Tipps Internacional Atletico-MG Serie A 27/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on the statistics and data provided, my prediction would be “Draw or Internacional RS wins the match”.

1. According to statistics, Internacional RS has a strong home performance with 40% wins and 20% draws in their last 5 matches. This indicates a fairly positive trend for Internacional and a certain advantage due to the home field effect.

2. In contrast, Atletico MG does not seem as strong when playing away, with only 40% wins and no draws in their last 5 matches. Furthermore, their defense appears weaker away from home, conceding an average of 2 goals per match, which could give Internacional RS an advantage.

3. The given probabilities also support this prediction. Based on this data, there is approximately a 78% chance that the match will end in a draw or with Internacional RS winning, which is significantly higher than the probability of Atletico MG winning (22.11%). Taking these factors into account, the prediction “Draw or Internacional RS wins the match” appears to be logical.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The offensive potential of Internacional RS at home is particularly low at 29%, having only scored 4 goals in their last 5 matches. This implies that it is less likely for a large number of goals to be scored by this team.

2. Similarly, Atletico MG, although having a better offensive potential at 64%, has shown a tendency to concede more goals (an average of 2 per match) during their away games. Furthermore, Atletico MG’s away win rate is only 40%. This combination of a relatively weak defense and suboptimal overall performance could mean fewer goals scored when they play away.

3. The forecast statistics further support this prediction. There is an 83.68% likelihood of fewer than 3.5 goals in the match, and an even higher probability of 96.32% for fewer than 4.5 goals. These probabilities suggest that it is highly likely the match will end with fewer than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics show that both teams tend to score and concede at least one goal per match. Internacional RS has scored 4 goals and conceded 5 in 5 home matches, while Atletico MG has scored 5 goals and conceded 5 in 5 away matches.

2. Atletico MG has a high average of goals scored away from home (1.8 per match), indicating a strong likelihood that they will score during the match against Internacional RS. Atletico MG’s offensive potential is evaluated at 64%.

3. The recent match history of each team clearly demonstrates a tendency for matches where both teams score. For example, in Atletico MG’s last five away matches, both teams have scored in 3 out of 5 matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Internacional RS 1-2 Atletico MG.

1. Atletico MG has shown its ability to score away from home with an average of 1.8 goals per game in its last 5 matches, which is higher than Internacional RS’s home offensive potential. This indicates a high probability that Atletico MG will score at least one goal.

2. Atletico MG’s defensive potential away from home is quite weak, conceding an average of 2 goals per game in its last 5 outings. Additionally, Internacional RS has managed to score a goal in the majority of its recent home matches, suggesting that they are likely to also score at least one goal in this encounter.

3. The odds of victory are slightly in favor of Internacional RS or a draw, but only by a small margin. Atletico MG has shown that it can be victorious away from home with a 40% win rate, the same as Internacional RS at home. Therefore, a result in favor of Atletico MG should not be ruled out, adding weight to the prediction of Internacional RS 1-2 Atletico MG.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Internacional RS has won 40% of their last home games, but has drawn 20% of the time. This is a decent score but indicative of inconsistent performance.

Atletico MG, playing away, also has a 40% win rate. However, they have not recorded any draws, indicating a more all-or-nothing style of play.

In terms of goals, Internacional RS averages 0.8 goals scored and 0.4 goals conceded per home match. They have an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 14%. On the other hand, Atletico MG scores 1.8 goals away but concedes 2, with an offensive potential of 64% and defensive potential of 71%.

Probability analysis shows that Internacional RS is more likely to win the match (44.74%). A draw has a probability of 33.16%, while Atletico MG’s victory is at 22.11%.

Goal statistics suggest that it is likely the match will have less than 3.5 goals (83.68%).

Regarding both teams to score, it’s nearly 50/50, with a slight majority (50.53%) leaning towards “yes.”

Referring to their respective recent matches, Internacional RS seems strong at home, while Atletico MG has had a rough time away.

In conclusion, for betting purposes, consider Internacional RS, under 3.5 goals, and both teams to score.

The potential number of goals

Internacional RS, at home, is quite stable with a 40% win rate in their last 5 matches. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 5, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.4 goals conceded per match. Their offensive potential is relatively low at 29%, and their defensive potential is at 14%.

On the other hand, Atletico MG performs well away from home with a 40% win rate in their last 5 matches. However, they are more offensive than Internacional RS, scoring 5 goals (an average of 1.8 per match) and have a high offensive potential at 64%. Defensively, they have struggled, conceding 5 goals (an average of 2 per match) with a defensive potential of 71%.

As for the prediction for this match, Internacional RS have a 44.74% chance of winning, but there is also a 33.16% chance of a draw. Atletico MG, on the other hand, only have a 22.11% chance of winning the match.

The most likely outcome is either a draw or a win for Internacional RS, with a 77.89% chance of success. In terms of goals, there is a 67.89% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match. For a match with fewer than 3.5 goals, the chances are 83.68%.

In conclusion, a tight match is expected with a slight edge for Internacional RS, but Atletico MG clearly have a higher offensive capability. I would recommend betting on more than 1.5 goals during the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, taking into account all this information and statistics, the Internacional RS vs Atletico MG match is expected to be closely contested but with a certain probability of both teams scoring. Therefore, interesting bets to consider could be “Draw or Internacional RS to win the match” and “Under 2.5 goals in the match.” It could also be worth betting on “Both teams to score: Yes” given the offensive capabilities of both teams. However, predicting the outcome remains tricky, and it is important to always bear in mind that the final result of a match can be influenced by many unpredictable factors. So, bet responsibly and good luck to all bettors.