Tipps IFK Goteborg AIK Stockholm Suède 21/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

AIK Stockholm wins the match

1. AIK Stockholm has a better away win rate (40% compared to IFK Goteborg’s 20% at home) in their respective last 5 matches, indicating better form for the Stockholm team.
2. AIK Stockholm has a higher offensive potential away from home (29% compared to IFK Goteborg’s 18% at home), which increases their chances of scoring goals in this match.
3. The displayed odds give a higher probability of success for AIK Stockholm (39.38%) compared to IFK Goteborg (29.53%), demonstrating Stockholm’s favorable prediction by the bookmakers.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The average goals scored by IFK Goteborg at home is 1.8 goals per match, while AIK Stockholm’s away average is 0.8 goals, resulting in a total average of less than 2.5 goals per match.
2. In IFK Goteborg’s last 5 home matches, 4 of them had less than 2.5 goals. Similarly, in AIK Stockholm’s last 5 away matches, 3 of them had less than 2.5 goals. This suggests a trend towards matches with fewer than 2.5 goals.
3. The success rate for under 2.5 goals in the match is higher (80.31%) compared to over 2.5 goals in the match (44.56%). This reinforces the prediction of less than 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The offensive potential of both teams is quite high. IFK Goteborg, on average, scores 1.8 goals per home match, while AIK Stockholm scores an average of 0.8 goals per away match. It is therefore likely that each team will score at least one goal in this match.

2. By examining the past performances of both teams, it is evident that they tend to score in their respective matches, further supporting the idea that both teams will score in this match. For instance, in AIK Stockholm’s last 5 away matches, they scored in 4 of them.

3. Statistics suggest that the defenses of both teams are not particularly solid, as they have regularly conceded goals in their previous matches. IFK Goteborg concedes an average of 1 goal per home match, while AIK Stockholm concedes an average of 0.2 goals per away match, further increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

IFK Goteborg 1-2 AIK Stockholm

1. AIK Stockholm has a better performance away from home, winning 40% of their matches compared to IFK Göteborg’s 20% at home. Additionally, their average goals scored away from home are higher than IFK Göteborg’s at home.

2. The goal statistics of both teams suggest a close match where both teams can score: AIK Stockholm has scored 9 goals away from home and conceded 10. IFK Göteborg, on the other hand, has scored 4 goals at home and conceded 4.

3. The offensive potential of AIK Stockholm is low away from home (29%), but IFK Göteborg’s defensive potential at home is also low (36%). However, IFK Göteborg’s offensive potential at home is higher at 64%. This supports the idea that AIK Stockholm could score a minimum of two goals while IFK Göteborg would score one.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

IFK Gothenburg has shown modest form at home with only one win (20%) and as many draws (20%) in their last 5 matches. Paradoxically, the team has an average goals scored (1.8) higher than their actual goals scored (4). Their offensive potential is quite solid (64%).

AIK Stockholm, on the other hand, has had rather mixed performances away. They have won twice (40%), with an average of 0.8 goals scored per match and an average of 0.2 goals conceded, giving them an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 7%.

Looking at the numbers closely, AIK Stockholm is slightly favored with a 39.38% chance of winning the match (odds of 2.30) compared to 29.53% for IFK Gothenburg (odds of 3.25). A draw is also possible with a 31.09% probability (odds of 3.25).

The number of goals is likely to be under 2.5 (80.31% probability, odds of 1.22), and there is a 50.78% chance that both teams will score during the match, indicating a probably close and contested game.

In conclusion, this match could be tight and likely dominated by AIK Stockholm, but IFK Gothenburg should not be underestimated. An exciting encounter is to be expected, with a potentially low number of goals.

The potential number of goals

IFK Göteborg, at home, has shown weaknesses in attack with only 4 goals scored in 5 matches and an offensive efficiency of 64%. Their defensive performance is also in question with 4 goals conceded. They win 20% of their matches, but also draw 20% of their matches.

AIK Stockholm, on the other hand, displays a better performance away from home. With a 40% probability of winning and 9 goals scored in 5 matches, their offensive potential is at 29%. However, their defense struggles with 10 goals conceded, resulting in a low defensive potential of 7%.

The prediction for the match would favor AIK Stockholm with a 39.38% probability of winning at odds of 2.30. However, the option of a draw or AIK Stockholm winning the match seems to offer better value with a success probability of 70.47% at odds of 1.33.

It is also likely that there will be over 1.5 goals in this match with a probability of 75.13%.

Finally, the probability of both teams scoring is very close to a coin flip, at around 50%. This makes it a variable that is hard to predict for this match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering all the statistics and analysis, we can predict a close match between IFK Goteborg and AIK Stockholm, with a slightly higher likelihood of AIK Stockholm winning. Both teams seem to have a scoring ability, increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring during the match but the total should remain under 2.5 goals. The actual on-field reality, however, could surprise us, as football is unpredictable and each match has its own realities and dynamics. Good luck with your bets!