Tipps Inter Miami Chicago Fire Major League Soccer 21/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Inter Miami wins the match

1. Inter Miami’s Home Performance: Inter Miami has shown an impressive performance in their last 5 home matches, winning 60% of the time. Additionally, their offensive potential is sharp with an average of 1.8 goals per match.

2. Chicago Fire’s Form: Chicago Fire has had a mixed form in their away matches, winning only 20% of the games. Furthermore, they have a relatively weak defense, conceding an average of 2 goals per match.

3. Success Probabilities: Statistics show that Inter Miami have a higher probability of winning the match with a success rate of 51.72%. Moreover, the combined percentage of either Inter Miami winning or a draw is also high at 79.31%, adding more favorability towards Inter Miami.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5

1. The history of the two teams shows a high number of goals scored. Taking into account the 5 last matches of each team, Inter Miami has scored 13 goals and Chicago Fire 8 goals. Their average goals per match are respectively 1.8 and 1.4. This means they score enough to reach the threshold of 2.5 goals in the match.

2. The defenses of both teams are weaker than their attacks. Inter Miami has conceded 15 goals in their last 5 home matches, giving an average of 2 goals per match. Similarly, Chicago Fire has conceded 9 goals in their last 5 away matches, also averaging 2 goals per match. These numbers suggest a high probability of reaching at least 2.5 goals in the match.

3. The odds for over 2.5 goals in the match are 1.40, indicating a success probability of 51.72%. This is a relatively high success rate compared to other betting options, suggesting that bookmakers also believe it is likely that there will be over 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes.

1. The statistics from the last five matches show that both teams have a tendency to score goals. Inter Miami averages 1.8 goals per match and Chicago Fire averages 1.4 goals per match.
2. Inter Miami has a weak defense at home, conceding an average of 2 goals per match in the last five matches. This increases the likelihood of Chicago Fire scoring during the match.
3. Chicago Fire’s recent away matches indicate that the team has scored at least one goal in four out of five matches. Therefore, it is likely that they will manage to score against Inter Miami.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – 27.59% probability of success: 5.00

Bet on the exact result

Inter Miami 2-1 Chicago Fire

1. Match history: Inter Miami has a good home victory record with a win or draw in 80% of cases and an average score of 2.6 goals per match. It is also noted that Chicago Fire struggles to win away (20%).

2. Goal averages: The goal average scored by Inter Miami at home (1.8 per match) and the goals conceded by Chicago Fire away (2 per match) support the prediction of a favorable score for Inter Miami and a match with at least 3 goals.

3. Result probabilities: The probability of Inter Miami winning the match is 51.72%, while the probability of the match ending with over 2.5 goals is also at 51.72%. These statistics indicate that the most likely outcome would be a victory for Inter Miami with at least 3 goals in the match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Inter Miami is in good form at home: 60% win rate in the last 5 matches. Their attackers are effective with 13 goals scored. However, their defense has conceded 15 goals.

Chicago Fire struggles more away from home: only a 20% win rate and a leaky defense with 9 goals conceded. Their attackers have only scored 8 goals.

The offensive potential of Inter Miami at home is higher than that of Chicago Fire away (64% vs 50%). Both teams have the same defensive potential (71%).

As for the match outcome, the probabilities favor a win for Inter Miami (51.72%), with a draw being less likely (27.59%). Chicago Fire has little chance of winning (20.69%).

Among the possible scenarios, “draw or Inter Miami win” is the most likely (79.31%).

There is a 82.76% chance of more than 1.5 goals in this match and a 51.72% chance that the number of goals will exceed 2.5.

In conclusion, Inter Miami seems well positioned to win this match at home given their current form and Chicago Fire’s poor away performance. A match with a fairly high number of goals is expected.

The potential number of goals

Inter Miami seems to stand out on their home turf, with a win rate of 60% and a draw in 20% of cases. They have scored 13 goals, an impressive rate, but have conceded 15 goals, indicating some defensive issues. As for Chicago, who will be playing away, their performance is lacking with only a 20% win rate and 20% draws, scoring 8 goals and conceding 9.

In recent history, Inter Miami has scored an average of 1.8 goals per home match, with an offensive probability of 64%. They have also conceded an average of 2 goals per match, with a defensive probability of 71%. On the other hand, Chicago Fire has scored an average of 1.4 goals per away match, with a 50% offensive probability, and conceded an average of 2 goals per match, with a 71% defensive probability.

The probabilities for the match outcome suggest a draw or a win for Inter Miami is most likely, with a probability of 79.31%. The most likely result in terms of total number of goals is over 1.5 goals in the match, with a probability of 82.76%.

Looking at their recent matches, Inter Miami seems to be an attacking but vulnerable team, scoring a lot but also conceding a lot. Chicago Fire, although struggling away from home, have managed to score in most matches, hinting at a potentially open and high-scoring encounter.

In conclusion, it might be wise to bet on ‘over 3.5 goals in the match’ given the offensive performances of both teams and the probability of both teams scoring at 58.62%. Also, a win or a draw for Inter Miami seems likely considering their home performances and Chicago’s away struggles.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Inter Miami and Chicago Fire promises to be an exciting encounter with plenty of goals. The statistics and recent performances of both teams suggest an advantage for Inter Miami, who have shown an impressive home record with a 51.72% chance of winning.

The trend towards high scores and the offensive capabilities of both teams suggest considering a bet on “Over 2.5 goals” for this match. With significant goal averages for each team and relatively weak defenses, it is likely that the 2.5 goals threshold will be reached.

It would also be wise to consider a bet on “both teams to score,” given both teams’ recent goal-scoring records and relatively weak defenses. The probability of both teams scoring at least one goal is quite high.

Finally, despite a lower probability, betting on a draw could offer an interesting value bet. Considering the offensive and defensive statistics of both teams, it is quite likely that the two teams will neutralize each other during the match.

For bettors, this match presents several interesting opportunities. It will be crucial to carefully evaluate the current form and home and away performances of both teams before placing a bet. This analysis serves as a guide and, although based on statistics, football remains an unpredictable sport. Good luck with your bets!