Tipps Inter Miami Philadelphia Union Major League Soccer 15/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Inter Miami wins the match”

1. Inter Miami’s home performance is very strong, with a victory in 100% of its last 5 home games – this demonstrates a strong home resilience that could work in their favor.
2. The expected success rate for the bet ‘Inter Miami wins the match’ is 53.93%, which is higher than the other options of ‘draw’ and ‘Philadelphia Union wins the match’. This modeled probability supports the argument of Inter Miami’s strong home performance.
3. Inter Miami has a higher average goals per match (2.6 goals) than Philadelphia Union (1.2 goals) when they play at home and away respectively. This significant difference in offensive potential could be a key factor in Inter Miami’s victory.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive performances of both teams: Inter Miami has scored around 2.6 goals per match at home, while Philadelphia Union has scored 1.2 goals on average away, resulting in a total of 3.8 goals per match on average, suggesting a match with over 2.5 goals.

2. The defensive performances of both teams: Inter Miami has conceded approximately 1.8 goals per match at home, while Philadelphia Union has conceded 1.4 goals on average away, indicating that a high number of goals could be scored in this match.

3. League statistics and betting odds: There is a 60.67% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, based on historical data and team performances, supporting this outcome.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Statistically speaking, both teams have a strong tendency to score goals in their respective matches. With Inter Miami’s offensive potential at 93% at home and Philadelphia Union’s at 43% away, the chances of both teams scoring are high.

2. In the recent home matches of Inter Miami and away matches of Philadelphia Union, a large number of goals have been scored. Inter Miami scored 13 goals in 5 home games and Philadelphia Union scored 8 goals in 5 away games, suggesting a high probability of both teams scoring in this match.

3. In terms of defensive potential, Inter Miami concedes an average of 1.8 goals per home game and Philadelphia Union concedes 1.4 goals per away game. This shows that both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities that could be exploited by the opposing team.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Philadelphia Union wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Inter Miami 3-2 Philadelphia Union

1. The Inter Miami’s home performance has been impressive, with a 100% win rate in the last 5 matches and an average of 2.6 goals per game, which justifies the probability of Inter Miami scoring 3 goals.

2. Despite having a variable away performance (40% win rate), the Philadelphia Union has managed to score an average of 1.2 goals per game, supporting the prediction of at least 2 goals from their side.

3. The statistics indicate a higher probability of “over 2.5 goals in the match” (60.67%) and “both teams to score” (65.17%), further corroborating the forecast of a final score of 3-2.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Inter Miami is in good form at home, with a run of 5 consecutive wins and an average of 2.6 goals per match. However, their defensive weaknesses are evident with 14 goals conceded.

As for Philadelphia Union, away from home, they have won 2 of their last 5 matches. They score less but also concede fewer goals, with averages of 1.2 and 1.4 respectively.

The offensive and defensive potential favors Inter Miami at 93% and 64% respectively, compared to 43% and 50% for Philadelphia.

Therefore, the highest probability is on Inter Miami to win at 53.93%. There is also a strong likelihood of over 1.5 goals being scored at 87.64%.

A close match is expected as both teams have scored in their previous matches, giving a probability of 65.17%.

In summary, Inter Miami looks like the favorite and we can expect a match with over 1.5 goals and both teams scoring.

The potential number of goals

Inter Miami has a fantastic home performance. They have indeed won 100% of their last 5 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals scored per match. Their offensive power stands at 93%, while their defense holds at 64% with an average of 1.8 goals conceded.

On the other hand, Philadelphia Union shows less consistency away from home. They have only won 40% of their last 5 matches, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded. Their offensive potential is at 43% and their defense at 50%.

The prediction indicates a victory probability for Inter Miami at 53.93%, compared to only 20.22% for Philadelphia Union. There is also a 25.84% probability for a draw.

In terms of goals, it is more likely that the match will have over 1.5 goals with a 87.64% probability, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 60.67%. Both teams have a 65.17% chance of scoring.

Therefore, based on the numbers, I would say that the data favors a victory for Inter Miami with likely over 1.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the analyses provide a detailed view of past performances and indicators that could influence the outcome of the match between Inter Miami and Philadelphia Union. The statistics clearly suggest a win for Inter Miami, fueled by their impressive home win streak and strong attack. However, one must consider the team’s relatively weak defense which could allow Philadelphia to score and create surprises in this match. Betting on the exact score of Inter Miami 3-2 Philadelphia Union could offer lucrative returns. Similarly, despite unfavorable odds, a value bet on a Philadelphia win could prove to be profitable. Other significant probabilities include betting on a match with “over 2.5 goals” and one in which “both teams score”, which seem to be safe bets. Nonetheless, remember that in the world of sports betting, there are no certainties, and each bet comes with its uncertainties.