Tipps Junior America de Cali Primera A 28/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Junior Barranquilla wins the match.

1. Junior Barranquilla has a better home win record (60%) compared to America de Cali’s away performance (40%) over the last 5 matches. This gives Junior Barranquilla a competitive advantage.
2. Junior Barranquilla has a higher probability of winning the match, with a success probability of 40.66%, compared to America de Cali’s 29.12% probability. Junior Barranquilla’s win or draw have a combined probability of 70.88%, which is significantly higher than America de Cali’s win or draw (59.34%).
3. Junior Barranquilla has shown better offensive performance at home, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match, than America de Cali away, with an average of 1.4 goals per match. Additionally, Junior Barranquilla’s home defensive performance is more convincing, with an average of 0.8 goals conceded per match, compared to 0.6 for America de Cali away. These differences may also favor Junior Barranquilla or a draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive potential of Junior Barranquilla at home and America de Cali away is 57% and 50% respectively. This means that both teams have shown they are capable of scoring goals, increasing the chances of a match with over 2.5 goals.

2. Looking at the last five home matches of Junior Barranquilla, they have scored a total of 11 goals, averaging over 2 goals per game. Considering the last five away matches of América de Cali, they have scored a total of 5 goals, averaging one goal per game. Both teams have shown a tendency to score goals, adding weight to the prediction of over 2.5 goals in the match.

3. Despite the probability of over 2.5 goals being only 40.66%, the odds offered for this bet are 2.50, suggesting a good return on investment if successful. The numbers indicate that bookmakers also believe there is a reasonable possibility of seeing over 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The history of both teams shows a satisfactory offensive potential: Junior Barranquilla has scored 11 goals in 5 home matches, and America de Cali has scored 5 in 5 away matches. Their respective averages of 1.6 and 1.4 goals per match suggest they are capable of scoring during the game.

2. Additionally, neither team is flawless in defense. Junior Barranquilla has conceded 12 goals in 5 home matches, and America de Cali has conceded 5 goals in 5 away matches. These statistics indicate several weaknesses in their defense that the opposing team could exploit to score.

3. Finally, looking at the odds statistics, the probability of both teams scoring is 54.95%, which is higher than the probability of both teams not scoring (45.05%). This suggests that according to betting experts, there is a strong likelihood that both teams will score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Junior Barranquilla 2-1 America de Cali

1. Junior Barranquilla has an impressive home record, with wins in 60% of their last 5 matches, while having an average offensive potential of 1.6 goals per match and a defensive potential of 0.8. This suggests that they are not only capable of finding the goal but also of defending it, thus increasing their chances of winning the match.

2. America de Cali, despite their moderate success away from home, has shown a tendency to concede goals, with a defensive potential of 0.6 goals per match. This, combined with Junior Barranquilla’s offensive performance at home, supports the prediction of a 2-1 score in favor of Junior Barranquilla.

3. Probability statistics also reinforce this prediction, with a probability of 70.88% for a draw or a victory for Junior Barranquilla, and a probability of 69.78% for a total of over 1.5 goals in the match, which is consistent with a final score of 2-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Junior Barranquilla is in good form at home, with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches, scoring a total of 11 goals. However, they have also conceded 12 goals.

On the other hand, America de Cali has a more moderate record away from home with only a 40% win rate but has scored and conceded the same number of goals, 5 in total.

Looking at offensive potential, Junior Barranquilla has a slight edge with 57% compared to America de Cali’s 50%. In terms of defense, Barranquilla also outperforms Cali with a score of 29% against 21%.

These numbers suggest that the match could potentially lean towards a draw (30.22%) or a victory for Junior Barranquilla (40.66%). The likelihood of the match ending with over 1.5 goals is quite high (69.78%).

Based on past performances, there is a probability of 54.95% that both teams will score during the match.

In summary, the most likely outcome of the match between Junior Barranquilla and America de Cali is either a draw or a victory for Junior Barranquilla with more than 1.5 goals. However, it is important to note that betting always involves an element of chance and these forecasts do not guarantee the exact outcome of the match.

The potential number of goals

In their last 5 home matches, Junior Barranquilla has been victorious with a total of 11 goals scored. However, their defense has been lacking, conceding 12 goals.

In their recent away games, America de Cali has shown a winning capacity in 40% of matches. They have been solid both offensively and defensively, scoring 5 goals and conceding 5.

Junior Barranquilla’s offensive performance is effective at home, averaging 1.6 goals per match. However, their defense remains vulnerable.

On the other hand, America de Cali has displayed a balanced performance in their away matches, averaging 1.4 goals per game.

The probabilities suggest a higher chance of victory for Junior Barranquilla, at 40.66%, compared to a 29.12% chance for America de Cali.

The match seems likely to see some goals, with a probability of over 1.5 goals at 69.78%, and over 2.5 goals at 40.66%.

The likelihood of both teams scoring is 54.95%, indicating a potentially offensive game.

In conclusion, the data suggests that Junior Barranquilla may have the edge due to their strong home offensive performance. However, it is important to note that the odds are relatively close. The game will be decided by the teams’ offensive efficiency and defensive capabilities.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match promises to be full of twists and turns. Indeed, there appears to be a strong potential for a match with over 2.5 goals scored, as both teams have shown an ability to score in their previous matches. In fact, a probability of 40.66% confirms this prediction. Furthermore, with a probability of 54.95%, the chances of both teams scoring are also high.

As for the outcome of the match, although Junior Barranquilla’s home performance is solid, the chances of a draw or a victory for America de Cali cannot be ruled out. A cautious prediction would therefore be to bet on a victory for Junior Barranquilla or a draw. However, punters looking for a higher-risk bet could consider betting on an exact score of 2-1 in favor of Junior Barranquilla.

Ultimately, regardless of the prediction, it is important to always remember that betting remains a game of chance where nothing is guaranteed. The outcome of the match depends on many unpredictable factors that can fluctuate on the day of the match. Therefore, it is always advisable to bet responsibly.