Tipps Jubilo Iwata Nagoya Grampus J1 League 13/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Nagoya Grampus win the match.

1. Nagoya Grampus has shown a strong performance away from home recently, with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches. Even though the win percentages are identical, playing away is usually tougher, making Nagoya Grampus’ performance a solid argument for either a win or a draw.

2. The calculated odds for this match slightly favor Nagoya Grampus and a draw. With a success probability of 35.64% for Nagoya Grampus’ win and 34.04% for a draw, it is more likely to see these two scenarios unfold than a Jubilo Iwata victory (30.32% probability).

3. Analysis of goals scored and conceded: Over the last 5 matches, the average goals scored by Nagoya Grampus (1.2 goals per match) equals that of Jubilo Iwata, however, Nagoya Grampus concedes fewer goals on average (0.6 goals per match compared to 0.8 for Jubilo Iwata). This indicates a stronger defense by Nagoya Grampus and therefore makes a win or draw from their side plausible.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The statistics of the last 5 matches at home for Jubilo Iwata and away for Nagoya Grampus show that they score an average of 1.2 goals per match respectively, which could potentially result in a total of 2.4 goals per match together, which is below 2.5 goals.

2. Both teams have shown solid defense, with Jubilo Iwata conceding an average of 0.8 goals per home match and Nagoya Grampus conceding an average of 0.6 goals per away match, which could limit the total number of goals in the match to less than 2.5.

3. The odds for “Under 2.5 goals in the match” are 1.68, suggesting that bookmakers also believe it is more likely that there will be fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. This could be due to a combination of the previous factors, such as the teams’ past performance and their defensive style of play.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

“Both teams score: Yes”

1. The scoring statistics of both teams indicate a significant number of goals scored at home for Jubilo Iwata and away for Nagoya Grampus, suggesting that each team has the ability to score in this match.

2. By examining the odds, the “Both Teams to Score” has a success probability of 57.45%, which is higher than other betting options, indicating a strong likelihood that both teams will score in the match.

3. The details of both teams’ previous matches show that both teams have scored in several of their games, further supporting the idea that both teams will have the opportunity to score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 1.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Jubilo Iwata 1-2 Nagoya Grampus

1. Recent statistics from Nagoya Grampus show that they have consistently won away matches, with a victory rate of 60% and an average of 1.2 goals scored per match. This gives confidence in their ability to score two goals against Jubilo Iwata.

2. While Jubilo Iwata has a good home performance, with a 60% victory rate, they have also conceded 10 goals in their last 5 home matches, indicating some defensive vulnerability that could be exploited by Nagoya Grampus.

3. The defensive potential of Nagoya Grampus away from home is slightly better than that of Jubilo Iwata at home, at 21% compared to 29%. This suggests that they are capable of limiting Jubilo Iwata to just one goal.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Jubilo Iwata has a strong home performance, beating 60% of their recent opponents. They score an average of 1.2 goals per match while conceding 0.8 goals.

On the other hand, Nagoya Grampus has often dominated on the road by winning 60% of their recent matches. However, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match, they are slightly less strong defensively than Jubilo.

Bookmakers estimate the risk of a draw or a Nagoya victory at about equal chances (34% vs. 35%). The probability of the match ending with over 1.5 goals is high, with odds of 1.36.

Given the balanced nature of the match, it would be wise to bet on a draw or a Nagoya victory (69.68% chance), as Jubilo Iwata’s solid defense could control Nagoya’s attack.

Both teams have a high probability of scoring (57.45%), making the match potentially interesting for bettors.

Conclusion: A tight match is expected, with a leaning towards a draw or a Nagoya victory, where both teams could score.

The potential number of goals

Jubilo Iwata has had a stable performance at home. In the last five matches, they have won 60% of the games with an average of 1.2 goals per match. However, they have also conceded the same number of goals.

On the other hand, Nagoya Grampus performs well away from home. In the last five away matches, they have seen a 60% victory rate. They have scored fewer goals, 7, but have also conceded fewer, 9 goals in total. They have an average of 1.2 goals scored per match and 0.6 goals conceded.

In terms of probabilities, the match is tight. The probability of Jubilo Iwata winning is 30.32% while Nagoya Grampus has a slightly higher chance at 35.64%. A draw should be considered with a 34.04% chance.

The chances of seeing more than 1.5 goals in the match are 72.87%. Conversely, there is a 45.74% chance of seeing more than 2.5 goals in the game. Therefore, it is more likely to see a match with a total of less than 2.5 goals (probability of 84.04%).

Finally, there is a 57.45% probability that both teams will score. This is a point to consider, given the recent offensive and defensive performances of each team.

In conclusion, this match between Jubilo Iwata and Nagoya Grampus is likely to be close with a slight advantage for Nagoya Grampus, but both teams have a chance of scoring.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Jubilo Iwata and Nagoya Grampus promises to be a very closely contested encounter. Although Nagoya Grampus seems to have a slight advantage, the impressive offensive potential of Jubilo Iwata at home also suggests a balanced match where both teams have a strong likelihood of scoring. This possibility is further supported by their respective defensive performances. Additionally, the relatively high likelihood of a draw should not be overlooked.

In terms of betting odds, the most judicious choice would be to bet on a combined score of under 2.5 goals, given the probability of 84.04%, as well as on both teams to score, with a probability of 57.45%. This reflects a consensus forecast of a tight and defensive match, with the possibility of goals from both sides.

As for the exact score, it seems interesting to wager on a 1-2 score in favor of Nagoya Grampus, considering their past performances and goal-scoring statistics.

In summary, a cautious and measured study of the statistics and trends of these two teams can help identify interesting betting opportunities, while keeping in mind that football always holds surprises.