Tipps Independ. Rivadavia Independiente Liga Profesional 27/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Independiente wins the match.

1. Independiente has a win rate of 40% in their last 5 away matches, which is higher than Rivadavia’s 20% win rate at home in their last 5 matches. This indicates a positive playing experience for Independiente.

2. The probability of Independiente winning the match is higher (41.36%) than Rivadavia’s (28.8%), indicating that it is more likely for Independiente to win the match based on statistics.

3. Independiente has a better offensive potential away from home (29%) compared to Rivadavia at home (21%). This suggests that Independiente has been more successful in scoring goals in away matches than Rivadavia at home.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The goal statistics for both teams in the last 5 matches are low. Independ. Rivadavia has scored an average of 0.6 goals per match, while Independiente has scored 0.8 goals per match. This means that both teams struggle to score, making a total score of under 2.5 goals likely.

2. Looking at their defensive performance, Independ. Rivadavia has conceded an average of 0.8 goals per match, while Independiente has conceded 1 goal per match. When adding up the potential goals scored and conceded, the total remains under 2.5, reinforcing the idea of a low-scoring match.

3. The historical matchups and recent performance of both teams also show a generally low total score. For example, in Independ. Rivadavia’s last 5 home matches, 4 of them ended with less than 3 goals. Similarly, in Independiente’s last 5 away matches, four also had a total score of less than 3 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No.

1. The recent offensive performance of Independ. Rivadavia at home is relatively weak, with an average of 0.6 goals per match, and an offensive potential of only 21%.
2. Independiente has also shown limited offensive performance in away matches, with an average of 0.8 goals per match and an offensive potential of 29%.
3. The recent goal conceded statistics of both teams are also worth noting. Independ. Rivadavia has an average of 0.8 goals conceded per match at home and Independiente has an average of 1 goal conceded per match away, indicating a trend towards low scores in their encounters.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Independ. Rivadavia 1-1 Independiente

1. Independiente Rivadavia has a strong history of home draws, with 60% of their last 5 matches ending in a draw. This indicates a trend towards tight scores when they play at home, which could explain a 1-1 prediction.

2. Independiente also has a tendency for draws when playing away, with 40% of their last 5 matches resulting in a draw. Furthermore, they have an average defensive and offensive performance with an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 36%, which could lead them to both concede and score a goal, aligning well with a 1-1 prediction.

3. Goal statistics for both teams further support the 1-1 prediction. Independiente Rivadavia averages 0.6 goals scored per home match and concedes an average of 0.8 goals, while Independiente averages 0.8 goals scored away and concedes an average of 1 goal. These stats make a 1-1 prediction a very plausible outcome.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Independ. Rivadavia seems vulnerable at home, with a 20% win rate and 60% draw rate in their last 5 matches. Their offense has struggled, scoring only 2 goals.

Independiente, on the other hand, has better away statistics with a 40% win rate and also 40% draw rate. They have scored 4 goals in their last 5 matches.

Offensively, Independ. Rivadavia scores 0.6 goals per game, while Independiente scores 0.8 goals, both relatively low numbers. Defensively, they both concede an average of 0.8 and 1 goal per game, respectively.

In this match, the odds favor Independiente with a 41.36% chance of winning (odds of 2.30) compared to 28.8% for Rivadavia (odds of 3.20). A draw is predicted at 29.84% (odds of 3.15).

The probability of less than 1.5 goals in the match is 2.75, while more than 1.5 goals have a 72.25% chance of happening (odds of 1.43). Therefore, a low-scoring match is expected.

Historically, Rivadavia has struggled at home against Banfield and Velez Sarsfield, while Independiente managed to score against Banfield and Juventud Unida Univ. away.

For this match, the prediction could be either a draw or a win for Independiente with probably fewer than 2.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

The home performances of Independ. Rivadavia have shown some resistance, with a win in 20% of cases and a draw in 60% of the last 5 matches. However, a total of 2 goals scored against 3 conceded highlight an offensive weakness, while having a slightly better defense.

On the other hand, Independiente has demonstrated a better performance in their away games, with a win in 40% of cases and a draw in 40% of cases in the last 5 matches. They have scored 4 goals and conceded the same amount, revealing a balanced record in terms of offense and defense.

In terms of probabilities, Independiente seems to have the advantage with a 41.36% probability of winning the match. However, a draw or a victory for Independ. Rivadavia have a success probability of 58.64%.

Regarding goals in the match, the statistics suggest a low number of goals. The probability of the match having less than 3.5 goals is high at 83.25%. Furthermore, there is a 72.25% chance that the match will have more than 1.5 goals.

Looking at the record of both teams, it is noted that the majority of recent matches of Independ. Rivadavia at home and Independiente away have seen less than 2.5 goals, confirming the goal statistics.

This information suggests that the match is likely to be tight. The defensive aspect could be key in determining the final result. Betting on a low total number of goals could be a prudent option.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on recent performance analysis, statistics, and key factors, it is more likely that Independiente will win the match against Independ. Rivadavia. However, the match promises to be close, with a low total number of goals likely to be under 2.5. Both teams have shown difficulties in scoring, suggesting a reduced risk of both teams scoring. An interesting value-added bet could be a draw, given both teams’ historical trends of drawing matches both at home and away. Ultimately, a bet on the exact score of 1-1 could also be a viable option considering the offensive and defensive performances of both teams. However, these predictions do not guarantee a winning result, and bets should be placed taking potential risks into account.