Tipps Independiente del Valle Liverpool Montevideo Copa Libertadores 31/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

My prediction is Independiente del Valle wins the match.

1. Independiente del Valle has an impressive home performance with a win rate of 60% in their last 5 matches. They also have a good balance between their offensive potential (1 goal per match on average) and defensive solidity (1.2 goals conceded per match), giving them a good chance of winning.

2. Liverpool Montevideo has a poor away performance, with only a 40% win rate in their last 5 matches, and they tend to concede a lot of goals (2.6 goals per match on average), which could be exploited by Independiente del Valle’s offensive efficiency.

3. The success probabilities reinforce the prediction for Independiente del Valle. There is an 80.51% probability that Independiente del Valle will win the match, which provides a high level of confidence in the prediction.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5”

1. Both teams show a strong tendency to score goals, with an average of 1 to 1.4 goals per match for Independiente del Valle and Liverpool Montevideo respectively. Furthermore, their defense is not at its best, conceding more than one goal on average per match. This significantly increases the likelihood of seeing over 2.5 goals during the match.

2. Past statistics and recent performances of both teams suggest a trend towards high-scoring matches. Additionally, in their respective last 5 matches, Independiente del Valle and Liverpool Montevideo have had several matches with 3 goals or more.

3. The probability of the bet “Over 2.5 goals in the match” succeeding is 56.78% according to forecasts. This is a relatively high success rate for sports betting where it is usually challenging to make precise predictions.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Independiente del Valle, when playing at home, has a strong defensive potential of 43%, conceding on average only 1.2 goals per match. Furthermore, looking at their recent matches, they have often managed to keep the majority of their opponents to just one goal at most.

2. Liverpool Montevideo, when playing away, has a low probability of winning the match at only 8.47%. Additionally, they have a very high defensive potential of 93%, meaning they tend to concede many goals when playing away.

3. The overall statistics from previous matches show the highest probability that both teams will not score at 57.63%. Also, when playing away, Liverpool Montevideo has a higher tendency to concede goals than to score them, with an average of just 1.4 goals scored per match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Liverpool Montevjson wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Independiente del Valle 2-1 Liverpool Montevideo

1. The offensive and defensive potential of the two teams: Independiente del Valle has an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 43%, while Liverpool Montevideo has an offensive potential of 50% but a weaker defensive potential of 93%. This suggests that Independiente del Valle is likely to score at least two goals, while Liverpool Montevideo may struggle to maintain a solid defense, but could still score a goal given its offensive potential.

2. The recent performances of the two teams: Independiente del Valle has a better home performance with a win rate of 60%, while Liverpool Montevideo only wins 40% of their away matches. In addition, Independiente del Valle has scored a total of 8 goals in their last 5 home matches, averaging just under 2 goals per match, supporting the prediction of 2 goals for this team.

3. The probabilities of victory: With a 80.51% chance of success for Independiente del Valle compared to just 8.47% for Liverpool Montevideo, the prediction clearly favors Independiente. Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is 42.37%, which is consistent with the predicted score of 2-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Independiente del Valle has a good home form, winning 60% of their last 5 matches and scoring 8 goals. However, they have also conceded 8 goals, indicating a weak defense. On the other hand, Liverpool Montevideo wins less frequently away, with a victory in 40% of cases. They have scored more goals (10) but have seriously struggled in defense, conceding 11 goals.

On average, Independiente scores 1 goal per match and concedes 1.2, while Liverpool scores 1.4 goals but concedes much more, averaging 2.6 goals per match. This suggests a strong likelihood of seeing a match with multiple goals.

The odds suggest a high probability that Independiente del Valle will win the match with a success probability of 80.51%. The option of a draw or Independiente win offers an even higher success probability of 91.53%.

As for goals, the data suggest a high probability of over 1.5 goals in the match (76.27%), and even over 2.5 goals (56.78%). It thus seems likely to see an open match with several goals scored.

In summary, a prediction could be a win for Independiente with over 2.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

Indepediente del Valle has been excelling at home, winning 60% of their last 5 matches. In those games, they’ve scored 8 goals, averaging 1.6 goals per match. However, their defense has been shaky, conceding 8 goals.

Liverpool Montevideo, on the other hand, hasn’t been as strong away from home, with only a 40% win rate in their last 5 matches. They’ve scored 10 goals, averaging 2 goals per match, but their defense has been porous, allowing 11 goals.

There is an 80.51% probability of Independiente del Valle winning the match. The numbers also suggest a 76.27% likelihood of there being over 1.5 goals in the game.

Looking at both teams’ recent performances, there seems to be a goal-scoring trend, hinting at a potentially high-scoring match.

In conclusion, Independiente del Valle appears to be the favorite. A match with over 1.5 goals is also likely.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the detailed analysis of this match between Independiente del Valle and Liverpool Montevideo leads us to favor Independiente del Valle, due to their strong home performance, balance between attacking and defensive potential, and high likelihood of winning the match. However, Liverpool Montevideo’s offensive capability could present an interesting value bet.

From a goal perspective, our analysis suggests that it is likely we will see a match with over 2.5 goals, considering both teams’ tendency to score and concede goals, as well as the success rates for this type of bet. However, the probability of both teams scoring is not high, which can be another factor to consider when placing your bets.

Finally, the most likely exact score seems to be a 2-1 win for Independiente del Valle, however, as always in football, nothing is guaranteed. Ultimately, any bet should be placed taking into account several factors, including associated risk and the bettor’s ability to absorb potential losses. Good luck to all bettors and enjoy this promising match!