.

Heracles has a 38.89% chance of winning, while Heerenveen has a 38.10% chance. A draw is at 23.02%.

Betting on over 1.5 goals in the match seems sensible, with an 80.16% probability of success.

Less than 3.5 goals in the match has a 69.05% success rate. The bet of over 2.5 goals offers a 61.9% probability of success.

Both teams have a good offensive potential, with a 58.73% probability of both teams scoring.

Heracles’ recent home games show a tendency towards high scores. Heerenveen has inconsistent results away from home.

Prediction: a closely contested match with over 1.5 goals. Both teams could score.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this detailed analysis suggests that there is a high likelihood of seeing a goal-filled match between Heracles and Heerenveen. Considering Heracles’ strong home performance history and Heerenveen’s recognized defensive weakness, the possibility of this match ending 2-1 in favor of Heracles seems quite plausible. The bet “Over 2.5 goals in the match” is identified as offering an interesting value bet given the offensive potential of both teams. Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring in this encounter is quite high.

It is important to note, however, that in sports betting, there is never absolute certainty. While statistics and probabilities can guide bettors towards the most likely scenarios, they do not guarantee results. Sporting events are always prone to surprises. Even if the data in this prediction supports the idea of a victory or draw in favor of Heracles, a total of goals exceeding 2.5, and both teams scoring, the final outcome remains uncertain. Therefore, it is always recommended to bet responsibly and never to spend more than what one is willing to lose.