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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Independiente Medellin Lanus
Tipps Independiente Medellin Lanus Copa Sudamericana 26/09/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
Draw or Independiente Medellin wins the match.
1. Independiente Medellin has shown a good home record in their recent matches with a winning rate of 60% and a draw rate in their favor of 20%.
2. Lanus has a poor away record with a winning rate of only 20% and also a draw rate of 20%, giving Independiente Medellin an advantage over Lanus.
3. The overall performance analysis indicates that Independiente Medellin has a success probability of 64.86% to win or draw, surpassing Lanus.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
Under 2.5 goals in the match
1. Recent statistics from both teams show a low average of goals scored. Independiente Medellin has an average of 0.6 goals per home match, while Lanus has an average of 0.4 goals per away match.
2. The defensive records of both teams are quite high, especially for Lanus who concedes an average of 1 goal per away match.
3. Considering the teams’ recent matches, it is evident that most games have had fewer than 2.5 goals, indicating a trend towards low-scoring matches.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: Yes
1. History of Independiente Medellin’s home matches: In their last 5 games, they managed to score 7 goals and also conceded 7 goals. This indicates that they score regularly but also have a porous defense, increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring.
2. History of Lanus’ away matches: Although Lanus has a low success rate away from home, they managed to score in their match against LDU Quito. Coupled with the fact that they generally concede a lot of goals away from home (5 goals in 5 matches), this suggests they could score against Independiente Medellin.
3. Prediction statistics: There is a 52.43% probability of both teams scoring, which is higher than the probability of both teams not scoring (47.57%). This supports the idea that “Both Teams to Score: Yes” is a plausible prediction.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
Draw or Independiente Medellin wins the match – 1.45
1. Statistically speaking, Independiente Medellin has a better home performance compared to Lanus away from home. Independiente Medellin wins 60% of their home matches while Lanus only wins 20% of their away matches.
2. Independiente Medellin scores on average more goals per match at home (0.6) than Lanus away from home (0.4), suggesting a stronger offensive capability. Additionally, they both concede the same number of goals on average (0.6), indicating their defensive potential is comparable.
3. The probability analysis provided by the odds also supports this prediction. The probability of Independiente Medellin winning or the match ending in a draw is 64.86%, which is relatively higher compared to the opposite bet (Lanus win or draw) at 64.32%.
Bet on the exact result
Independiente Medellin 1-0 Lanus
1. Independiente Medellin has shown greater strength at home in their recent matches than away, scoring a total of 7 goals in 5 games. Furthermore, considering their 60% home win percentage, a 1-0 scoreline seems more likely.
2. Lanus’ performance away from home has not been exceptional, with only a 20% win percentage on the road. Additionally, they have only scored 3 goals in their last 5 away matches, indicating a weaker offensive potential compared to Independiente Medellin.
3. The betting odds for under 1.5 goals in the match are high, suggesting that it is more likely for the game to produce a low score. This supports a prediction of 1-0 in favor of Independiente Medellin.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
Independiente Medellin has a positive home record, with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches. However, they also seem to have a defense that struggles to keep a clean sheet, conceding 7 goals.
On the other hand, Lanus has been struggling away from home, with only one win in their last 5 matches, scoring just 3 goals and conceding 5.
An interesting point is Lanus’s low attacking potential (14%) against Independiente Medellin’s equally weak defense (21%). Additionally, statistics suggest a match with few goals, with the most likely outcome being under 3.5 goals in the match (88.11% probability).
In terms of prediction, the probabilities are very close. Independiente Medellin has a slight edge (35.68%) over Lanus (35.14%) to win the match. However, betting on “draw or Independiente Medellin win” (64.86% probability) could be a safer option.
Lastly, there is a 52.43% probability that both teams will score in this match. While not a certainty, this is a factor to consider in your prediction.
In summary, this is a potentially close match with an advantage for Independiente Medellin at home. However, predicting few goals might be a prudent strategy here.
The potential number of goals
Independiente Medellin has a strong home performance with a 60% win rate. On the contrary, Lanus struggles away from home with only a 20% victory rate. Furthermore, Medellin has an equivalent offensive and defensive power of 21%, while Lanus struggles to score away with a 14% offensive power and a weaker 36% defensive power.
In terms of goals scored, Medellin has scored 7 goals and conceded as many in the last 5 home matches. Lanus, on the other hand, has scored only 3 goals and conceded 5 in their last 5 away matches. In terms of average goals, Medellin scores and concedes at a rate of 0.6 goals per match, while Lanus is at 0.4 for goals scored and 1 for goals conceded.
There is a 35.68% chance that Independiente Medellin will win the match and 35.14% for Lanus, almost identical proportions that indicate the balance of this encounter. The probability rate indicates a greater chance of either a draw or Independiente winning at 64.86%, while the same scenario for Lanus is at 64.32%.
Regarding the number of goals, favorable odds indicate more than 1.5 goals in the match (70.81% probability) but rarely more than 3.5 goals, with an important probability rate of 88.11% for less than 3.5 goals. Both teams score in over half of the cases (52.43% probability).
In conclusion, the match between Independiente Medellin and Lanus seems to be heading towards a reasonable number of goals with a probability of either team winning, with numbers favoring Medellin playing at home. However, caution is advised as Lanus’s away matches show a tendency to concede more goals.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
To conclude, the match between Independiente Medellin and Lanus is likely to be highly contested. Independiente Medellin, playing at home, seems to have the advantage with a 60% win rate in home matches. However, Lanus has also shown that they can score even when playing away, although their win rate is below 20%.
Both teams have leaky defenses, making the likelihood of both teams scoring quite high. However, considering the relatively low average number of goals per match for both teams, it is likely that the match will not have more than 3.5 goals.
The bet “Draw or Independiente Medellin to win the match” seems to offer an interesting value bet, with odds of 1.45. Additionally, the exact score of 1-0 for Independiente Medellin could be plausible, given Lanus’ lackluster offensive performance away from home.
That being said, each match is unique, and while statistics are an excellent tool to help determine the most probable outcome, they do not guarantee results. Our predictions are based on available data, but it is up to each bettor to consider other factors such as recent injuries, suspensions, team motivations, and other team news before placing a bet.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Independiente Medellin against Lanus on 26/09/2024
1. Independiente Medellin has shown a good home record in their recent matches with a winning rate of 60% and a draw rate in their favor of 20%.
2. Lanus has a poor away record with a winning rate of only 20% and also a draw rate of 20%, giving Independiente Medellin an advantage over Lanus.
3. The overall performance analysis indicates that Independiente Medellin has a success probability of 64.86% to win or draw, surpassing Lanus.
Live Match: Get all the details about the Independiente Medellin vs Lanus match!
To not miss anything from the Independiente Medellin vs Lanus match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 26/09/2024 in the Copa Sudamericana live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Independiente Medellin vs Lanus
Lineups Independiente Medellin
Lineups Lanus
Match Highlights Independiente Medellin vs Lanus on 26/09/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Independiente Medellin vs Lanus match on 26/09/2024 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Independiente Medellin and Lanus
All statistics for the match between Independiente Medellin and Lanus will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Independiente Medellin against Lanus!
Form state of Independiente Medellin in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Independiente Medellin has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Independiente Medellin has a form rating of %.
Form state of Lanus in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Lanus has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Lanus has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Independiente Medellin against Lanus!
Average goals scored by Independiente Medellin in the current season.
Goals scored by Independiente Medellin in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Independiente Medellin
Independiente Medellin has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Independiente Medellin in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Independiente Medellin
Independiente Medellin has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Lanus in the current season
Goals scored by Lanus in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Lanus
Lanus has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Lanus in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Lanus
Lanus has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Independiente Medellin and Lanus, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Independiente Medellin vs Lanus: Probabilities for the outcome
1. Recent statistics from both teams show a low average of goals scored. Independiente Medellin has an average of 0.6 goals per home match, while Lanus has an average of 0.4 goals per away match.
2. The defensive records of both teams are quite high, especially for Lanus who concedes an average of 1 goal per away match.
3. Considering the teams’ recent matches, it is evident that most games have had fewer than 2.5 goals, indicating a trend towards low-scoring matches.
Forecast results from winflix for Independiente Medellin and Lanus!
The last 5 winning predictions für Independiente Medellin
The last 5 winning predictions für Lanus
How do I find the best forecast for Independiente Medellin Lanus?
Finding a forecast for the Independiente Medellin Lanus match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Independiente Medellin Lanus on 26/09/2024 in Estadio Atanasio Girardot are the team's past performance in the Copa Sudamericana, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Independiente Medellin at home and Lanus away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 26/09/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Independiente Medellin and Lanus on 26/09/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Copa Sudamericana, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Independiente Medellin could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Independiente Medellin and Lanus, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Independiente Medellin and the away win rate of Lanus, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 26/09/2024!
The individual performances of players from Independiente Medellin and Lanus can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 26/09/2024 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Independiente Medellin and Lanus, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Independiente Medellin or Lanus on 26/09/2024.
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