Tipps Internacional Cruzeiro Serie A 26/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Internacional RS wins the match

1. Internacional RS has a higher probability of winning the match (54.79%) compared to Cruzeiro MG (13.3%).
2. Even at home, Internacional RS has shown a decent performance with a fairly balanced offensive and defensive potential (43%).
3. Cruzeiro MG, despite having a decent away performance, has a slightly weaker defensive potential (36%) compared to Internacional RS.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The statistics reveal a trend of both teams scoring and conceding few goals in their recent matches: Internacional RS scores and concedes an average of 1.2 goals per match, while Cruzeiro MG also scores an average of 1.2 goals per match but concedes 1 goal as well.

2. The offensive and defensive rates of both teams are rather modest (43% for Internacional RS and Cruzeiro MG), suggesting a close match with few scoring opportunities.

3. Analysis of their recent respective matches shows that it is more common to have a total goal score of less than 3. For example, in Internacional RS’s last 5 home matches, 4 had fewer than 3 goals scored. In Cruzeiro MG’s last 5 away matches, 3 had fewer than 3 goals scored.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Performance History: In their last 5 respective matches, Internacional RS and Cruzeiro MG have both shown an ability to score goals, with an average of 1.2 goals per game.

2. Weak defense: Both teams tend to concede goals, highlighting weak defenses. Internacional RS has conceded 9 goals in 5 home matches, while Cruzeiro MG has conceded 7 goals in 5 away matches.

3. Betting statistics: The probability of both teams scoring is 46.81%, giving odds of 2.05. This means that bookmakers believe it is more likely that both teams will score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Cruzeiro MG wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Internacional RS 1 – 1 Cruzeiro MG

1. Performance statistics: Both teams have scored and conceded a similar number of goals in their recent matches, averaging 1.2 goals per game for Internacional RS and Cruzeiro MG, both at home and away.

2. Head-to-head record between the two teams: In previous matches, Internacional RS has had similar results at home (2 draws in 5 matches). Additionally, Cruzeiro MG has managed to secure draws in their away games (1 draw in 5 matches).

3. Match result probabilities: The odds indicate a higher probability for a draw or a win for Internacional RS (86.7%); however, the success rate for a draw is 31.91%, meaning it is also likely that both teams will score in this match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Internacional RS hasn’t performed well on their home turf recently, with only a 20% win rate and a goal difference of 7 scored and 9 conceded. Cruzeiro MG has fared better away from home with a 40% win rate and an even scoreline of 7 goals scored and 7 conceded.

Both teams average 1.2 goals per match, indicating similar offensive potential. However, Cruzeiro concedes fewer goals (1 goal per match compared to 1.2 for Internacional), giving them a better defensive potential at 36% compared to 43%.

The prediction suggests a victory for Internacional RS with a 54.79% probability, compared to only 13.3% for Cruzeiro MG. However, the most likely scenario is a match with fewer than 3.5 goals (89.36% probability).

The advantage seems to be in favor of Internacional RS, but a draw remains a viable option (31.91% probability). It is worth noting the high likelihood of a match with fewer than 4.5 goals (100%).

In conclusion, predicting more than 1.5 goals (70.74% probability) but fewer than 3.5 seems like a good estimation. Both teams not scoring could also be a solid option with a 53.19% probability.

The potential number of goals

Internacional RS has won 1 out of 5 matches at home, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match. However, they have also conceded an average of 1.2 goals per match, indicating a defense that could be improved. Their recent home performances have been mixed, with wins, draws, and losses.

On the other hand, Cruzeiro MG has won 2 out of 5 matches away from home, also scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match. However, they have shown a better defense than Internacional RS, conceding only 1 goal per match on average. They have shown some solidity away from home.

In terms of probabilities, Internacional RS has a higher chance of winning at 54.79% with odds of 2.10. There is also a strong likelihood of fewer than 3.5 goals in the match at 89.36% with odds of 1.18, taking into account the offensive and defensive performances of both teams.

On the other hand, Cruzeiro MG has a lower probability of winning at 13.3% with odds of 3.60. Nevertheless, a draw or a win for Cruzeiro MG is more likely at 45.21% with odds of 1.75.

Based on this data, it is probable to see a match with fewer than 3.5 goals and the outcome of the match could lean in favor of Internacional RS.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Internacional RS and Cruzeiro MG looks promising with a slight inclination towards Internacional RS. However, statistics indicate that both teams have a fairly balanced performance, both in attack and defense.

The probability of seeing less than 2.5 goals is quite high, suggesting a close match. Nevertheless, both teams have also shown their ability to score, hinting that each of them could find the back of the net.

The bet that seems to offer a ‘value bet’ opportunity is the victory of Cruzeiro MG despite a low probability of success. This is mainly due to their better performance away compared to Internacional RS at home.

Regarding the exact score bet, a 1-1 draw seems like a plausible estimation considering the balance of both teams and their recent history.

However, it is important to remember that in sports betting, randomness and luck always play a role. It is therefore recommended to bet with caution and moderation.