Tipps Jubilo Iwata Consadole Sapporo J1 League 25/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

My prediction is based on all this data and will therefore be: Draw or Jubilo Iwata wins the match.

1. Jubilo Iwata’s home efficiency: With a 40% win rate and 20% draw rate in their last 5 home matches, Jubilo Iwata has shown a fairly strong performance. In comparison, Consadole Sapporo has only won 20% of their away matches and has not had any draws. Their away performances are therefore less convincing.

2. Goals scored/conceded statistics: Jubilo Iwata scored 9 goals and conceded 9 goals in their last 5 home matches. On the other hand, Consadole Sapporo scored 6 goals and conceded 8 goals away. Even though Consadole Sapporo’s offensive potential seems higher (2.8 goals per match on average), Jubilo Iwata has shown a stronger defensive potential with only 2 goals conceded per match on average compared to 2.4 for Consadole Sapporo.

3. Betting probabilities: The calculated probabilities give “Draw or Jubilo Iwata to win” a success probability of 63.16%. This is an acceptable rate and indicates that this prediction is plausible and well-founded.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5”

1. Goals Average: Both teams have a combined average of 4 goals per match in their last 5 games (1.2 for Jubilo Iwata and 2.8 for Consadole Sapporo), which suggests there will be over 2.5 goals during the match.
2. High Offensive Potential: The particularly high offensive potential of Consadole Sapporo (100%) suggests they could score multiple goals during the match.
3. Recent Matches: Many of the recent matches involving both teams have seen a total of over 2.5 goals. For example, Consadole Sapporo’s last four away matches all had over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Both teams have weak defensive statistics: Jubilo Iwata concedes an average of 2 goals per home match, and Consadole Sapporo concedes an average of 2.4 goals per away match. This defensive fragility on both sides increases the likelihood of both teams scoring.

2. Both teams have shown a capacity to score goals in their previous matches, with Jubilo Iwata scoring 9 goals in their last 5 home matches and Consadole Sapporo scoring 6 goals in their last 5 away matches, indicating that they both have a sufficiently potent attack to score in this match.

3. The recent home games of Jubilo Iwata and away games of Consadole Sapporo have also been high-scoring. In particular, each match has seen at least one goal from each team, demonstrating that in similar situations, it is very likely that both teams will score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Jubilo Iwata 2-1 Consadole Sapporo

1. Match history: By analyzing Jubilo Iwata’s recent home matches, they have managed to win twice (including the most recent one where they won 2-1) and score at least one goal in each match. Furthermore, in their last two home matches, Jubilo Iwata has scored exactly two goals, which adds weight to the prediction of 2 goals for this team.

2. Gameplay statistics: Consadole Sapporo, even though they had lesser performances away, have been able to score goals in 60% of their recent matches. This suggests they have a reasonable chance of scoring against Jubilo Iwata, given their previous performances.

3. Opportunities comparison: Statistically, Jubilo Iwata has a slightly higher probability of winning the match (37.72%) compared to Consadole Sapporo (36.84%). Additionally, the most likely odds are that the match will have over 1.5 goals (72.81% probability), which aligns with the prediction of Jubilo Iwata 2-1 Consadole Sapporo.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Jubilo Iwata shows a mixed form at home, with 40% of wins and 20% of draws. A total of nine goals have been scored, but also nine conceded. The offensive potential is at 43% with an average of 1.2 goals per match, while the defensive potential is higher at 71%, averaging 2 goals conceded per match.

On the other hand, Consadole Sapporo struggles away, only gathering 20% of wins. No draws, six goals scored and eight conceded. However, they display a strong offensive potential at 100%, averaging 2.8 goals per match. Their defense shows 86%, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per match.

In terms of predictions, Jubilo Iwata has a probability of 37.72% to win the match with odds of 2.60. Meanwhile, Consadole Sapporo is slightly less favored, with a probability of 36.84% and odds of 2.50. A draw is less likely at 25.44% chance and odds of 3.50.

There is a 72.81% chance for over 1.5 goals in the match, with odds of 1.22. A 49.12% probability gives us over 2.5 goals with odds of 1.68. Furthermore, there is a 55.26% probability of both teams scoring (odds 1.55).

Looking at their recent matches, Jubilo has had a series of mixed results at home. Among these, they defeated Tokyo Verdy 3-0 and Kashima Antlers 2-1. On the other hand, Consadole has lost most of their matches away, like 3-2 against Yokohama F. Marinos or 2-0 against Kyoto Sanga.

In summary, although Jubilo has a slight advantage in terms of probabilities, we can expect a close match with the possibility of several goals.

The potential number of goals

Jubilo Iwata at home has won 40% of the matches and scored 9 goals in 5 games. That’s solid. However, they have also conceded 9 goals and have no clean sheets.

Consadole Sapporo, away from home, only wins 20% of the time. A poor performance. They score fewer goals (6 goals in 5 matches) and concede more (8 goals).

Jubilo Iwata faces their opponents with a 43% offensive rate but a shaky 71% defensive rate. Consadole Sapporo is more balanced (100% offensive, 86% defensive). The offensive/defensive dilemma is interesting.

In terms of betting, there is little difference between Jubilo who wins (37.72% at 2.60) and Consadole (36.84% at 2.50). A draw is also possible with a probability of 25.44% at 3.50.

Regarding goals, there is a likelihood of over 1.5 goals (72.81% probability at 1.22) given the tendency of both teams to score and concede.

Both teams could score during the match, with a probability of 55.26% at 1.55 for this option.

The statistics suggest that the match will be balanced and likely high-scoring. A potential prediction could be over 1.5 goals in total during the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Jubilo Iwata and Consadole Sapporo looks tight and goal-filled. Even though Jubilo Iwata has a slight advantage due to their home performances, Consadole Sapporo boasts significant offensive potential and should not be underestimated. The safest bet appears to be “over 1.5 goals” given the recent history of both teams. However, it’s also worth considering a bet on both teams to score, considering their offensive and defensive performances. Lastly, the bet “draw or Jubilo Iwata to win the match” could also be a smart choice, albeit riskier. In other words, this match promises to be strategically interesting and offers several attractive betting options.