Tipps Instituto Cordoba Independiente Liga Profesional Argentina 19/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Instituto Cordoba wins the match

1. Instituto Cordoba’s past home performances have been very solid. They have won or drawn in 80% of their last 5 home matches (with 20% wins and 60% draws), showing they can hold their own against various opponents.
2. Compared to Independiente, Instituto Cordoba’s offensive efficiency at home appears to be higher. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per home match, compared to Independiente’s 0.8 goals per away match.
3. Based on success probabilities, the likelihood of the match ending in a draw or Instituto Cordoba winning is high, at 70.48%. This is much higher than the probability of Independiente winning the match, which is only 29.52%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Both teams have a low offensive potential: Instituto Cordoba scores an average of 1.4 goals per match, while Independiente only scores 0.8 goals on average per away match, their combined contribution of 2.2 goals does not exceed the 2.5 goals threshold.
2. Independiente has a strong defensive reputation when playing away, conceding only an average of 1 goal per match; meanwhile, Instituto Cordoba also holds up defensively at home, conceding only 0.8 goals on average per match.
3. The recent matches of both teams show a downward trend in total goals. In particular, 4 of Independiente’s last 5 away matches have seen fewer than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The statistics show that both teams don’t score many goals. Instituto Cordoba has scored 6 goals in 5 home matches while Independiente has scored 3 goals in 5 away matches, giving us an average of less than 1 goal per match for each team.

2. The defense seems relatively solid for both teams. The home team Instituto Cordoba has conceded 8 goals in 5 matches, an average of 1.6 goals per match. On the other hand, the away team Independiente has conceded 4 goals in 5 matches, an average of 0.8 goals per match. This suggests that the teams defend well and tend to concede fewer goals.

3. Lastly, the success rate of both teams scoring in the same match is 43.81%, which is lower than the one offered here, at 56.19%. This suggests that it is more likely that both teams will not score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Independiente wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Instituto Cordoba 1-1 Independiente

1. The draw statistics are strong for both teams, with Instituto Cordoba drawing in 60% of its home matches and Independiente drawing in 40% of its away matches. This indicates a high likelihood of a draw result.

2. Both teams have a solid defensive performance, with Instituto Cordoba conceding an average of 0.8 goals per home match and Independiente conceding an average of 1 goal per away match. This suggests the match could be low-scoring, further supporting the prediction of a 1-1 draw.

3. In terms of offensive performances, Instituto Cordoba scores an average of 1.4 goals per home match, while Independiente scores 0.8 goals per away match. This average also aligns with a 1-1 prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Instituto Cordoba is less efficient at home with only a 20% win rate in their recent matches. Their offensive deficit is notable with 6 goals scored against 8 conceded.
Independiente has shown more stability with a 40% win rate away from home, and a slight advantage in terms of defense by conceding only 4 goals, but a lack of offensive power with only 3 goals scored.
The match has a high chance of ending in a draw, with a probability of 39.05% and odds of 2.88. A less risky prediction would be a draw or a win for Instituto Cordoba, with a success probability of 70.48% and odds of 1.38.
In terms of goals, the match looks tight with a high probability of less than 3.5 goals at 89.52%.
Analyzing recent matchups, Instituto Cordoba tends to concede more goals late in the match, while Independiente appears solid defensively away from home, making the “Both teams to score – No” option with a success probability of 56.19% look interesting.
In summary, a match without much offensive fireworks is expected with a slight advantage for Instituto Cordoba at home.

The potential number of goals

Instituto Cordoba, when playing at home, has won only 20% of their last 5 matches, but has drawn 60% of them. This team scores an average of 1.4 goals per match and concedes 0.8 goals. Therefore, their offensive potential is 50% and defensive potential is 29%.

Independiente, when playing away, has won 40% of their last 5 matches, with an equal number of draws. The team scores fewer goals (0.8 per match) and concedes more (1 goal per match) with an offensive potential of 29% and defensive potential of 36%.

The probability of victory is quite balanced between Instituto Cordoba (31.43%) and Independiente (29.52%). A draw is the most likely result with a probability of 39.05%.

Recent match observations indicate a trend towards low scores. The odds suggest a high likelihood of a match with under 3.5 goals (89.52%). Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is quite low (43.81%).

In summary, a low-scoring match seems to be on the horizon with a slight advantage for Instituto Cordoba at home, but a draw remains very probable.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match in the Argentine Liga Profesional between Instituto Cordoba and Independiente presents relatively tight predictions. Based on the past performances of both teams, it seems likely that the match will end in a draw or a win for Instituto Cordoba. However, a 1-1 draw seems to be the most probable bet considering the defensive solidity of both teams and their tendency to score few goals. As for Over/Under bets, it is recommended to bet on under 2.5 goals in the match, given the low combined average of goals scored by both teams. Nevertheless, betting on an Independiente win could offer an interesting value bet considering their strong away performances and solid defense. Overall, this match looks tight and low-scoring, which should make it an interesting bet for sports betting enthusiasts.