Tipps Jaguares Santa Fe Primera A 29/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Santa Fe Bogota wins the match.

1. Recent favorable statistics: According to the statistics of the last 5 matches, Santa Fe Bogota has shown a better performance away from home compared to Jaguares de Cordoba’s home performances, with a defensive-oriented strategy and also scoring goals on the road.

2. Higher success rate: Probability analysis based on previous matches gives Santa Fe Bogota a higher success rate for this match, at 45.29%.

3. Strong defensive performances: Santa Fe Bogota demonstrates a stronger defensive performance when playing away, conceding only an average of 0.4 goals per match, which could minimize Jaguares de Cordoba’s home advantage.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The statistics show that Jaguares de Cordoba and Santa Fe Bogota have relatively low average goal rates in their last 5 matches, 1.2 and 1.4 goals per match respectively, suggesting a low-scoring match.

2. Furthermore, the defensive potential of each team is relatively high, with Santa Fe Bogota having a defensive potential of 14% and Jaguares de Cordoba with a 50% potential. This suggests a strong likelihood that each team will be able to limit the number of goals scored by the opposing team.

3. By studying previous match trends, it is also clear that total scores have often been below 2.5 goals, further reinforcing this prediction.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics show that both teams have scored at least once in each of their last five matches. Jaguares de Cordoba scored a total of 7 goals in their last 5 home games, while Santa Fe Bogota scored 6 goals in their last 5 away games.

2. The offensive and defensive potential of each team is fairly balanced. At home, Jaguares de Cordoba has an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 50%. Away, Santa Fe Bogota has an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 14%. These statistics suggest that both teams have the ability to score a goal in this match.

3. The odds for “Both teams to score – Yes” have a success probability of 48.82% according to bookmakers, which is relatively high. It is therefore a viable betting option based on the recent performance of both teams in matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Santa Fe Bogota wins the match – 1.36.

Bet on the exact result

Jaguares de Cordoba 1-1 Santa Fe Bogota

1. The recent performances of the two teams show a certain parity, with Jaguares de Cordoba showing a tendency to draw at home (20% of their last 5 matches) and Santa Fe Bogota having an even higher draw rate of 60% in their away games. This indicates that both teams have comparable skills, making a draw plausible.

2. Statistics on goals scored and conceded by both teams demonstrate that they both have a similar record of around 1 goal per match. Jaguares de Cordoba has an average of 1.2 goals per home match, while Santa Fe Bogota has scored an average of 1.4 goals away. This suggests that each team has a good chance of scoring in this match, reinforcing the likelihood of a 1-1 scoreline.

3. The displayed probabilities for the match result and goals are also aligned with a prediction of 1-1. The draw has a success rate of 26.47% and the ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has a success probability of 48.82%. Furthermore, the ‘Over 1.5 goals in the match’ market has a success probability of 72.94%, indicating that it is likely that more than one goal will be scored in this match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Jaguares de Cordoba have shown a good performance at home with a 40% win rate. However, they concede more goals on average per match (1.2 scored, 1.4 conceded).

On the other hand, Santa Fe Bogota has a less convincing away performance with only a 20% win rate. However, they tend to score more (1.4 goals) while conceding fewer goals (0.4).

In terms of odds, Santa Fe Bogota is favored with a 45.29% chance of winning at odds of 2.40. A draw or a Santa Fe Bogota victory is seen as more likely with a probability of 71.76% at 1.36.

Regarding goals, under 3.5 goals in the match is a safe bet with a probability of 100% at 1.22. The prediction also suggests that both teams have similar chances of scoring (48.82% at 1.90).

Jaguares de Cordoba’s recent home results have been somewhat positive, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. Meanwhile, Santa Fe Bogota has had inconsistent away performance, with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss.

In conclusion, this match looks to be closely contested with a slight edge for Santa Fe Bogota despite their away performances. The probabilities suggest a match with under 3.5 goals.

The potential number of goals

The Jaguares de Cordoba has an average performance at home, with a 40% win rate and 7 goals scored in 5 matches. Their defense struggles, having conceded 8 goals. Santa Fe Bogota struggles away from home with a 20% win rate but often secures draws (60%). They have scored 6 goals and conceded 7 in 5 matches. Despite a weak defense, Cordoba scores 1.2 goals per home match. Santa Fe, on the other hand, has a distinct advantage defensively in away matches. According to probabilities, Santa Fe is more likely to win the match with 45.29%. However, a draw or Jaguares’ victory is not out of the question with 54.71%. Statistics suggest a match with fewer than 3.5 goals, with a 100% probability of success. Considering recent encounters, it appears that Cordoba and Santa Fe are capable of scoring, with both teams scoring in 48.82% of cases. In conclusion, this match is shaping up to be close with a slight edge for Santa Fe. A low quantity of goals is expected, as both teams have a good chance of scoring.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Jaguares de Cordoba and Santa Fe Bogota could be much closer than the odds suggest. Recent performances of both teams indicate that a Santa Fe Bogota win is slightly more likely, although their inconsistent away form makes this result uncertain.

Furthermore, statistics show that both teams are capable of scoring and the match should not see more than 3.5 goals. It is therefore wise to place an Over/Under bet with less than 2.5 or 3.5 goals. Thus, the prediction “under 3.5 goals in the match” seems to be a safe bet.

In terms of value bet, “Draw or Santa Fe Bogota to win the match” presents great value and could prove to be fruitful. Lastly, it is important to remember that sports betting carries risks. While statistics can help predict the likely outcome of a match, the final result can still be influenced by many unpredictable factors.