Tipps HNK Rijeka Sibenik Prva HNL 22/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Rijeka wins the match

1. Rijeka has a higher home win percentage for this match (65.43%) compared to Sibenik’s away win probability (15.43%), indicating that Rijeka has a greater chance of winning this match.

2. By analyzing past performances, Rijeka has shown a very strong offense in home matches, scoring an average of 1 goal per game, compared to Sibenik’s average of 0.8 goals per game in away matches.

3. Looking at defensive statistics, Rijeka concedes an average of 1.4 goals per game at home, while Sibenik concedes an average of 1 goal per game away. This gives Rijeka a defensive advantage, thereby increasing its chances of winning the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive performance of Rijeka at home and Sibenik away totals an average of 1.8 goals per match. This is a positive indicator as the forecast requires more than 2.5 goals in the match.

2. The defensive performance of both teams shows that they concede more than they score. Rijeka concedes 1.4 goals per home match and Sibenik concedes 1 goal per away match. This means both teams are prone to conceding goals, increasing the probability of a total of over 2.5 goals.

3. Betting statistics show a 59.04% chance of success for over 2.5 goals in this match. This high probability rate reinforces the forecast that there will be over 2.5 goals in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics show that Rijeka has an average of 1 goal scored per match at home and Sibenik has an average of 0.8 goals scored away. These numbers indicate that both teams have sufficient attacking potential to score during the match.

2. Studying the last 5 matches of each team reveals that Rijeka has conceded 11 goals at home, averaging over 2 goals per match. Similarly, Sibenik has conceded 7 goals in 5 away matches. The defense of both teams shows weaknesses that could allow the opposing team to score.

3. The calculated probability (51.06%) for both teams to score is above 50%, indicating that based on the available data, it is more likely that both teams will manage to score during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

The “value bet” would be: “Sibenik to win the match” with odds at 7.00.

Bet on the exact result

Rijeka 2-1 Sibenik.

1. Statistics show that one of the teams has scored at least one goal in the last 5 home matches of Rijeka and the last 5 away matches of Sibenik. Furthermore, there is a 51.06% probability that both teams will score during the match. Therefore, the hypothesis of a 2-1 score is plausible.

2. The average goals per match for Rijeka at home (1 goal) and Sibenik away (0.8 goals) are close to the predicted 2-1 score. Additionally, betting odds indicate a higher probability (59.04%) for over 2.5 goals in the match, which aligns with our exact score prediction.

3. Based on the win probabilities, Rijeka has a success probability of 65.43%, significantly higher than Sibenik’s (15.43%). It is therefore more likely that Rijeka will win the match, further supporting our 2-1 score prediction in favor of Rijeka.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Rijeka has an average performance at home, winning 40% of their last 5 matches. In these matches, they scored 11 goals but also conceded 11.

Sibenik, playing away, shows a stronger performance with a 60% win rate. They managed to score 6 goals but also conceded 7.

In terms of potential, Rijeka has a 36% attack rate and a 50% defense rate, while Sibenik has a 29% attack rate and a 36% defense rate.

The probabilities favor Rijeka to win with a 65.43% chance. A draw is less likely at 19.15%, and a victory for Sibenik is the least likely at 15.43%.

Regarding the number of goals, there is an 81.38% chance of over 1.5 goals in the match, but under 2.5 goals is probable at 59.04%.

Let’s look at the previous matches. Rijeka has not lost in their last 5 home matches, notably achieving two consecutive 4-0 wins. Sibenik, on the other hand, has won 3 out of their last 5 away matches.

Prediction: Based on this data, Rijeka seems to have the advantage of playing at home and is favored to win or draw, but surprises can always happen. The number of goals is likely to be over 1.5 but under 2.5.

The potential number of goals

Analysis of the Rijeka vs Sibenik match:

Rijeka, at home, wins 40% of their matches and has an average offensive and defensive strength with 11 goals scored and 11 conceded. They notably beat NK Istra 1961 and NK Lokomotiva 4-0.

Sibenik, away from home, wins 60% of their matches despite a total of 6 goals scored and 7 conceded. A 2-0 victory against Zrinski Jurjevac and a 2-1 win against Osijek are notable.

Rijeka scores on average 1 goal per match at home compared to 0.8 for Sibenik away.

In terms of defense, Rijeka concedes 1.4 goals on average against 1 for Sibenik.

Odds: 65.43% chance of a Rijeka win (odds at 1.36), compared to 15.43% chance for Sibenik (odds at 7.00).

There’s an 81.38% chance of seeing more than 1.5 goals in the match (odds at 1.20), 59.04% for over 2.5 goals (odds at 1.67).

There’s a 51.06% chance that both teams will score (odds at 1.85).

Prediction: Rijeka wins with more than 1.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, with a high win probability of 65.43% for Rijeka, the team appears to be the safest choice for a bet on the Rijeka vs Sibenik match. Additionally, the prediction indicates a strong likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match, which could also be a good bet to consider. The Both Teams to Score bet is also intriguing with a 51.06% probability. However, the “value bet” on a Sibenik victory offers enticing odds of 7.00, although it is a risky option. As for the exact score, the forecast leans towards a 2-1 result in favor of Rijeka, but this type of bet remains uncertain and subject to significant variability.

Overall, this analysis is based on a combination of factors, including past performances, average goals scored and conceded, calculated probabilities, and other statistical indicators to offer various betting options to bettors. While these predictions may provide some guidance, sports betting always involves a degree of risk and final results are unpredictable. Therefore, each bet should be placed thoughtfully, taking into account these tips as well as one’s own analysis and intuition.