Tipps HNK Gorica HNK Rijeka Prva HNL 14/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Rijeka wins the match.

1. Rijeka has a higher probability of winning the match, with a success rate of 58.42%, compared to Gorica who has a success rate of 14.74%.
2. Rijeka has a stronger offensive potential in their away matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game, while Gorica only averages 1.2 goals at home. This suggests that Rijeka may have a better offensive performance during the match.
3. Looking at recent performances, Rijeka managed to secure a draw in their last two away games, demonstrating their solid defense. On the other hand, Gorica failed to keep a clean sheet in two of their last five home matches, which could be an advantage for Rijeka.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive performances of both teams are quite weak: In their last 5 home matches, HNK Gorica scored a total of 10 goals, averaging 2 goals per match, while Rijeka scored only 2 goals in their last 5 away matches, averaging 0.4 goals per match.

2. The defenses are rather solid: During the same periods, HNK Gorica conceded 10 goals at home (an average of 2 goals per match) and Rijeka only conceded 2 goals away (an average of 0.4 goals per match).

3. The overall statistics of the number of goals in the matches of both teams show a tendency towards less than 2.5 goals: Taking into account all matches of these two teams, the percentage of games ending with less than 2.5 goals is over 50% (specifically 56.32% with odds of 1.83).

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Rijeka’s Offensive Performance: Over their last 5 away matches, Rijeka has shown a rather weak offensive performance with only 2 goals scored, averaging 0.4 goals per match. Furthermore, in two of their recent away matches, they failed to score at all.

2. HNK Gorica’s Defensive Performance: At home, HNK Gorica has demonstrated a solid defensive capability, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match, and in two of their last 5 home matches, they did not concede any goals.

3. Statistical Probability: Statistics also indicate a 54.74% probability of both teams not scoring. The odds for this scenario are also favorable at 1.83, further highlighting the likelihood of this outcome.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or HNK Gorica wins the match: 2.25

Bet on the exact result

HNK Gorica 1-2 Rijeka

1. The statistics show a clear advantage for the Rijeka team: with a 58.42% probability of winning, an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 50%, they are superior to those of HNK Gorica. This indicates that Rijeka has a greater chance of scoring and winning the match.

2. Recent match history of both teams suggests a limited number of goals. For HNK Gorica at home, they have scored 10 goals in 5 matches and conceded 10, while Rijeka away has only scored 2 goals and also conceded 2 in 5 matches. Although it is likely that both teams will score, the probable final score will be low.

3. On average, HNK Gorica scores 1.2 goals per home match and Rijeka scores 1.6 goals away. The prediction of 2-1 for Rijeka aligns with these averages and the general tendency of both teams to keep the number of goals relatively low. Additionally, this corresponds to the odds for “over 1.5 goals in the match,” which is the most likely outcome based on the displayed odds.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

HNK Gorica performs well at home with a 60% win rate. However, their defense is weak, having conceded 10 goals in 5 matches, averaging 2 goals conceded per match.
Rijeka, on the other hand, does not excel on the road, with only a 20% win rate and 2 goals scored in 5 games. They have managed to keep a solid defense, also conceding 2 goals.
The offensive and defensive statistics slightly favor Rijeka. However, Gorica tends to score goals when playing at home.
The odds heavily favor Rijeka with a 58.42% chance of winning. Nonetheless, a draw is not out of the question with odds of 3.75.
High-scoring games are unlikely. There is a 74.21% chance of a result with more than 1.5 goals and a 43.68% chance of a result with more than 2.5 goals. Bets on a score below 3.5 goals have a high success probability of 83.68%.
There is a slight inclination towards both teams not scoring, with a 54.74% chance.
Based on recent matches, HNK Gorica has defeated NK Varazdin, Rudes, and NK Lokomotiva without conceding a goal. In contrast, Rijeka has struggled away from home, suffering a 5-0 defeat against Olimpija Ljubljana.
In conclusion, the match appears to be unbalanced with Rijeka being the favorite. However, a defensive error from their side could allow Gorica to score. Considering the statistics, a bet on “under 2.5 goals in the match” could be an interesting option.

The potential number of goals

HNK Gorica has shown a decent performance in their recent home matches, with a 60% win rate but an even 10 goals scored and conceded. On the other hand, Rijeka seems to struggle away from home with only a 20% win rate and a total of 2 goals in their last 5 matches.

Offensively, Gorica averages 1.2 goals per match, while Rijeka scores slightly higher at 1.6 on average. Defensively, both teams concede an average of 1.4 goals per match.

The probabilities favor Rijeka with a 58.42% chance of winning this match. There is also a high potential for a match with over 1.5 goals (74.21% probability) but less than 3.5 goals (83.68% probability).

Gorica’s previous home games suggest they have a solid defense, keeping clean sheets in two of their last five matches. Rijeka, when playing away, has struggled to score but has kept two clean sheets as well.

Overall, the numbers point towards a close match with a slight edge for Rijeka. However, considering Gorica’s offensive potential at home, a draw or a Gorica win could be a possibility (41.58% probability).

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between HNK Gorica and Rijeka promises to be interesting. Based on the analysis of the available statistics, Rijeka seems to have a significant advantage, especially in terms of offensive performance away from home and overall probability of winning. However, Gorica has shown that they can be a serious contender, especially when playing at home. Therefore, bettors should carefully consider the “under 2.5 goals” bet and take into account the possibility of a draw or a Gorica win. In any case, bettors should always make informed decisions based on all available information and consider the fact that sports are inherently unpredictable.