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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Independiente Medellin Atletico Nacional
Tipps Independiente Medellin Atletico Nacional Primera A 23/04/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
“Independiente Medellin wins the match”
1. Independiente Medellin has a higher home win record with 60% wins compared to Atletico Nacional’s 20% away.
2. Independiente Medellin has a higher offensive potential (57%) compared to Atletico Nacional (29%) on average per match.
3. The success probabilities also favor Independiente Medellin at 43.39% compared to 20.63% for Atletico Nacional.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
Under 2.5 goals in the match.
1. Atletico Nacional’s offensive potential away from home is weak, with only 0.8 goals on average per match in their last 5 games. This indicates they struggle to score on the road and could contribute to a total of goals under 2.5.
2. Independiente Medellin’s defensive potential at home is quite high at 71%. This means they tend to have a strong defense when playing at home and could therefore limit the number of goals scored by Atletico Nacional.
3. Looking at the last 5 home games of Independiente Medellin and the last 5 away games of Atletico Nacional, the majority of these matches ended with less than 2.5 goals. This suggests that another match between these teams could also end with less than 2.5 goals.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: Yes
1. Independiente Medellin has a strong ability to score at home with an average of 1.6 goals per match in their last 5 games, indicating good offensive potential.
2. Atletico Nacional, despite a low average of goals scored away from home (0.8 per match), has managed to score in 60% of their last 5 away matches.
3. Looking at the history of both teams, Independiente Medellin has conceded goals in 4 of their last 5 home matches, and Atletico Nacional has scored in 2 of their last 5 away matches. This trend increases the likelihood that both teams will score in this match.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
Draw or Independiente Medellin wins the match – 79.37% success rate: 1.25
1. Independiente Medellin’s home performances are superior to Atletico Nacional’s away performances. Independiente Medellin has won 60% of their home matches while Atletico Nacional has only won 20% of their away matches.
2. Independiente Medellin’s offensive efficiency at home is almost twice that of Atletico Nacional away, with an average of 1.6 goals scored per match compared to 0.8 for Atletico.
3. Independiente Medellin’s defensive potential at home is very strong, with a 71% rate. Additionally, Atletico Nacional has a weakness in offense away, with an efficiency rate of only 29%.
Bet on the exact result
Independiente Medellin 1-1 Atletico Nacional
1. Independiente Medellin has shown significant offensive potential with an average of 1.6 goals scored per home match in their last 5 games. This justifies the prediction of a goal being scored by this team.
2. Atletico Nacional has displayed strong defensive performances away from home, conceding an average of only 0.6 goals per match in their last 5 games. This provides a solid argument to limit Independiente Medellin to just one goal.
3. The ‘draw’ prediction has a relatively high probability of 35.98%, and both teams have a history of draws, with Independiente Medellin having a 40% draw rate at home and Atletico Nacional with a 40% draw rate away in their last 5 matches. This suggests a good chance that the match could end in a 1-1 scoreline.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
Independiente Medellin has shown an impressive home performance, with a 60% victory rate in their last 5 matches. Their avant-garde office also scores regularly, producing 8 goals at home, although they have also conceded 8 goals. Atletico Nacional, on the other hand, struggles more when playing away, with only a 20% win rate and 40% draws in their last 5 away matches. Their attack seems to be faltering, with only 2 goals scored and 4 conceded. In terms of form, Independiente Medellin demonstrates offensive potential of 57% and defensive potential of 71% at home. In comparison, Atletico Nacional shows an offense slowing down at 29% and a defense resisting at 21% when playing away. For this match between the two teams, Independiente Medellin has a 43.39% chance of winning, with odds of 2.00. A draw is also possible with a 35.98% probability and odds of 3.40. Atletico Nacional has a lower chance of winning, with a 20.63% probability and odds of 3.75. When it comes to goals, a match ending with less than 1.5 goals has odds of 2.95, but if there are more than 1.5 goals, the probability is 67.72% with odds of 1.40. You can expect less than 3.5 goals with a very high probability of 78.84% (odds of 1.22). Finally, if you bet on both teams scoring, the probability is 50.79% with odds of 1.95. If you bet on both teams not scoring, the probability is slightly lower at 49.21% with odds of 1.80. In conclusion, this match seems to lean towards Independiente Medellin winning at home, with a possibility of seeing fewer than 3.5 goals scored… perhaps with both teams scoring.
The potential number of goals
Independiente Medellin shows a strong home performance with victories in 60% of its matches. However, the record is balanced with 8 goals scored and 8 conceded. Atletico Nacional struggles to shine away from home with only 20% of wins and 2 goals scored against 4 conceded.
Independiente Medellin averages 1.6 goals per home match and concedes 2 goals, giving them an offensive potential of 57% and defensive potential of 71%. Atletico Nacional, when playing away, scores 0.8 goals per match and concedes 0.6, resulting in an offensive potential of 29% and defensive potential of 21%.
A victory for Independiente Medellin is estimated at 43.39% chances. A draw has a probability of 35.98%. Atletico Nacional’s victory is less likely at 20.63%.
Regarding the number of goals, the probabilities suggest a match with less than 3.5 goals at 78.84%. A match where both teams score is likely at 50.79%.
In conclusion, the advantage seems to be in favor of Independiente Medellin or a draw, with the number of goals potentially being below 3.5.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
In conclusion, based on the statistics and analysis presented, Independiente Medellin seems to have a significant advantage as the home team. Their home results have been impressive compared to Atletico Nacional’s recent away performances, making them favorites to win this match. Additionally, considering the offensive and defensive statistics of both teams, it is likely that the total goals in the match will be under 2.5.
On the other hand, despite Atletico Nacional’s weak offensive performance away, it is likely that both teams will score in this match given the recent goal-scoring records in their last 5 matches. Ultimately, considering a bet on Independiente Medellin or a draw and under 2.5 goals could be an interesting option.
However, it is important to note that, despite any analysis, sports betting carries risks and the outcome of a match can be influenced by many unexpected factors. Therefore, it is recommended to bet responsibly.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Independiente Medellin against Atletico Nacional on 23/04/2024
1. Independiente Medellin has a higher home win record with 60% wins compared to Atletico Nacional’s 20% away.
2. Independiente Medellin has a higher offensive potential (57%) compared to Atletico Nacional (29%) on average per match.
3. The success probabilities also favor Independiente Medellin at 43.39% compared to 20.63% for Atletico Nacional.
Live Match: Get all the details about the Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional match!
To not miss anything from the Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 23/04/2024 in the Primera A live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional
Lineups Independiente Medellin
Lineups Atletico Nacional
Match Highlights Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional on 23/04/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional match on 23/04/2024 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Independiente Medellin and Atletico Nacional
All statistics for the match between Independiente Medellin and Atletico Nacional will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Independiente Medellin against Atletico Nacional!
Form state of Independiente Medellin in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Independiente Medellin has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Independiente Medellin has a form rating of %.
Form state of Atletico Nacional in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Atletico Nacional has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Atletico Nacional has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Independiente Medellin against Atletico Nacional!
Average goals scored by Independiente Medellin in the current season.
Goals scored by Independiente Medellin in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Independiente Medellin
Independiente Medellin has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Independiente Medellin in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Independiente Medellin
Independiente Medellin has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Atletico Nacional in the current season
Goals scored by Atletico Nacional in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Atletico Nacional
Atletico Nacional has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Atletico Nacional in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Atletico Nacional
Atletico Nacional has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Independiente Medellin and Atletico Nacional, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional: Probabilities for the outcome
1. Atletico Nacional’s offensive potential away from home is weak, with only 0.8 goals on average per match in their last 5 games. This indicates they struggle to score on the road and could contribute to a total of goals under 2.5.
2. Independiente Medellin’s defensive potential at home is quite high at 71%. This means they tend to have a strong defense when playing at home and could therefore limit the number of goals scored by Atletico Nacional.
3. Looking at the last 5 home games of Independiente Medellin and the last 5 away games of Atletico Nacional, the majority of these matches ended with less than 2.5 goals. This suggests that another match between these teams could also end with less than 2.5 goals.
Forecast results from winflix for Independiente Medellin and Atletico Nacional!
The last 5 winning predictions für Independiente Medellin
The last 5 winning predictions für Atletico Nacional
How do I find the best forecast for Independiente Medellin Atletico Nacional?
Finding a forecast for the Independiente Medellin Atletico Nacional match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Independiente Medellin Atletico Nacional on 23/04/2024 in Estadio Atanasio Girardot are the team's past performance in the Primera A, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Independiente Medellin at home and Atletico Nacional away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 23/04/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Independiente Medellin and Atletico Nacional on 23/04/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Primera A, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Independiente Medellin could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Independiente Medellin and Atletico Nacional, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Independiente Medellin and the away win rate of Atletico Nacional, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 23/04/2024!
The individual performances of players from Independiente Medellin and Atletico Nacional can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 23/04/2024 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Independiente Medellin and Atletico Nacional, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Independiente Medellin or Atletico Nacional on 23/04/2024.
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