Tipps Italy Turkey Matchs amicaux 04/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Italy wins the match

1. Home Performance: Italy has a very high home win rate of 80%, which showcases their strength when playing on their own turf. Their goal scored/goals conceded record is also positive (14 goals scored against 16 conceded). Furthermore, their offensive potential at home stands at 86%.

2. Turkey’s Away Performance: Turkey has a relatively low away win rate of 40%. Additionally, their goal scored/goals conceded record is not positive with 6 goals scored and conceded. Their defensive potential away from home is at 71%, which is lower than Italy’s offensive potential at home.

3. Probability of Success: According to the provided probabilities, there is a 57.47% chance of Italy winning the match, which is significantly higher than Turkey’s win probability (21.84%). Moreover, the “Draw or Italy wins the match” option has the highest probability of success (78.16%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. Italy has shown a strong offensive trend at home, scoring an average of 2.4 goals per match in their last 5 games, with an offensive potential of 86%. Additionally, their matches tend to feature many goals, with a total of 30 goals in their last 5 home games.

2. Turkey has shown a weak defensive potential, conceding an average of 2 goals per match in their last 5 away games with a defensive potential of 71%. This increases the probability of Italy scoring, especially with their strong offensive trend.

3. Current statistics and odds show a success probability of 61.49% for over 2.5 goals in the match, indicating that bookmakers also expect the match to be high-scoring.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Recent statistics show a strong trend of both teams scoring. Italy has scored 14 goals at home in their last 5 matches, with an 86% offensive potential. Turkey has scored 6 goals away in their last 5 matches, with a 64% offensive potential.

2. Italy has a weak defensive performance at home, conceding 16 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 1.2 goals per game. This gives Turkey a chance to score at least one goal during the match.

3. In the last 5 matches of each team, Italy scored in 80% of the matches while Turkey scored in 60% of the matches. Past performances therefore indicate a high probability of both teams scoring in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Turkey wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Italy 2-1 Turkey

1. Match history: In its last five home matches, Italy has mostly won (in 80% of cases) and scored at least two goals in four out of five matches. Meanwhile, Turkey has had a mixed performance away, winning less than half of its matches (in 40% of cases) and conceding at least one goal in every match. This suggests an advantage for Italy to win with a minimum score of 2-1.

2. Offensive and defensive efficiency: Italy shows a high offensive efficiency of 86% and average defensive efficiency of 43% compared to Turkey with 64% offensive and 71% defensive efficiency. This implies that Italy is more likely to score at least two goals while Turkey may score one.

3. Success probabilities: According to the probabilities, the match is likely to have more than 2.5 goals (61.49% probability). There is a higher likelihood of Italy winning (57.47%) and a strong probability of both teams scoring (57.47%). These numbers support a 2-1 scoreline in favor of Italy.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Italy is in good form at home. They win 80% of the time. Score 2.4 goals per match and concede 1.2 goals. Strong offense and decent defense.

Turkey, playing away, is on a mixed run. They win 40% of their matches, score an average of 1.8 goals but concede 2 goals on average. Average offense and worrying defense.

There is a strong likelihood that Italy will win: 57.47%. Odds at 1.63. Good option.

Another interesting option is a draw or Italy to win. Probability at 78.16%. Odds at 1.15.

Likelihood of over 1.5 goals: 85.06%. Odds at 1.25.

Based on recent history, Italy usually performs well against Venezuela, North Macedonia, and Malta, but struggles more against England.

Turkey: strong against Croatia and Germany. Defeated by Austria. Close matches against Hungary and Wales.

Both teams to score has a 57.47% chance. Odds at 1.83. Good to know.

Final prediction: Italy in a winning position. Match potentially high-scoring. Let’s bet on “Over 1.5 goals.”

The potential number of goals

On their own turf, Italy prevails in 80% of matches. Furthermore, they have scored 14 goals, averaging 2.8 goals per match. However, their defense has conceded 16 goals.

When playing away, Turkey wins 40% of the time. They have scored and conceded 6 goals, averaging 1.2 per match.

Italy, when at home, has an attacking potential of 86% and a defensive capability of 43%. In contrast, the Turkish team scores less but defends better with an offensive capacity of 64% and defensive capability of 71%.

For this match, Italy has a 57.47% probability of winning, with the likelihood of a draw at 20.69%. Turkey only has a 21.84% chance of victory.

It is probable that there will be more than 1.5 goals in the match (85.06%) and less than 3.5 goals (82.76%). There is a 57.47% probability that both teams will score.

Analysis of past performances indicates that Italy tends to dominate at home, while Turkey struggles away from home.

In conclusion, the prediction favors Italy in this match, with a forecast of more than 1.5 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on the analysis conducted on past performances, probabilities, and current form of the teams, Italy is favored to win this home match against Turkey. The strong goal-scoring trend and the teams’ history suggest a match where Italy is likely to score at least two goals. The probability of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match is high. However, statistics also show Turkey’s ability to cause surprises and score, hence the prediction that both teams will score. Nevertheless, the bet offering an interesting value bet would be a Turkey win, despite the low probability of this scenario, due to the potential return on investment. In summary, this match promises to be lively and high-scoring, despite the expected dominance of the Italian team.