Tipps Jaguares Patriotas Primera A 20/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Jaguares de Cordoba wins the match

1. Jaguares de Cordoba tends to be stronger at home with a win and two draws in their last five matches. These past performances can give confidence to the team for the upcoming match.

2. Patriotas Boyaca has a weaker defense away from home, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per match, which is higher than Jaguares de Cordoba’s average goals scored at home. This indicates an opportunity for Jaguares de Cordoba to score and potentially win the match.

3. When analyzing the success probabilities, the forecast indicates that Jaguares de Cordoba has a 59.28% chance of winning the match against 22.68% for Patriotas Boyaca. This high probability of victory suggests that Jaguares de Cordoba is more likely to win the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5

1. The recent performances of both teams show a trend of scoring few goals, with an average of 0.8 goals for Jaguares de Cordoba at home and 1 goal for Patriotas Boyaca away. These numbers suggest that it is unlikely for there to be more than 2.5 goals.
2. In the last 5 matches of each team, the total number of goals scored by both teams has mostly not exceeded 2.5. Therefore, based on recent trends, it seems more probable that there will be less than 2.5 goals in the next match.
3. The success probability for less than 2.5 goals in the match is 1.60, which is relatively high. This statistic implies that the chances of there being less than 2.5 goals in this match are higher.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The first reason is that Jaguares de Cordoba, in their last 5 home matches, have only won once, with a home win rate of just 20%. This suggests they do not have a strong offensive power.
2. Meanwhile, Patriotas Boyaca, in their last 5 away matches, have scored in only 40% of cases, highlighting a weak offensive potential when playing away.
3. Overall, the statistics of both teams show a low offensive potential, with an average of 0.8 goals scored at home for Jaguares de Cordoba and 1 goal away for Patriotas Boyaca. In most cases, matches involving these two teams end with few goals scored.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Patriotas Boyaca wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Jaguares de Cordoba 1-1 Patriotas Boyaca

1. Jaguares de Cordoba has a stable home performance with an average of 1 goal scored and conceded per match, indicating a tendency towards draws or low-margin victories.
2. Patriotas Boyaca has a slightly weaker away performance with an average of 1 goal scored and 2.4 goals conceded per match. Relying on their relatively weak defense, they are likely to concede at least 1 goal.
3. The statistical prediction gives a higher probability for the “Draw” outcome (18.04%) compared to Patriotas Boyaca’s win (22.68%), pointing towards a close match with a potentially equal score. The option of under 1.5 or 2.5 goals also has a high probability, indicating a low total number of goals and a possible draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Jaguares de Cordoba has only one victory at home in their last 5 Primera A matches. Their attack has scored 5 goals, while their defense has conceded 6 goals.

On the other hand, Patriotas Boyaca has not been convincing on the road recently with only two wins in five matches. They have scored 4 goals and conceded the same.

With an offensive potential of 29%, Jaguares de Cordoba has not been very efficient in front of goal. Their defense has not been better, with a defensive potential of 29%.

Patriotas Boyaca has an offensive potential of 36% away from home, and their defense is lacking with a defensive potential of 86%.

The probability of victory is in favor of Jaguares de Cordoba with odds of 2.05 and a 59.28% chance of success. A draw is less likely with odds of 3.30 and an 18.04% chance.

There is a 75.77% chance of success for the option of over 1.5 goals in the match. The both teams to score option has a 43.3% chance of success.

The last 5 home matches of Jaguares de Cordoba have been quite balanced, with two consecutive draws. Similarly, Patriotas Boyaca has struggled away from home, suffering two heavy defeats.

Based on these statistics, a safe prediction would be a match with under 2.5 goals. Another plausible option would be a win or draw for Jaguares de Cordoba.

The potential number of goals

The Jaguares de Cordoba have a low home win rate of 20%, with an average score of 0.8 goals per match. However, their defense is quite solid, conceding also an average of 0.8 goals.

On the road, the Patriotas Boyaca win 40% of the matches, with an average of one goal per game. Nevertheless, their defensive performances need improvement, conceding on average 2.4 goals.

In head-to-head matchups, the predictions favor the Jaguares with a 59.28% chance of winning compared to 22.68% for the Patriotas. However, a draw appears to be an unlikely option with only an 18.04% chance.

Regarding the number of goals, a high-scoring game is expected with a 75.77% probability for over 1.5 goals.

The probability of both teams scoring is 43.3%.

In conclusion, the Jaguares are the favorites, but their home performances are mixed. The Patriotas have a strong attack but a weak defense. A higher score seems the most likely outcome.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match promises to be strategically interesting. Both Jaguares de Cordoba and Patriotas Boyaca present distinct weaknesses and strengths, suggesting a closely contested match. Past performances indicate that a limited number of goals may be scored. Based on our analysis, it appears that the odds favor Jaguares de Cordoba for the win, although their home record is mixed. Additionally, a bet on under 2.5 goals scored could be wise given the recent trend of both teams scoring relatively few goals. Finally, despite less favorable odds, a bet on a Patriotas Boyaca victory could represent an interesting value bet, due to the team’s ability to score away from home even against tough opponents.