Tipps Istra 1961 NK Slaven Belupo Prva HNL 26/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

NK Istra 1961 wins the match

1. NK Istra 1961 has a success probability of 49.71% to win the match, which is the highest among all available probabilities before the match.

2. In terms of home performance, NK Istra 1961 has won 40% of its matches with an average of 0.6 goals per match. In comparison, Slaven Belupo has only won 40% of its away matches with the same average score, but has conceded more goals (average of 1 goal per match).

3. NK Istra 1961 has shown better defensive performance at home (21% offensive potential and 50% defensive potential) compared to Slaven Belupo’s performance away (21% offensive potential and 36% defensive potential).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. The offensive level of both teams is relatively low. NK Istra 1961 and Slaven Belupo score an average of 0.6 goals per match, which is very low and indicates a tendency for low-scoring games.

2. Past statistics show a trend towards low-scoring matches. In the last five home matches of NK Istra 1961, the scores rarely exceed 2.5 goals, and the same is true for Slaven Belupo’s last five away matches.

3. The odds offered for “Under 2.5 goals in the match” are quite low at 1.57, indicating that bookmakers also believe there is a high probability of a total goal count below 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. NK Istra 1961 has a quite low average of goals scored in home matches (0.6 on average per match). Furthermore, in their last home matches, they have failed to score in 60% of the matches, indicating a rather limited offensive potential.

2. On the other hand, Slaven Belupo also has a low average of goals scored in away matches (0.6 on average per match). It is clear that their offensive performance is not optimal when they play away.

3. Looking at the statistics of goals conceded, NK Istra 1961 concedes an average of 1.4 goals at home, while Slaven Belupo concedes an average of 1 goal away. Therefore, it is more likely that both teams will struggle to score considering the opponents’ relatively solid defenses.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or NK Istra 1961 wins the match – 1.25

Bet on the exact result

NK Istra 1961 1-1 Slaven Belupo

1. Both teams have an average offensive potential with NK Istra 1961 and Slaven Belupo both scoring an average of 0.6 goals per match. Therefore, it is likely that both teams will score at least one goal, justifying the prediction of a 1-1 score.

2. The probability of a draw is 33.14% with odds of 3.20. Taking into account that NK Istra 1961 drew in 20% of its last 5 home matches, the possibility of a draw cannot be ruled out.

3. NK Istra 1961 has a strong defense at home, conceding an average of 1.4 goals, while Slaven Belupo has a similar frequency of conceding an average of 1 goal in their away matches. This evidence reinforces the idea of a final score of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

NK Istra 1961 have won 40% of their last 5 home matches. A victory against Slaven Belupo is 49.71% likely.

Slaven Belupo, on the other hand, has a 40% win rate in their last 5 away matches. Success probability stands at 17.14%.

In the last 5 matches, NK Istra scored 3 goals and conceded 3. Slaven Belupo scored 7 and conceded 8.

Based on this analysis, the probability of a draw is 33.14%.

In terms of goals, each team averages 0.6 goals per match. NK Istra concedes more with an average of 1.4 compared to Slaven’s 1.

The possibility of a match with less than 1.5 goals is at 2.75, with a 67.43% likelihood of over 1.5 goals.

The probability of both teams scoring is 45.71%. Otherwise, it’s at 54.29%.

NK Istra had a 2-1 victory against Rudes and 0-0 draws against NK Lokomotiva and HNK Gorica.

Slaven Belupo won 3-1 against Rudes but suffered a 5-2 defeat against Dinamo Zagreb.

In summary, a balanced match is expected between NK Istra 1961 and Slaven Belupo.

The potential number of goals

NK Istra 1961 has a 40% home win rate and has scored a total of 3 goals in their last 5 matches. Their offensive capability is at 21% and defensive at 50%.

Slaven Belupo, playing away, also wins in 40% of cases but has scored 7 goals, more than NK Istra 1961. Their offensive potential is at 21% with a defense at 36%.

There is a 49.71% probability that NK Istra 1961 wins the match. The draw stands at 33.14%. Slaven Belupo has a lower probability of winning at 17.14%.

There is a higher chance (82.86%) that the match ends in a draw or NK Istra 1961 wins. The possibility of a draw or Slaven Belupo winning is at 50.29%.

Regarding the number of goals, it is more likely (67.43%) that there will be more than 1.5 goals in the match. Both teams to score is expected at 45.71%.

In conclusion, it seems more probable that NK Istra 1961 wins or the match ends in a draw with a significant likelihood of more than 1.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between NK Istra 1961 and Slaven Belupo is expected to be closely contested, with relatively similar performance statistics for both teams. However, NK Istra 1961, due to its strong home record, appears to have a slight edge over Slaven Belupo, which struggles to maintain consistent performances away from home. The statistics suggest a win for NK Istra 1961 or a draw, with a slight likelihood of over 1.5 goals. However, the goal-scoring rate is quite low for both teams, indicating the possibility of a match with fewer than 2.5 goals. Ultimately, each match is unpredictable and these predictions are based on available data. It is therefore essential for anyone looking to place a bet to not only rely on statistics but also take into account other factors, such as weather conditions, player fitness, etc.