Tipps Hungary Israel Matchs amicaux 08/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Hungary wins the match.

1. The first argument is based on the statistics from Hungary’s recent home matches, which show a strong performance. Indeed, Hungary has won 80% of these matches, with a total of 9 goals scored and only 1 conceded per match on average. These figures reflect a solid offensive and defensive performance at home.

2. The second argument concerns Israel’s less convincing performance away from home. In their last five away matches, Israel has shown a tendency to struggle on the road, with only 40% of matches won and a goal deficit (5 goals scored to 8 conceded).

3. Finally, the probability of Hungary’s victory is added as the third argument. Statistical predictions give Hungary a success probability of 52.88% for victory, which is significantly higher than Israel’s success probability (17.28%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The statistics from the last 5 home matches for Hungary show an average of 1.8 goals per match, and for Israel away matches, they score an average of 1 goal per match. Together, this results in a potential average of 2.8 goals per match, which is higher than 2.5 goals.

2. Both teams have relatively high offensive potential, with 64% for Hungary and 36% for Israel. This means they are both capable of scoring goals, increasing the likelihood of there being more than 2.5 goals in the match.

3. The given statistical probability of over 2.5 goals in the match is 55.5%, which is higher than 50%, indicating that based on the available data, it is more likely that the match will end with over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. The last five home matches of Hungary have all seen the team score, showing a strong offensive consistency. This indicates a high potential to score again in this match.
2. Israel has managed to score in three of its last five away matches, indicating that they can also contribute to the scoring.
3. In their current games, Hungary concedes an average of one goal per home match, while Israel concedes an average of 1.6 goals per away match. This trend demonstrates a lack of defensive solidity from both teams which could lead to both teams scoring in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Hungary 2-1 Israel

1. Hungary often performs well at home, with an 80% win rate in their last 5 home matches, showing a dominance and confidence they can use against Israel, who have only won 40% of their last 5 away matches.

2. Hungary has a stronger offensive potential (64%) than Israel’s defensive potential (57%), suggesting a good chance they will score more goals. The prediction of two goals for Hungary aligns with their home goal-scoring average of 1.8 goals per match.

3. Both teams have a tendency to concede goals, with an average of 1 goal conceded per match by Hungary and 1.6 goals conceded per match by Israel away. Additionally, a 56.02% probability of both teams scoring supports the predicted score of 2-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

In their last home matches, Hungary has a solid winning record of 80%. With a total of 9 goals scored, they have shown strong offensive capabilities. However, they have conceded 10 goals, indicating weaknesses in defense.

On the other hand, Israel struggles away from home with only a 40% win rate. They have scored 5 goals, but have struggled defensively, conceding 8 goals.

Hungary has a higher offensive potential at 64%, compared to Israel’s 36%. However, Israel shows more resilience in defense with 57% compared to Hungary’s 36%.

Based on these statistics, the odds favor Hungary to win the match with a probability of 52.88%. A draw is unlikely with only 29.84%.

The match could be high-scoring with a probability of over 2.5 goals at 55.5%. Close to 56.02% believe both teams will score.

Considering these factors, it seems more reasonable to bet on a Hungary win and a total of over 2.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

Last Hungary’s home matches: convincing success. 80% win rate. Goals scored: 9. Goals conceded: 10.
Recent Israel away games less successful: 40% win rate. Draws: 20%. Goals scored: 5. Goals conceded: 8.
Hungary maintains a strong home attack. 1.8 goals per match. Defense: 1 goal per match. Offensive potential: 64%. Defensive: 36%.
Israel more vulnerable away from home: 1 goal scored per match on average. Goals conceded: 1.6. Offensive potential: 36%. Defensive: 57%.
Match probabilities: Hungary win 52.88%. Draw: 29.84%. Israel win: 17.28%.
In terms of goals perspective, highly favored over 1.5 goals: 80.63% chance. Less likely but interesting, over 2.5 goals: 55.5%.
Both teams to score: probability of 56.02%.
Analysis of the numbers shows a slight advantage for Hungary, especially at home with a strong attack. Furthermore, games tend to be goal-rich. Both Hungary and Israel have chances of scoring.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, analyzing the historical performance, statistical data, and probabilities for the friendly match between Hungary and Israel scheduled for June 8, 2024, it appears that Hungary is the favorite. The numbers support a prediction of a Hungarian victory, with a high probability of more than 2.5 goals scored during the match, and both teams are expected to contribute to the score.

However, it is important to note that football is unpredictable and predictions do not guarantee the actual results of the match. Probabilities provide an indication of what is statistically most likely, but several factors can influence the outcome of a match, such as last-minute changes in team formations, injuries to key players, and the playing conditions on the match day.

It is also worth noting that the match could offer a ‘value bet’ with a wager on a draw. This may be an option to consider for those looking to take calculated risks for potentially higher gains.

For a prediction on the exact score, taking into account the teams’ performances and their offensive and defensive potential, a result of 2-1 in favor of Hungary seems to be a reasonable prediction.

However, as always in sports betting, it is advised to bet responsibly.