Tipps Italy Israel UEFA Nations League 14/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Italy wins the match

1. Home statistics: Italy has shown a strong performance when playing at home, winning in 60% of cases in its last 5 matches. They have also displayed a good offensive potential with an average of 1.6 goals per game.

2. Away statistics: Israel, on the other hand, has performed less well in their away games, with only a 40% win rate in their last 5 matches. Furthermore, they have conceded more goals (an average of 2.4) than Italy.

3. Offensive and defensive potential: Italy has an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 50%, while Israel has an offensive potential of 50% and a higher defensive potential of 86%. Italy appears to be the more balanced team, which could lead them to victory in the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. Statistically, Italy, even while playing at home, has an average of 1.6 goals per game, which is quite low and may not reach the anticipated 2.5 goals in the match, considering also that Israel scores an average of 1.4 goals away.

2. Israel’s defensive performance is quite strong when playing away, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per game, implying that they are able to hold defensively and minimize the number of goals scored by Italy.

3. Both teams have a weak offensive potential, with respective percentages of 57% and 50%. Given the previous statistics, it is likely that both teams will focus more on defense to limit the opponent’s chances, which could result in a low-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Israel’s defensive performances away from home are solid, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per match, implying that they are capable of limiting Italy’s goal tally.
2. Italy has a 57% home offensive potential and averages 1.6 goals per match, suggesting that they tend not to score more than one goal in their home games.
3. By analyzing Italy’s recent home matches and Israel’s away matches, both teams have shown the ability to keep clean sheets in some games, supporting the argument that it is possible for one of the teams not to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Italy 2-1 Israel

1. Italy has an average of 1.6 goals scored per home match in their last 5 matches, corresponding to the predicted score of 2 goals for Italy.
2. Israel has an 86% defensive potential, but assuming an average of 2.4 goals conceded per away match in their last 5 matches. So, it is likely they will concede 2 goals.
3. The Israel team has managed to score in each of their last five away matches, which provides justification for the prediction of Israel scoring at least 1 goal.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Italy seems quite strong at home. They have a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches. They have conceded more goals than they scored, with a record of 7 scored and 8 conceded. Israel has a less impressive record away from home, with a 40% win rate in their last 5 matches. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 8, similar to Italy.

Italy averages 1.6 goals scored per match and concedes 1.4. Israel, on the other hand, scores fewer goals (1.4) but concedes more (2.4).

Italy’s recent home performances have shown consistency. Notable matches include wins against Albania and Venezuela, and a draw against Belgium.

Israel has had mixed success away from home. They secured an impressive win against Dynamo Kyiv but lost to Belgium and Hungary.

The probabilities do not favor a clear prediction for either an Italy win, a draw, or an Israel win.

However, statistics suggest that both teams may not score, with a 100% probability. It is also likely that there will be less than 3.5 goals in the match.

In summary, a match with few goals can be expected, where both teams may struggle to score.

The potential number of goals

Italy has a fairly strong performance at home. In their last 5 matches, they have won 60% of the time. However, they have also conceded more goals (8) than they have scored (7).

Israel, on the other hand, struggles away from home. They have only won 40% of their matches, while scoring 7 goals and conceding 8.

In terms of statistics, Italy has an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 50% at home. Israel, on the other hand, has an offensive potential of 50% when playing away, but their defense is concerning with a potential of 86%.

Italy’s recent home matches show a variable performance, including a win against Albania. Meanwhile, Israel showed an impressive performance by defeating Dynamo Kyiv away.

The key information to remember is that Italy is strong at home, while Israel struggles away. However, the match could be tight considering their performances. It is highly likely that the match will end with fewer than 3.5 goals given the defensive trend of these two teams. Also, it is unlikely that both teams will score, with a probability of 0%.

In summary, this match could be a defensive battle with very likely fewer than 3.5 goals scored. Caution should be exercised in betting.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

By analyzing the recent performances of both teams, statistics suggest a slight preference for Italy playing at home where they have shown a solid performance. However, Israel’s defensive side should not be underestimated, which could make this match quite balanced. Although the offensive potential of both teams is relatively low, Italy might have the edge with a slightly higher average of goals per match. Nevertheless, considering Israel’s strong defensive statistics, it is likely that the match will end with fewer than 3.5 goals. Furthermore, it is unlikely that both teams will score. Bets for this match should therefore be placed with a good deal of caution and a clear understanding of these dynamics. In conclusion, Italy could win this match, but it is unlikely that the match will see more than 3.5 goals or that both teams will score.