Tipps Houston Dynamo Atlas Leagues Cup 28/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Houston Dynamo wins the match

1. Houston Dynamo’s home performances are better than Atlas’ away performances, with a win rate of 40% compared to 20% respectively. Additionally, Houston Dynamo has a home offensive potential of 64%, compared to only 43% for Atlas away.
2. Compared to Atlas, Houston Dynamo has a higher likelihood of winning the match at 41.75% against 26.29%, giving Houston Dynamo a significant advantage especially as they are playing at home.
3. The possibility of a draw is quite high (31.96%). Combined with the probability of Houston Dynamo winning (41.75%), this provides an overall probability of 73.71% that the match will end in a draw or with a win for Houston Dynamo.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. The statistics from Houston Dynamo’s recent home matches show a trend towards high-scoring games, with an average of 1.8 goals scored per match and conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match.
2. The statistics from Atlas’s recent away matches also show a tendency towards high-scoring games, with an average of 1.2 goals scored per match and conceding an average of 1 goal per match.
3. Analyzing the odds, it indicates that the bet “Over 2.5 goals in the match” has a success probability of 46.39%, which is a fairly high rate that supports this prediction.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The goal statistics for both teams show a strong tendency to score in every match. Houston Dynamo has scored 8 goals in 5 home matches and Atlas has scored 7 goals in 5 away matches.

2. Recent match results for both teams show a trend of both teams scoring. In the last 5 home matches for Houston Dynamo, they have scored and conceded at least once each time. Similarly, Atlas has scored and conceded at least once in 4 of their last 5 away matches.

3. The probability of success for different scenarios also supports this hypothesis. Indeed, based on the provided probabilities, it is more likely that both teams will score with a success probability of 58.25%, compared to a 41.75% probability that both teams will not score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Houston Dynamo 2-2 Atlas

1. The past performance of both teams shows a trend towards balanced scores. Specifically, Houston Dynamo has scored 1.8 goals per home match, and Atlas has scored 1.2 goals per away match. This statistic suggests that both teams have competent attacks that could contribute to a 2-2 scoreline.

2. In their respective last 5 matches, Atlas has drawn 60% of the time away from home, with two of those draws being 2-2 scores. On the other hand, although Houston Dynamo has not drawn at home over the same period, they did record a 2-2 scoreline in one of the matches. This indicates a possibility of a repeat scenario when they meet.

3. The probability of both teams scoring is 58.25%, which is quite high and confirms the offensive potential of each team. Furthermore, the probability of the match having over 2.5 goals is 46.39%, which is almost a 50/50 chance. This strengthens the argument that a specific score of 2-2 is plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Houston Dynamo has a mixed home performance with 2 wins out of 5. They score an average of 1.8 goals per match, while conceding 1.4 goals per match.

On the other hand, Atlas has shown less performance away from home with only 1 win in their last 5 matches. Their average goals per match are 1.2 scored and 1 conceded.

Analyzing the probabilities, Houston Dynamo has a 41.75% chance of winning the match, while Atlas has a 26.29% chance of winning.

Stats indicate a 73.2% probability for a match with over 1.5 goals. Both teams have a respective 58.25% and 41.75% probability of scoring.

In conclusion, a bet on a Houston Dynamo win with over 1.5 goals in the match could be an interesting option. However, considering the current form of both teams, it is advisable to proceed with caution.

The potential number of goals

Houston Dynamo has an average home performance with a 40% win rate, but a weak defense having conceded 9 goals in the last 5 matches.
Atlas shows resilience away from home with a 60% draw rate. They have a decent defense, having conceded 7 goals in 5 matches.
Houston Dynamo has a 64% offensive potential at home, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match.
On the other hand, Atlas has a lower offensive potential at 43%, scoring 1.2 goals per match away.
In terms of probabilities, the match slightly favors Houston Dynamo with a 41.75% chance of winning compared to 26.29% for Atlas.
More than 1.5 goals in the match have a high probability of 73.2%, indicating a rather offensive game.
Both teams have a 58.25% probability of scoring, which could make the match interesting.
In conclusion, the current momentum could slightly favor Houston Dynamo. The best strategy might be to bet on over 1.5 goals in total in the match. However, statistics also suggest the possibility of a draw.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on past performances and available statistics, it is clear that this match between Houston Dynamo and Atlas could prove to be an interesting and potentially profitable one for bettors. Houston Dynamo seems to have an advantage with a 40% home win rate and a considerable goal-scoring rate, but Atlas also defends well away from home with a relatively low goals conceded record.

However, it is also important to note that Atlas has a high draw rate, making it a crucial consideration for bettors. Additionally, the rate of matches with over 2.5 goals is quite high, suggesting that a high-scoring game could be on the cards.

Final conclusion: Based on current probabilities, a bet on a draw or a Houston Dynamo win, with over 2.5 goals in the match and both teams to score, seems like a viable option to consider. However, as always with sports betting, nothing is guaranteed, and it is important to bet responsibly.