Tipps Houston Dynamo Seattle Sounders Major League Soccer 04/11/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Seattle Sounders wins the match

1. Away Performance: Seattle Sounders has an 80% away win rate, significantly higher than Houston Dynamo’s 60% home win rate. Seattle Sounders also scored more goals on average in their recent away matches compared to Houston Dynamo at home.

2. Defensive and Offensive Efficiency: Seattle Sounders have a better offensive efficiency at 43% compared to Houston Dynamo’s 29%. In terms of defense, Seattle Sounders are less likely to concede goals, which strengthens the likelihood of the team winning the match.

3. Recent Away Match History: In their recent away matches, Seattle Sounders have put in strong performances with majority wins against competitive teams like Colorado Rapids and Columbus Crew. Conversely, while Houston Dynamo has won some of their recent home matches, they have not shown the same level of consistency.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The statistics show a trend for matches with a moderate number of goals: Houston Dynamo has scored 9 goals in their last 5 home matches, and Seattle Sounders has scored 11 goals in their last 5 away matches. This suggests an average of less than 2.5 goals per match for each team.

2. Analysis of the defensive performances of both teams indicates a tendency to keep the goal count relatively low: Houston Dynamo has an average of 1.2 goals conceded per home match, and Seattle Sounders have an impressive average of only 0.2 goals conceded per away match.

3. The betting statistics themselves suggest a match with under 2.5 goals, with a probability of 74.11% for under 3.5 goals in the match and 72.08% for over 1.5 goals. This implies that under 2.5 goals is a good prediction for the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. The statistics from the recent matches show that both teams have a strong tendency to score, with Houston Dynamo scoring 9 goals in their last 5 home matches, and Seattle Sounders scoring 11 goals in their last 5 away matches.

2. Based on defensive statistics, both teams tend to concede goals. Houston Dynamo has conceded 9 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Seattle Sounders has conceded 13 goals in their last 5 away matches.

3. The offensive and defensive potential percentages of both teams are relatively balanced, suggesting a high possibility of both teams scoring during the match. Houston Dynamo has an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 43%, while Seattle Sounders has an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 7%. The probabilities indicate that both teams have the ability to attack and score goals.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Seattle Sounders win the match – 1.65

Bet on the exact result

Houston Dynamo 1-2 Seattle Sounders

1. Seattle Sounders has an impressive away record, winning in 80% of cases. They have also scored an average of 1.2 goals per match, suggesting that they are likely to score at least 1 or 2 goals against Houston Dynamo.

2. Houston Dynamo, despite having a good home record, has conceded an average of 1.2 goals per match in their last 5 home games. This shows that they are vulnerable to conceding goals, especially against an offensive team like Seattle Sounders.

3. The probability of having more than 1.5 goals in the match is 72.08%, suggesting that the match is likely to have 2 goals or more. Combined with Seattle Sounders’ offensive statistics and Houston Dynamo’s defensive statistics, a score of 1-2 in favor of Seattle Sounders is a reasonable prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Houston Dynamo has had a mixed record at home recently, with a 60% win rate and no draws (0%). The team has scored 9 goals while conceding the same. The offensive efficiency stands at 29%, and the defensive efficiency at 43%.

On the other hand, Seattle Sounders have shown strong performance away from home, winning 80% of their matches without any draws. The team has scored 11 goals and conceded 13. Offensive efficiency is at 43%, and defensive efficiency at 7%.

The probability of Houston Dynamo winning the match is 40.1% with odds at 2.35. A draw is less likely at 29.44%, with odds at 3.40. A victory for Seattle Sounders is even less certain at a 30.46% probability, with odds at 3.10.

When combining options, the probability of the match ending in a draw or a Houston victory is 69.54% (odds of 1.38), while the probability of a draw or a Seattle victory is 59.9% (odds of 1.65).

In terms of goals, one can expect over 1.5 goals in the match with a probability of 72.08% (odds of 1.33). Over 2.5 goals have a lower chance of occurring at 46.19% (odds of 2.00).

Finally, there is almost an equal chance of both teams scoring (48.22%, odds at 1.80) as there is of at least one team not scoring (51.78%, odds at 2.00).

The recent performances of both teams support this analysis: Houston with closely contested home matches, while Seattle often triumphs away. Nevertheless, caution is advised, as each match is unique.

The potential number of goals

Houston Dynamo has an average home performance, with a 60% win rate, but a perfect balance between goals scored and conceded (9 goals in each case). On the other hand, Seattle Sounders is quite strong away from home, having won 80% of their matches and scored 11 goals while conceding 13.

Houston Dynamo’s offensive output is slightly below average, with only 0.8 goals per game, while their defense is more stable, conceding 1.2 goals per game. At the same time, Seattle Sounders showcase a robust offense with 1.2 goals per game and a solid defense, conceding only 0.2 goals per game.

Based on the probabilities, there is a higher chance (40.1%) of Houston Dynamo winning the match, even though the probability of a draw or Seattle winning is not far behind (59.9%). The numbers also suggest a high probability of less than 4.5 goals in the match (91.37%).

Analysis of the recent matches shows that Houston Dynamo has performed well at home, securing victories against LA Galaxy, New England, and Real Salt Lake. Seattle Sounders have also had strong away performances, with wins against Colorado Rapids, Vancouver Whitecaps, Columbus Crew, and Minnesota United FC.

An interesting prediction would be to bet on less than 4.5 goals in the match, with a success probability of 91.37% and odds of 1.10. Another option would be to bet on a draw or a Houston Dynamo win, with a success probability of 69.54% and odds of 1.38.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

To conclude, the match between Houston Dynamo and Seattle Sounders predicts an interesting game with a high potential for Seattle Sounders to win or at least draw due to their strong away performance and offensive superiority. Hence, a safe bet would be to wager on “Draw or Seattle Sounders to win the match”. As for the exact score, our analysis suggests a possible scoreline of 1-2 in favor of Seattle Sounders. The defensive trend of Houston Dynamo and the expected offensive prowess of Seattle Sounders point towards a game with under 2.5 goals. However, statistics support the possibility of both teams scoring during the match. In essence, every bet carries its risks and it is advisable to consider this analysis while also being mindful of the inevitable uncertainty in any football match.