Tipps Istanbul Basaksehir Kasimpasa Süper Lig 05/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Istanbul Basaksehir wins the match.

1. Home Performance: Istanbul Buyuksehir has a good home record with a win in 80% of their last 5 matches. Additionally, they have a high offensive potential of 93% at home.
2. Offensive Potential vs Defensive Potential: Istanbul Buyuksehir, with an offensive potential of 93%, is far superior to Kasimpasa’s defensive potential of 57%. This situation gives Istanbul Buyuksehir a significant advantage.
3. Success Probability: The success probability favors Istanbul Buyuksehir with a percentage of 37.63%, higher than that of Kasimpasa which is 31.44%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Istanbul Buyuksehir scores an average of 2.6 goals per home match, which is higher than 2.5 goals.
2. Both teams have a significant defensive weakness, with Istanbul Buyuksehir conceding an average of 1.2 goals per home match and Kasimpasa conceding 1.6 goals away from home on average. This increases the likelihood of more than 2.5 goals in the match.
3. The calculated probability of more than 2.5 goals in the match is 55.67%, which is significantly higher than the opposite probability of less than 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The strong offensive potential of both teams: Istanbul Buyuksehir has an offensive potential of 93% with an average of 2.6 goals per home match, while Kasimpasa has won 60% of their away matches and scored an average of 1.2 goals.

2. The average defensive level of both teams is another important point to consider: Istanbul Buyuksehir has conceded an average of 1.2 goals per home match and has a defensive potential of 43%, while Kasimpasa has a 57% defensive potential away from home, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match.

3. Betting statistics indicate that in 58.76% of cases, both teams score, which is a strong indicator of the likelihood of this scenario.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Istanbul Buyuksehir 2-1 Kasimpasa

1. Home Performance: Istanbul Buyuksehir has shown outstanding performance at home, winning 80% of their last 5 matches and scoring an average of 2.6 goals per game. This attacking performance, combined with their record of conceding only 1.2 goals per game, supports the prediction of a 2-1 scoreline.

2. Away Performance: Kasimpasa has displayed some weaknesses on the road, winning only 60% of their games while conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match. It is therefore likely that they will score a goal but not do enough to win the match.

3. Statistical Probability: Statistical probabilities also suggest a favorable scoreline for Istanbul Buyuksehir. There is a 37.63% probability of Istanbul Buyuksehir winning and a 55.67% probability of over 2.5 goals in the match, which is consistent with a 2-1 result.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Istanbul Buyuksehir is a formidable opponent at home, with an 80% win rate, scoring and conceding 13 goals each in their last 5 matches. Their offensive potential is at 93%, while the defense stands at 43%.

On the other hand, Kasimpasa has a mixed record away from home. With a 60% win rate, they have scored 8 goals and conceded 9, with an offensive efficiency of 43% and defensive solidity at 57%.

Let’s talk about probabilities. The numbers favor Istanbul Buyuksehir with a 37.63% chance of winning. However, a draw should not be ruled out (30.93%). And Kasimpasa? They have a steady chance of winning at 31.44%.

If we look at bets like “draw or win”, Istanbul Buyuksehir leads with 68.56%, against 62.37% for Kasimpasa.

Betting on the score is also an option. More than 1.5 goals in the match is quite likely at 77.84%. A total of over 2.5 goals is plausible at 55.67%.

Lastly, both clubs scoring during the match has a 58.76% chance of happening, an important factor to consider.

In summary, this match promises to be lively, with two teams that are not afraid to score goals. Even though Istanbul Buyuksehir is the favorite at home, Kasimpasa could spring a surprise.

The potential number of goals

Istanbul Buyuksehir excels at home, winning 80% of their matches. 13 goals scored show an effective attack. But 13 goals conceded also raise questions about the defense. Kasimpasa is not far behind away from home, with a 60% win rate. 8 goals scored, but 9 conceded signal a more fragile defense.

Interesting detail: Istanbul Buyuksehir averages 2.6 goals per match at home. With an offensive potential of 93%, they are formidable. Conceding an average of 1.2 goals, their defense is solid at 43%. For Kasimpasa, it’s 1.2 goals scored on average and 1.6 conceded away. Offensive potential at 43%, defensive potential at 57%.

The probabilities are close. Istanbul Buyuksehir has a 37.63% chance of winning. While Kasimpasa has 31.44%. The draw: 30.93%. The probabilities favor “draw or Istanbul Buyuksehir to win” at 68.56% against 62.37% for “draw or Kasimpasa to win.”

Regarding goals, there is a 77.84% probability of “over 1.5 goals” in the match. While “over 2.5 goals” is at 55.67%. “Under 3.5 goals” is favored at 64.95%. 58.76% chance that “both teams score.”

Based on past performances and these probabilities, a prediction is possible. The match could see “over 1.5 goals.” And there is a decent chance to see Istanbul Buyuksehir, strong at home, come out on top.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Taking into account all the analysis, here is a concise conclusion:

Istanbul Buyuksehir is the favorite in this Süper Lig match with a significant advantage, mainly due to their strong offensive potential and solid home performance. However, it should not be overlooked that Kasimpasa also has strengths, specifically a respectable offensive output and the ability to score away from home.

The probability is particularly high for a scenario where more than 2.5 goals are scored in the match – indicating a potentially high-scoring game. This is supported by both teams’ average goals scored and conceded. Therefore, it is recommended to place a bet on “Over 2.5 goals in the match”.

We have also seen that in 58.76% of cases, both teams score. Therefore, another potentially interesting bet would be to bet on “Both teams to score”.

In terms of predicting the exact score, statistical analysis favors a 2-1 result in favor of Istanbul Buyuksehir, which seems most likely considering their home performances and strong offensive potential.

In summary, while Istanbul Buyuksehir has the edge, this match promises to be balanced and action-packed, offering several interesting betting opportunities for sports bettors.