Tipps Jubilo Iwata Sagan Tosu J1 League 11/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Jubilo Iwata wins the match

1. Jubilo Iwata has a higher home win rate (40%) compared to Sagan Tosu’s away win rate (20%), indicating better performance on their home turf.
2. Jubilo Iwata boasts superior offensive and defensive statistics compared to Sagan Tosu, with respective offensive potential of 57% against 50%, and defensive potential of 50% against 50%, suggesting greater efficiency in both areas of play.
3. According to the odds, the probability of Jubilo Iwata winning the match is 48.21% compared to only 17.95% for Sagan Tosu, reflecting increased confidence from bookmakers regarding a victory for Jubilo Iwata.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The offensive and defensive potential of both teams: Jubilo Iwata has a 57% offensive potential at home and Sagan Tosu has a 50% offensive potential away. This means that both teams have a relatively high scoring ability.

2. The average number of goals per match: both teams score and concede an average of 1.4 goals per match, which cumulatively adds up to 2.8 goals per match. This is a higher average than the set threshold of 2.5 goals.

3. The statistical probability: based on the provided statistics, the bet “Over 2.5 goals in the match” has a success probability of 53.85%, making it more likely than its counterpart (Under 2.5 goals in the match).

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent statistics show that both teams have similar offensive and defensive potential, with Jubilo Iwata averaging 1.6 goals per home match and Sagan Tosu 1.4 goals away, indicating their ability to score goals.

2. The success rate for the “Both teams to score” option is quite high at 59.49%, suggesting a strong statistical likelihood that both teams will score in this match.

3. In their respective recent matches, Sagan Tosu has often found success scoring away from home, as has Jubilo Iwata at home. It is likely that these trends will continue in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

Jubilo Iwata 1-1 Sagan Tosu

1. The performance of both teams: Recent matches of Jubilo Iwata and Sagan Tosu have shown a trend towards low scores, with an average of goals scored and conceded per match close to 1.4. This justifies the prediction of a match ending in a 1-1 draw.

2. The draw rate: Statistics show that Jubilo Iwata has a 40% draw rate at home, and Sagan Tosu has a 20% draw rate away. This indicates a relatively high probability of a draw result.

3. The offensive and defensive potential of both teams: Both Jubilo Iwata and Sagan Tosu have similar offensive and defensive potential, suggesting they could neutralize each other during the match, resulting in a 1-1 draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Jubilo Iwata has won 40% of their home matches. They score an average of 1.6 goals and concede 1.4. Recent scores: 1 – 1 against Maruyasu Okazaki and 2 – 0 against Machida Zelvia.

Sagan Tosu, on the other hand, win 20% of their away matches. They typically score and concede around 1.4 goals. They lost 2 – 1 against Shonan Bellmare and drew against Kashiwa Reysol.

Jubilo Iwata has a win probability of 48.21%. Bookmakers offer odds of 1.90 for their victory. Anticipating a draw drops the probability to 33.85% with favorable odds of 3.60. Sagan Tosu is the underdog with a 17.95% probability and odds of 3.75.

In terms of goals, there is an 80.51% chance that the match will have over 1.5 goals. The percentage drops to 53.85% for over 2.5 goals. And if both teams are expected to score, the probability is 59.49%.

In conclusion, the match seems to lean towards Jubilo Iwata but with a significant probability of goals. A win for Jubilo Iwata with over 1.5 goals could be an interesting bet.

The potential number of goals

Jubilo Iwata shows a stable performance at home, with a 40% win rate and 40% draw rate. They have scored a total of 5 goals but also conceded 6 goals. On the other hand, Sagan Tosu is not very strong away from home, with only a 20% win rate and 20% draw rate, scoring a total of 4 goals and conceding 7 goals.

Jubilo Iwata has a home offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 50%, with an average of 1.6 goals scored per match. Sagan Tosu, on the other hand, has a 50% offensive and defensive potential away from home, averaging 1.4 goals scored per match.

The probabilities of success are in favor of Jubilo Iwata with a 48.21% probability of a win. A draw is also a likely possibility with a probability of 33.85%. Sagan Tosu has less chance of winning with only a 17.95% probability.

In terms of goals, it is more likely to have over 1.5 goals in the match with a probability of 80.51%. Furthermore, both teams score in the match with a probability of 59.49%.

Based on these statistics, it appears that Jubilo Iwata is more likely to win the match. However, football is unpredictable and anything can happen during the game.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Taking into account statistical analysis and recent performances of both teams, it appears that Jubilo Iwata could secure victory in this match. However, the possibility of a draw cannot be ruled out given the recent trends of both teams. As for the number of goals, the probabilities lean towards a match with over 1.5 goals, with the possibility of both teams scoring also being significant.

While there are data-driven forecasts available, it is important to remember that football is a sport that can be unpredictable. Past performances do not guarantee future results, and each match is influenced by a multitude of factors. It is therefore essential for bettors to exercise discernment and caution when making decisions regarding sports betting.

Overall, a victory for Jubilo Iwata, a total of over 1.5 goals in the match, and both teams scoring remain the most likely options to consider for this match.