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    Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Independiente Medellin Alianza Petrolera

    Tipps Independiente Medellin Alianza Petrolera Primera A 11/10/2024

    Last update : 11/10/2024
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    Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

    Independiente Medellin wins the match.

    1. Previous Results: Independiente Medellin has won and drawn in 60% of its last home matches, while Alianza Petrolera has failed to win any of its recent away matches.

    2. Offensive and Defensive Abilities: Over the last 5 home matches, Independiente Medellin has a higher offensive potential (21%) compared to Alianza Petrolera’s away offensive potential (14%). Additionally, the defensive capability of Independiente Medellin (29%) is superior to that of Alianza Petrolera (43%).

    3. Probabilities: According to the given probabilities, Independiente Medellin has a higher probability of winning the match at 56.54%, compared to a much lower percentage for Alianza Petrolera at 15.18%.

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    Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

    Under 2.5 goals in the match.

    1. The previous performance of both teams has shown a tendency for low-scoring matches. For example, Independiente Medellin has averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per match, while Alianza Petrolera has averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match.

    2. Statistics indicate that the probability of less than 2.5 goals is quite high at 1.72, which represents a fairly high estimation based on the teams’ performances and their previous tendency to score and concede a low number of goals.

    3. Both teams have a low offensive potential, according to the provided data: Independiente Medellin has an offensive potential of 21% and Alianza Petrolera of 14%, indicating a lower probability of seeing a high number of goals in this match.

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    BTTS: Will both teams score ?

    Both teams to score: No

    1. The offensive potential of Independiente Medellin at home and Alianza Petrolera away is quite low at 21% and 14% respectively. These data suggest that the probability of both teams scoring during the match is relatively low.

    2. Looking at the last five home games of Independiente Medellin, they failed to score in 40% of those matches. Similarly, Alianza Petrolera failed to score in 60% of their last five away matches. These statistics confirm the previous argument that both teams are likely to struggle to find the back of the net in the upcoming match.

    3. Betting predictions indicate a higher probability of 52.36% that both teams will not score during the match, with odds of 1.70. This suggests a higher level of confidence in the ‘Both teams to not score’ bet.

    Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

    Over 2.5 goals in the match.

    1. The statistics show a trend for a total number of over 2.5 goals in matches played at home by Independiente Medellin. The team has scored 7 goals and conceded 7 in their last 5 encounters, reaching the total of 2.5 goals in 2 out of the 5 matches.

    2. Alianza Petrolera, despite having a low away win rate, has shown some ability to score goals, with a total of 3 goals in 5 matches. Furthermore, they have conceded an average of 1.2 goals per match, indicating a higher risk of goals being scored.

    3. The value bet of over 2.5 goals in the match is likely at 46.6% according to the odds. Combined with the offensive and defensive performances of both teams, this suggests that there is good value in this bet, with odds of 2.10.

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    Bet on the exact result

    Independiente Medellin 1-0 Alianza Petrolera

    1. Independiente Medellin has won 40% of its home matches and Alianza Petrolera has not won any of its away matches, favoring a victory for Independiente Medellin.
    2. Alianza Petrolera has a higher average of goals conceded away than the average number of goals scored by Independiente Medellin at home, which aligns with a close victory for Independiente Medellin.
    3. The odds indicate a higher likelihood of success for a match with less than 1.5 goals scored. Given that Independiente Medellin has an average score of one goal per home match and Alianza Petrolera averages 0.4 goals per away match, a precise score of 1-0 for Independiente Medellin is plausible.

    Game Analysis and Key Facts

    Team Form

    Medellin has won 40% of their last home matches. They have scored 7 goals in total. The defense has also conceded 7 goals.

    Alianza has struggled a lot away from home, they have not won any recent matches. With 3 goals scored and 5 conceded, the attack lacks bite.

    Medellin’s offensive potential is at 21%, defensive at 29%. For Alianza, it’s 14% in attack and 43% in defense. Watch out for Alianza’s defensive solidity!

    According to our predictions, Medellin is the favorite to win with a 56.54% chance of winning.

    A draw is also a possibility at 28.27%. Alianza’s victory is less likely at 15.18%.

    A “draw or Medellin wins” outcome has a probability of 84.82%. “Draw or Alianza wins” is less probable at 43.46%.

    Regarding goals, over 1.5 goals is likely at 74.87%. Less than 3.5 goals is very probable at 82.72%.

    Both teams to score has a probability of 47.64%, but it is more likely not to happen at 52.36%.

    Medellin’s recent home scores indicate a trend towards close matches. For Alianza away, defeats are common.

    In summary, Medellin appears to be the favorite, but expect a defensive and tight game. Caution is advised in your prediction!

    The potential number of goals

    Independiente Medellin has won 2 out of their last 5 home matches, scoring a total of 7 goals. Their defense is not the strongest, having conceded the same number of goals. Alianza Petrolera, on the other hand, has not achieved any victories away from home. With only 3 goals scored and 5 conceded, the task looks difficult for them.

    Focusing on the teams’ offensive and defensive potential, Independiente Medellin has an advantage with 21% compared to Alianza Petrolera’s 14%. However, Alianza has a better defense with 43% against Independiente’s 29%.

    Looking at the probabilities, Independiente Medellin has a clear advantage, with a 56.54% chance of winning the match as opposed to Alianza Petrolera’s 15.18%. Another possibility to consider is a draw or a victory for Independiente Medellin, with a high probability of 84.82%.

    In terms of goals, the match seems likely to have fewer goals. The probabilities favor fewer than 3.5 goals with an 82.72% chance. For those who like bold predictions, the probability of both teams scoring is only 47.64%.

    Based on the stats and probabilities, the prediction would be a win for Independiente Medellin with fewer than 3.5 goals in the match.

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    Our conclusions and predictions for this match

    In conclusion, several factors favor Independiente Medellin to win this match against Alianza Petrolera. Their home performance, offensive potential, and defense are superior to Alianza Petrolera’s. However, both teams have a tendency to score few goals, so we should expect a tight match with fewer than 3.5 goals. Betting on Independiente Medellin to win with fewer than 3.5 goals seems like a safe and reasonable option, with a high probability of success. Bettors should also consider the “Both Teams to Score – No” bet, which has relatively high chances of success. Lastly, although riskier, the value bet on over 2.5 goals could offer good profitability.

    Detailed Game Statistics

    Odds & Predictions

    Game Result Prediction Independiente Medellin against Alianza Petrolera on 11/10/2024

    1. Previous Results: Independiente Medellin has won and drawn in 60% of its last home matches, while Alianza Petrolera has failed to win any of its recent away matches.

    2. Offensive and Defensive Abilities: Over the last 5 home matches, Independiente Medellin has a higher offensive potential (21%) compared to Alianza Petrolera’s away offensive potential (14%). Additionally, the defensive capability of Independiente Medellin (29%) is superior to that of Alianza Petrolera (43%).

    3. Probabilities: According to the given probabilities, Independiente Medellin has a higher probability of winning the match at 56.54%, compared to a much lower percentage for Alianza Petrolera at 15.18%.

    Result at the end of the game
    Bet option :Independiente Medellin to win the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Alianza Petrolera to win the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Independiente Medellin or Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Alianza Petrolera or Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Number of goals in the game
    Bet option :+1.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :+2.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :-3.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :-4.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Both teams to score: Yes
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Both teams to score: No
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Double Chance and Number of Goals
    Bet option :Independiente Medellin or Draw and +1.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Alianza Petrolera or Draw and +1.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Independiente Medellin or Draw and -3.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Alianza Petrolera or Draw and -3.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Live & Match Info

    Live Match: Get all the details about the Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Petrolera match!

    To not miss anything from the Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Petrolera match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 11/10/2024 in the Primera A live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.

    Team Lineups: Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Petrolera

    logo team a
    composition
    25Chaux
    2Chaverra
    3Aja
    23Torijano
    11González
    31Moreno
    15Alvarado
    18Martínez
    45Fory
    27León
    9Sandoval
    Lineups Independiente Medellin
    logo team a
    composition
    1Mosquera
    2Navarro
    3Figueroa
    22Ospina
    16Saldaña
    29Torres
    6Orozco
    25Colpa
    24Muñoz
    99Gil
    Lineups Alianza Petrolera

    Match Highlights Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Petrolera on 11/10/2024

    Don't miss any highlights of the Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Petrolera match on 11/10/2024 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot stadium.

    2'D. Moreno
    picto
    32'José Aja
    picto
    46'S. OrozcoD. Mendoza
    picto
    58'Luis Sandoval
    picto
    65'J. GonzálezM. García
    picto
    68'E. TorresS. Aponzá
    picto
    68'M. GilE. Batalla
    picto
    73'M. MartínezI. Camargo
    picto
    74'Sergio Aponzá
    picto
    79'J. MuñozM. Torres
    picto
    80'D. MorenoB. Perlaza
    picto
    81'Diego Mendoza
    picto
    87'B. LeónJ. Mosquera
    picto
    90'Carlos Mosquera
    picto
    90'L. Chaverra
    picto

    Live Statistics for the match between Independiente Medellin and Alianza Petrolera

    All statistics for the match between Independiente Medellin and Alianza Petrolera will be displayed here once they are available live.

    logo team
    Independiente Medellin
    Alianza Petrolera
    logo team
    Ball Possession
    55%
    45%
    Total Shots
    21
    13
    Shots on Goal
    8
    4
    Shots off Goal
    8
    6
    Corner Kicks
    8
    7
    Passing Accuracy
    83%
    75%
    Total Passes
    383
    320
    Successful Passes
    318
    240
    Fouls Committed
    10
    10
    Yellow Cards
    2
    3
    Red Cards
    Statistics & 1VS1 Prediction

    Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Independiente Medellin against Alianza Petrolera!

    logo team

    Form state of Independiente Medellin in its last 5 matches

    %Teamform

    In its last 5 matches, the team Independiente Medellin has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Independiente Medellin has a form rating of %.

    logo team

    Form state of Alianza Petrolera in its last 5 matches

    %Teamform

    In its last 5 matches, Alianza Petrolera has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Alianza Petrolera has a form rating of %.

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    Statistiken & Torprognosen

    Goal Prediction: In the match Independiente Medellin against Alianza Petrolera!

    logo team

    Average goals scored by Independiente Medellin in the current season.

    logo team

    Goals scored by Independiente Medellin in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Attacking potential

    Goal prediction for goals scored by Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.

    logo team

    Goals conceded by Independiente Medellin in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Defensive potential

    Goal prediction for goals conceded by Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.

    logo team

    Average goals scored by Alianza Petrolera in the current season

    logo team

    Goals scored by Alianza Petrolera in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Attacking potential

    Goal prediction for goals scored by Alianza Petrolera
    Alianza Petrolera has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.

    logo team

    Goals conceded by Alianza Petrolera in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Defensive potential

    Goal prediction for goals conceded by Alianza Petrolera
    Alianza Petrolera has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.

    Conclusion: Which goal prediction?

    From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Independiente Medellin and Alianza Petrolera, we should have a total of goals in this match.

    Prognosis
    Total number of goals based on statistics About goals in the match
    The tool to use: Wingoal

    Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.

    Predict Exact Result

    Exact Result Predictions Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Petrolera: Probabilities for the outcome

    1. The previous performance of both teams has shown a tendency for low-scoring matches. For example, Independiente Medellin has averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per match, while Alianza Petrolera has averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match.

    2. Statistics indicate that the probability of less than 2.5 goals is quite high at 1.72, which represents a fairly high estimation based on the teams’ performances and their previous tendency to score and concede a low number of goals.

    3. Both teams have a low offensive potential, according to the provided data: Independiente Medellin has an offensive potential of 21% and Alianza Petrolera of 14%, indicating a lower probability of seeing a high number of goals in this match.

    Exact Results
    %
    Odds
    Forecast Results

    Forecast results from winflix for Independiente Medellin and Alianza Petrolera!

    The last 5 winning predictions für Independiente Medellin

    logo team a

    The last 5 winning predictions für Alianza Petrolera

    logo team a
    Frequently Asked Questions

    How do I find the best forecast for Independiente Medellin Alianza Petrolera?

    Finding a forecast for the Independiente Medellin Alianza Petrolera match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.

    The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Independiente Medellin Alianza Petrolera on 11/10/2024 in Estadio Atanasio Girardot are the team's past performance in the Primera A, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Independiente Medellin at home and Alianza Petrolera away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 11/10/2024.

    To evaluate the current form of Independiente Medellin and Alianza Petrolera on 11/10/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Primera A, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Independiente Medellin could have a slight home advantage in this football match.

    Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Independiente Medellin and Alianza Petrolera, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Independiente Medellin and the away win rate of Alianza Petrolera, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 11/10/2024!

    The individual performances of players from Independiente Medellin and Alianza Petrolera can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 11/10/2024 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.

    To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Independiente Medellin and Alianza Petrolera, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Independiente Medellin or Alianza Petrolera on 11/10/2024.

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    Alex - Winflix

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