Tipps Hong Kong Iran World Cup - Qualification Asia 06/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Iran wins the match”

1. Iran has a much better record in their recent away games than Hong Kong at home: Iran has won 80% of their matches while Hong Kong has not won any of their home matches.

2. Iran’s offensive power is far superior to that of Hong Kong. Indeed, Iran scores an average of 2.2 goals per match away, while Hong Kong only scores 0.2 at home.

3. Defensive statistics also favor Iran, as they concede fewer goals on average than Hong Kong (1 compared to 2.4). Iran is thus more likely to maintain their lead once in front.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5”

1. Iran has a strong offensive potential in their away matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game. This suggests that they are likely to score at least two goals in this match against Hong Kong.

2. Hong Kong has a weak defensive potential in their home matches, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per game. This trend, combined with Iran’s strong attack, increases the chances of there being more than 2.5 goals in the match.

3. Past results show a trend of high scores in Iran’s away matches (13 goals scored and 13 goals conceded in the last 5 matches), indicating that it is likely that the total goals in this match will exceed 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Over their last 5 home matches, Hong Kong has scored very few goals (0.2 goals per match on average) while Iran has a defensive potential of 36%. Therefore, Hong Kong is at risk of not scoring in this match.

2. Iran, in their last 5 away matches, has shown excellent offensive performance with an average of 2.2 goals per match. Consequently, they are likely to score against Hong Kong who has a very high defensive potential (86%).

3. The results of past matches between these two teams show a high probability of only one team scoring during the match (e.g. Hong Kong 0 – 1 Iran). The bet “both teams to score: no” has a great chance of happening.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Iran wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Hong Kong 0-2 Iran

1. Recent statistics show a significantly better performance by Iran, especially with an average of 2.2 goals scored per away match, compared to a modest average of 0.2 goals scored by Hong Kong at home. This difference in offensive performance suggests that Iran will score at least 2 goals.

2. As for defense, Hong Kong tends to concede more goals than they score at home, with an average of 2.4 goals conceded per match. This, combined with Iran’s strong offensive performance mentioned earlier, suggests that Hong Kong is unlikely to score.

3. Based on previous matches, Hong Kong’s score against Iran was 0-1. Given that Iran has further improved their attack since that match, it is likely that this time Iran will score 2 goals against Hong Kong.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Hong Kong struggles at home with a 0% win rate in 5 matches. They have scored 3 goals and conceded 5. Their defensive game seems more effective than their attack.

On the other hand, Iran is formidable on the road. They have won 80% of their last 5 matches, scoring 13 goals. However, they have also conceded 13 goals.

On average, Hong Kong scores 0.2 goals per home match and concedes 2.4 goals. Their offensive potential is low at 7%, while their defense remains solid at 86%.

Iran, away from home, scores an average of 2.2 goals per match and concedes only one goal. Their offensive potential is at 79% and defensive at 36%.

The success probabilities for different match scenarios are at 0%.

Hong Kong doesn’t score often, and Iran is strong on the road. This suggests a low-scoring match. Bets on “under 3.5 goals in the match” and “under 4.5 goals in the match” have a 100% chance of success.

Only the outcome of “both teams don’t score” suggests a 100% chance of success.

The recent home matches of Hong Kong and away matches of Iran confirm these trends. Hong Kong was defeated by Uzbekistan, Palestine, Iran, Tajikistan, and drew with Turkmenistan.

On the other hand, Iran has won against Turkmenistan, Hong Kong, Indonesia, and Qatar, and drew with Uzbekistan.

In conclusion, Iran seems better positioned to win this match, but there may be fewer goals scored than average.

The potential number of goals

Hong Kong has struggled at home. In their last 5 matches, they have had no wins and 80% draws. They have only scored 3 goals while conceding 5. Offensively weak, they score 0.2 goals per match on average. Their defense concedes an average of 2.4 goals.

Iran seems more solid away from home. They have won 80% of their last 5 matches, scored 13 goals, and conceded the same. They score an average of 2.2 goals per match and concede 1.

Previous matches for Hong Kong at home have shown few goals. They notably lost 0-2 to Uzbekistan and 0-3 to Palestine.

For Iran, away from home, they beat Indonesia 0-5 and Qatar 0-4.

Prediction based on these numbers: Iran would be favored. Not sure for both teams to score, 100% probability that they won’t according to the stats.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, Iran appears to be the clear favorite in this match. Their away performances significantly outshine Hong Kong’s home record, both offensively and defensively. Bets on “Iran to win the match,” “over 2.5 goals in the match,” and “both teams to score” seem to be safe choices. As for exact score bets, considering Hong Kong’s limited offensive capabilities and Iran’s efficient attack, a 0-2 scoreline in favor of Iran would be a wise bet. In terms of value bets, “Iran to win the match” offers an excellent risk/reward ratio. Overall, current statistics and trends point towards an Iran advantage in the match, with a high probability of more than 2.5 goals being scored.