Tipps Jagiellonia Cracovia Krakow Ekstraklasa 17/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Jagiellonia wins the match

1. Jagiellonia has a higher home win rate (60%) compared to Cracovia Krakow’s away win rate (40%). This highlights the potential advantage of playing at home for Jagiellonia.

2. Jagiellonia has shown greater offensive capability at home with an average of 1.8 goals per match, while Cracovia Krakow has scored an average of just one goal per match away. This indicates a higher offensive potential for Jagiellonia.

3. The calculated probabilities also favor a Jagiellonia win with a success rate of 56.77% compared to only 22.4% for Cracovia Krakow. This suggests that based on the data and statistics, Jagiellonia would be the favorite to win this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Jagiellonia’s average goals scored at home is over 1.5 goals per match, while Cracovia Krakow’s away average is 1 goal per match, resulting in a total average of 2.5 goals per match.
2. Both teams have a defensive potential of over 50%, suggesting they tend to concede goals, thus increasing the likelihood of seeing more than 2.5 goals during the match.
3. The success probability statistic indicates a 61.46% chance of the match ending with over 2.5 goals, further supporting the prediction.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Jagiellonia’s offensive potential at home and Cracovia Krakow’s potential away from home are respectively 64% and 36%. This indicates a goal-scoring potential on both sides.

2. Jagiellonia has scored 7 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Cracovia Krakow has scored 3 goals in their last 5 away matches. From this, we can judge that both teams have the ability to score in this match.

3. Probability statistics show that “both teams to score” is at 63.02%, which represents a medium to high probability. Therefore, the prediction of “both teams to score: Yes” seems like a reasonable forecast based on these statistics.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Cracovia Krakow wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Jagiellonia 2-1 Cracovia Krakow

1. Jagiellonia has an impressive home performance, with a 60% probability of winning and an average of 1.8 goals per match, which increases the chances of a 2-1 scoreline.
2. Cracovia Krakow’s offensive potential away from home is relatively weak, but they have managed to score at least one goal in 60% of their last 5 matches, supporting a 2-1 score for Jagiellonia.
3. The match presents a 63.02% probability of both teams scoring. By combining this with a 61.46% probability of over 2.5 goals in the match, a 2-1 scoreline for Jagiellonia is a likely outcome.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Jagiellonia has shown good form at home, with a 60% win rate and a total of 7 goals scored in the last 5 matches. However, their defense remains vulnerable with 8 goals conceded.

Cracovia Krakow struggles away from home, with only a 40% win rate and an equal number of goals scored and conceded at 3.

Jagiellonia’s home offense is strong, averaging 1.8 goals per match, while Cracovia Krakow scores an average of 1 goal per away match.

The probabilities indicate a 56.77% chance of Jagiellonia winning, a 20.83% chance of a draw, and a 22.4% chance of Cracovia Krakow winning.

Considering the goals, the match is likely to have more than 1.5 goals at 89.58%. There is a 61.46% chance of more than 2.5 goals, and over 3.5 goals is unlikely at 2.50. A match with fewer than 4.5 goals is probable at 84.9%.

Both teams are expected to score, with a probability of 63.02%.

Taking into account the recent form of both teams, Jagiellonia has lost twice at home 0-1 while Cracovia Krakow has won twice away 0-1.

In summary, an offensive surge from Jagiellonia is expected in this match with a high probability of more than 1.5 goals. Cracovia Krakow will seek to break through the defense, and it is likely that both teams will score. The victory is likely to favor Jagiellonia.

The potential number of goals

Based on its last 5 home matches, Jagiellonia has a good performance with a 60% win rate. However, Cracovia Krakow is resilient on the road, only securing victories in 40% of cases.
Offensively, Jagiellonia is stronger, averaging 1.8 goals compared to Cracovia’s 1 goal. Defensively, both teams show similar resistance.
The odds favor a Jagiellonia victory at 56.77%. Looking at the odds, Jagiellonia winning is at 1.57.
The option of a draw or Jagiellonia win has a 77.6% success probability with odds of 1.12, which could be attractive for bettors.
The prediction for over 1.5 goals in the match is highly likely at 89.58%.
Finally, the chance of both teams scoring is 63.02%, an aspect to consider when placing a bet.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the data and statistics presented indicate that Jagiellonia comes out with a significant advantage for this match. Their home performances, combined with the notable offense, suggest a likelihood of a favorable outcome for Jagiellonia. However, the strong defensive aspect of Cracovia Krakow should not be underestimated and gives them a chance to position themselves as a ‘value bet.’

As for goals, the statistics point towards a potentially high-scoring match with over 2.5 goals and a strong probability of both teams scoring. The exact score of 2-1 in favor of Jagiellonia seems possible.

However, it is important to remember that predictions are based on statistical trends and the final result can be influenced by various unpredictable factors. Analyzing recent performances, game conditions, and training strategies can also help refine these predictions. Ultimately, each bettor must take responsibility for their own betting decisions.