Tipps Independ. Rivadavia Defensa Y Justicia Liga Profesional 17/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Independiente Rivadavia or draw

1. The home record of Independ. Rivadavia in their last 5 matches is more favorable with a win or draw in 80% of cases, compared to a success rate away from home of only 40% for Defensa Y Justicia.

2. Independ. Rivadavia has a stronger defensive potential at home (79%) than the offensive potential of Defensa Y Justicia away from home (21%), which has been weak in the last 5 matches.

3. The likelihood of the match being won by Independ. Rivadavia or ending in a draw is 71.57%, which is significantly higher than the other possible outcomes (40.61% for a Independ. Rivadavia win, 30.96% for a draw, 28.43% for a Defensa Y Justicia win).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

My prediction for this match would be an Under 2.5 goals outcome.

1. The low number of goals scored: Over their last 5 matches, Independ. Rivadavia and Defensa Y Justicia have scored an average of 0.6 goals per match respectively. This indicates a low tendency to score goals.

2. The high number of low-scoring matches: The majority of recent matches involving these two teams have ended with fewer than 2.5 goals. In particular, the last home matches of Independ. Rivadavia and away matches of Defensa Y Justicia have ended with 0, 1, or 2 goals.

3. Statistical probabilities: The odds for under 2.5 goals in the match are at 1.52, indicating that this outcome is relatively likely according to bettors and available statistics. Furthermore, with a success probability of 81.73% for under 3.5 goals in the match, this reinforces the likelihood of a low-scoring game.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Over their last 5 matches, both teams have shown weak offensive performances. Independiente Rivadavia scored a total of 3 goals at home, while Defensa y Justicia only scored 3 goals away. This means they have an offensive potential of only 21%.

2. The defensive performances of both teams are relatively solid. Independiente Rivadavia concedes an average of 2.2 goals per home match, while Defensa y Justicia concedes an average of 1.8 goals per away match. This indicates they have defensive potentials of 79% and 64% respectively.

3. Defensa y Justicia’s recent away matches have shown they struggle to score. In two of their last five matches, they failed to score any goals. Similarly, Independiente Rivadavia lost two of their last five home matches without scoring a goal.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Defensa Y Justicia wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Independiente Rivadjsona 1-1 Defensa y Justicia

1. Head-to-head history: Recent statistics of Independ. Rivadavia and Defensa Y Justicia indicate a strong tendency to end in a draw in their encounters. In their last 5 matches, Independ. Rivadavia drew in 40% of the cases and Defensa Y Justicia also drew in 40% of the cases. This increases the probability of a 1-1 score in this match.

2. Offensive and defensive performances: Both teams show similar performances, with an average of 0.6 goals scored per match, and 2.2 and 1.8 goals conceded per match, respectively. These statistics suggest that both teams have a similar offensive strength and a defense that allows goals, reinforcing the hypothesis of a draw with a 1-1 score.

3. Established probabilities: The success probabilities for a draw (30.96%) or under 2.5 goals in the match (81.73%) are relatively high. Additionally, the probability of both teams scoring is 47.21%. These data suggest that the most likely score would be 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Independiente Rivadavia shows some solidity at home: two wins, two draws, and only one recent defeat. Limited offensive efficiency with only 3 goals scored, but a rather solid defense with 4 goals conceded.

On the other hand, Defensa y Justicia struggles away from home: zero wins, two draws, and three losses. Their attack has scored as much as their opponent, 3 goals, and their defense has conceded the same number, which is 4.

The odds seem to favor Rivadavia: 40.61% for their win, compared to only 28.43% for Justicia.

Apart from the result, the match looks to be relatively closed: less than 1.5 goals at 2.59, and less than 3.5 goals has a success probability of 81.73%.

Both teams find it hard to score: a 47.21% chance that they both do, which suggests a cautious prediction on the number of goals.

In conclusion, a bet on either a Rivadavia win or a draw, with less than 3.5 goals, seems to be a prudent option.

The potential number of goals

Independent. Rivadavia shows an average performance at home with a 40% win rate in their last 5 matches. They have scored 3 goals but conceded 4. Their offensive potential is 21% while their defensive potential is 79%.

On the other hand, Defensa Y Justicia struggles away from home. With no wins in their last 5 away games, they have scored 3 goals and conceded 4. Like Rivadavia, their offensive potential is also 21% but their defensive potential is slightly lower at 64%.

Based on the calculated probabilities, Independ. Rivadavia has a slightly higher probability of winning the match at 40.61% compared to 28.43% for Defensa Y Justicia.

More interesting for bettors, there is a 64.97% probability that the match will end with over 1.5 goals, suggesting a low chance of a goalless draw.

Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is 47.21%. Despite the strong defenses, there is still a chance for both teams to find the back of the net.

In summary, this match could be close with a slight edge for Independ. Rivadavia and a little over one goal scored.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In summary, our analysis suggests that the match between Independ. Rivadavia and Defensa Y Justicia could be tight. Independ. Rivadavia has the edge, largely due to their recent home form and solid defense. However, it seems unlikely that both teams will score many goals, given their limited attacking output and the fact that most recent matches have seen fewer than 2.5 goals.

A safe bet to consider could be Independ. Rivadavia or a draw, with less than 3.5 goals in the match. However, there is still potential for Defensa Y Justicia to surprise, fueled by their attacking potential. Additionally, a bet on an exact score of 1-1 could also offer interesting value given the equivalent level of both teams and their recent trend of producing low-scoring matches.

While the odds favor Independ. Rivadavia, a bold bet for a Defensa Y Justicia win could prove to be an intriguing value bet, especially if you are willing to take a bit more risk.

It is important to remember that sports betting always carries a risk, and it is crucial to bet responsibly. Nothing is guaranteed in sports, and any prediction given should never be considered 100% secure. Good luck to those who decide to bet on this match.