Tipps Huachipato Cobresal Primera Division 10/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Huachipato wins the match”

1. Huachipato’s recent home performance has been more stable than Cobresal’s away form. While Huachipato has only won 20% of their last 5 home matches, they have managed to draw in 60% of those games, compared to Cobresal’s 20% win rate and 20% draw rate away.

2. Huachipato’s defensive potential at home (64%) is slightly lower than Cobresal’s away form (79%), meaning Huachipato is more likely to limit the number of goals scored by Cobresal.

3. The indicated success probability for a Huachipato win is 51.56%, which is higher than that of a draw (27.08%) or a Cobresal win (21.35%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. Recent statistics for Huachipato show that they have had a low offensive output at home, scoring only 4 goals in their last 5 matches. This indicates a persistent trend towards low scores when playing at home.

2. Cobresal, on the other hand, has also demonstrated a moderate offensive performance on the road, also scoring fewer goals, with only 7 goals in 5 matches. Cobresal’s limited ability to score away from home reinforces the idea of a low-scoring match.

3. Additionally, both teams have rather strong defensive tendencies, with Huachipato conceding 5 goals at home in 5 matches and Cobresal conceding 9 goals on the road. These numbers show that both teams are more focused on defense, which could result in fewer goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Analyzing their recent matches, both teams have been able to score goals consistently. Huachipato has scored in 60% of their recent home matches, while Cobresal has scored in 80% of their recent away matches.

2. Despite their ability to score, both teams also tend to concede goals. Huachipato concedes an average of 1.8 goals per home match, while Cobresal concedes an average of 2.2 goals per away match.

3. The success probabilities also indicate that both teams are likely to score. “Both teams to score” has a success probability of 58.33%, with odds of 1.68. This strongly suggests a match where both teams could find the back of the net.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

“Huachipato 1-1 Cobresal”

1. Analyzing the statistics of Huachipato’s last 5 home matches, there is a clear predominance of draws with an average score close to 1-1, which supports the prediction of a 1-1 score.

2. The defensive statistics of both teams show a tendency to concede goals. Indeed, Huachipato has an average of 1.8 goals conceded per home match and Cobresal has an average of 2.2 goals conceded away. The probability of each team scoring at least one goal is therefore positive.

3. The odds suggest a high probability of both teams scoring in the match (58.33%). Given the average offensive potential of these two teams, a 1-1 score seems quite plausible in this context.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Huachipato shines at home with a 60% draw rate. However, its 20% win rate should not be overlooked. The team’s 4 goals scored against 5 conceded demonstrate a need for defensive improvement.

On the other hand, Cobresal, when playing away, only shows a 20% win rate and draw rate. Their 7 goals scored against 9 conceded indicate a leaky defense.

From both an offensive and defensive perspective, Huachipato averages 1 goal scored and 1.8 conceded per match. Meanwhile, Cobresal scores 1.6 goals but concedes 2.2 per match.

The probability of a Huachipato victory stands at 51.56%.

Regarding the number of goals, there is an 83.85% chance that the match will have over 1.5 goals. The probability of both teams scoring is 58.33%.

Based on these facts, the prediction leans towards either a Huachipato win or a draw.

The potential number of goals

Huachipato, at home, shows a moderate performance. Winning only 20% of its last 5 matches, it scored 4 goals and conceded 5. Even though its offensive potential is at 36%, its defense, at 64%, leaves something to be desired.

Cobresal, playing away, is also struggling with a 20% win rate in its last 5 matches, scoring more, 7 goals, but also conceding more, 9 goals. It has an offensive potential of 57% but a weak defense at 79%.

The probabilities favor Huachipato with a 51.56% chance of winning. The draw is at 27.08% and Cobresal’s victory only has a 21.35% chance. The safest choice appears to be a draw or a win for Huachipato, with a probability of 78.65%.

In terms of goals, the probability is higher for a total over 1.5 goals (83.85%) and over 2.5 goals (55.73%). This aligns with the data from both teams’ recent matches. Both teams to score has a probability of 58.33%.

Based on these data, the match could be tight with potentially more than 2.5 total goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, for the match between Huachipato and Cobresal, the analysis of statistics and probabilities points towards a victory for Huachipato or a draw. Despite a somewhat lackluster performance at home for Huachipato, the team possesses a strong defensive potential and greater stability compared to Cobresal away from home. In terms of total goals, a match with fewer than 2.5 goals seems plausible given the moderate offensive performance of both teams. However, it is highly likely that both teams will score during the match. Lastly, the bet offering an interesting value bet would be a draw, considering Cobresal’s relatively weak defense away from home and Huachipato’s tendency for draws at home. A 1-1 exact score could be the most probable scenario. However, it is up to each bettor to consider these elements but also to rely on their own instincts and personal knowledge of football to place the best possible bet.