Tipps Italy Albania Euro 2024 15/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Italy wins the match.

1. Home Performance History: Italy has a strong home performance history, having won 80% of its last 5 matches.
2. Weak Away Performance of Albania: Albania has had a poor performance in its away matches, with only 20% of wins in its last 5 matches.
3. Offensive and Defensive Superiority of Italy: Italy has a stronger offensive and defensive potential compared to Albania, resulting in more goals scored on average per match, and fewer goals conceded.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Italy’s impressive offensive performance at home in the past is notable. According to statistics, Italy has scored 12 goals in their last 5 home matches, averaging 2.4 goals per game. This trend suggests that they will have the ability to score at least two goals against Albania.

2. Albania’s defensive efficiency on the road is not great. In their last 5 away matches, they have conceded a total of 6 goals, averaging 1.2 goals per game. This lack of solidity especially away from home suggests that Italy should be able to break through and score.

3. Probability calculations for the various outcomes of the match mainly suggest a high-scoring game. The “Over 2.5 goals in the match” option has a success probability of 54.92%, which is higher than most other available options. This is a strong indicator that the match will likely see more than 2.5 goals scored.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Italy’s defensive performance at home is very solid. They have conceded an average of only 0.2 goals per match in their last 5 games, showing a defensive solidity that could prevent Albania from scoring.
2. Albania struggles to score away from home. In their last 5 matches, they have only managed to score 5 times. With an offensive potential of only 43%, their chances of scoring against Italy are relatively low.
3. The previous statistics of both teams indicate a success rate of 58.55% for the prediction that both teams will not score. This statistical data adds validity to this prediction.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Italy 2-1 Albania

1. Italy’s offensive potential at home is higher than Albania’s away from home. It stands at 36% compared to Albania’s 43%. Additionally, Italy’s defensive potential is also superior (7% compared to Albania’s 36%). This increases Italy’s chances of scoring at least 2 goals.

2. The statistics from the last 5 matches show clear dominance for Italy at home (80% wins with no draws) compared to Albania’s away performances (only 20% wins with 40% draws).

3. The historical data from Italy’s last home matches shows an average of over 2 goals per match (12 goals in 5 matches), while Albania concedes an average of 1 goal per match away from home, supporting the prediction of 2 goals for Italy and 1 for Albania.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Italy is quite arrogant at home, with 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Albania struggles on the road, with just one win in their last 5 outings. Italy has scored 12 goals and conceded 2, while Albania has scored only 5 goals and conceded 6. Italy’s offensive potential is at 36%, compared to Albania’s 43%. Defensively, Italy dominates with 7% against Albania’s 36%.

Italy is the clear favorite with an 80.31% chance of winning. Albania’s victory is unlikely at 4.66%. A draw is possible at 15.03%. Less than 1.5 goals seems unlikely with odds at 3.37. Both teams not scoring seems probable at 58.55%.

Based on these numbers, an Italian victory combined with less than 4.5 goals in the match seems like a wise bet.

The potential number of goals

Italy, playing at home, is a force to be reckoned with. In their last 5 matches, they have won in 80% of cases. They have scored 12 goals, indicating a strong offensive capability. Albania, playing away, wins less frequently with only a 20% success rate.

Italy has a solid defense, conceding only 0.2 goals per match on average. Against Albania, who score an average of 1.2 goals per away match, this could lead to a low-scoring game.

Italy is likely to win the match with a success probability of 80.31%. On the other hand, Albania has a success probability of 4.66%. Draws are less likely, at 15.03%.

There is a 75.65% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match. However, the probability drops to 54.92% for more than 2.5 goals. It is a match where both teams are not expected to score, with a probability of 58.55%.

The match is likely to favor Italy, with a number of goals that could exceed 1.5 but be below 3.5. The suggestion is to pay attention to the Italian offense and the Albanian defense in this match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, all statistics and analyses point towards a victory for Italy in this match. Despite there being a moderate probability of a draw, Italy’s superior offensive and defensive capabilities should normally secure them the win. Furthermore, Albania has shown notable weaknesses in their away matches, which could also influence the outcome of this match.

Moreover, there is a high likelihood that the total number of goals in the match will be over 2.5 given Italy’s offensive potential and Albania’s questionable defense. However, it is unlikely that both teams will score due to Italy’s solid home defense.

In summary, the most prudent bet to consider for the Euro Championship match between Italy and Albania on June 15, 2024 would be a victory for Italy with over 2.5 goals in the match. Of course, all of this is speculation and analysis; football always involves elements of unpredictability and uncertainties that make each match unique.