Tipps Huachipato Racing Club Copa Sudamericana 14/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Racing Club wins the match”

1. Racing Club has a higher win percentage with a 46.7% probability of winning the match, compared to Huachipato with only 19.8%. This demonstrates Racing Club’s superiority in terms of recent performance.

2. In terms of away performances, Racing Club has managed to score 8 goals in their last 5 matches compared to only 4 goals for Huachipato at home during the same period. This indicates a superior offensive potential for Racing Club despite playing away.

3. Defensive statistics also favor Racing Club. They have conceded only 0.6 goals on average in away matches compared to Huachipato’s 1.2 goals conceded at home, giving Racing Club a better security margin.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The statistics show a rather low average of goals per match for both teams, with Huachipato and Racing Club each averaging 1 goal per match.
2. The defensive potential of both teams is also strong, with Huachipato conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match and Racing Club conceding 0.6 goals per match.
3. The recent matches of both teams demonstrate a relatively low trend in terms of goals scored, with several draws or matches with a low total number of goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The past performances of both teams show a general trend of scoring a relatively low number of goals per match, averaging 1 goal per match for Huachipato at home and for Racing Club away.

2. An analysis of the teams’ recent matches indicates that both teams fail to score in the majority of cases. For example, Huachipato failed to score in 2 of their last 5 home matches, while Racing Club failed to score in 3 of their last 5 away matches.

3. The calculated probability of both teams not scoring is 55.84%, which is a higher success rate than the probability of both teams scoring (44.16%). This suggests a higher level of confidence in the option that both teams will not score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Huachipato 1-1 Racing Club

1. Considering both teams’ recent form over their last 5 matches, their tendency to draw games is significant. Huachipato has drawn 40% of their home matches, just like Racing Club has in their away matches.

2. Both teams have similar offensive and defensive performances. Huachipato scores and concedes an average of 1 goal per home match, while Racing Club scores an average of 1 goal and concedes 0.6 goals per away match. These statistics suggest a closely contested match that could end in a 1-1 draw.

3. The probability calculations for the various possible outcomes highlight the significance of a draw (33.5%). Furthermore, the exact score of 1-1 seems in line with the probabilities related to the number of goals in the match (over 1.5 goals has a success probability of 62.94%, under 3.5 goals has a success probability of 79.19%).

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Huachipato has an average performance at home, with a 20% win rate and 40% draws. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 4 in 5 matches. Racing Club has shown a similar performance away from home: 20% wins and 40% draws, but with more goals scored and conceded, 8 against 12.

In terms of offensive and defensive potential, both teams are equal with an average of one goal scored per match. Huachipato has a slightly superior defense with an average of 1.2 goals conceded compared to Racing Club’s 0.6.

However, the sports betting odds favor Racing Club. Their win has a 46.7% probability compared to 19.8% for Huachipato. The draw is at 33.5%.

The probability of fewer than 1.5 goals being scored is quite low (2.80). On the other hand, there is a 62.94% chance of more than 1.5 goals being scored.

In their recent matches, Huachipato has struggled to score at home (1 goal or less) while Racing Club, when playing away, has shown variability in their ability to score (from 0 to 4 goals).

In conclusion, considering a rather defensive match with an advantage for Racing Club seems to be a reasonable prediction.

The potential number of goals

Huachipato has a poor home performance with only 20% of victories. They have scored 4 goals and conceded the same in their last 5 matches. Their offensive potential is only at 36%, while the defensive is at 43%.

On the other hand, Racing Club is not much better away from home. They have accumulated 20% victories, scored 8 goals and conceded 12. Their offensive potential is also at 36%, but their defense is weaker at 21%.

The probabilities slightly favor Racing Club with 46.7% against 19.8% for Huachipato. A draw is also likely at 33.5%.

The statistics suggest a low-scoring match. Betting reveals that less than 1.5 goals during the match is a viable option. Less than 2.5 goals also have a high success rate of 79.19%.

In conclusion, there is strong support for a low-scoring match, likely a win for Racing Club or a draw. An appropriate betting strategy could be to bet on “less than 2.5 goals in the match”.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on recent statistics and the form of both teams, Racing Club seems to have an advantage for this match with a 46.7% probability of winning compared to Huachipato’s 19.8% chance. However, it is important to note that previous matches between these two teams have shown a trend towards low scores, so it is wise to bet on “under 2.5 goals in the match”. Both teams also have a tendency not to score in the same matches, reinforcing the idea of a low-scoring game. Taking all these factors into account, the safest bet seems to be “under 2.5 goals in the match”. That being said, as always in the field of sports betting, nothing is guaranteed and every bettor should analyze the risks before placing their bet.