Tipps Junior Botafogo Copa Libertadores 29/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Junior Barranquilla wins the match.

1. Recent statistics for Junior Barranquilla at home show a solid performance, with 40% wins and 20% draws. These figures indicate that Junior Barranquilla is a competitive team on their home turf, thus increasing the likelihood of a win or draw for them.

2. Botafogo RJ has shown some vulnerability on the road, with an average of 1.2 goals scored per match and 0.8 goals conceded, which suggests they might struggle to overcome Junior Barranquilla on their turf.

3. The combined probabilities of a Junior Barranquilla win (35.29%) and a draw (34.22%) add up to 69.52%. This is a significant percentage that highlights the fact that the prediction “Draw or Junior Barranquilla to win the match” has a high likelihood of success.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive and defensive statistics of the two teams: Junior Barranquilla scores an average of 0.8 goals per home match and also concedes an average of 0.8 goals. On the other hand, Botafogo RJ scores an average of 1.2 goals per away match and concedes 0.8 goals. These data indicate a tendency for matches with few goals.

2. Analysis of recent matches: Lately, most of Junior Barranquilla’s home matches and Botafogo RJ’s away matches have had a total of goals lower than 2.5. This once again highlights a weak trend in scoring many goals.

3. Probability data suggests a close match with a slightly higher probability of victory for Junior Barranquilla (35.29%) against Botafogo RJ (30.48%). A close match often translates to a relatively low number of goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Statistically speaking, both teams have recently shown a similar offensive and defensive ability: Junior Barranquilla has scored 7 goals and conceded 8 at home in their last 5 matches, while Botafogo RJ has scored 6 goals and conceded 7 away in their last 5 outings. This suggests that both teams have a certain balance in terms of offense and defense.

2. In the last five home matches of Junior Barranquilla, three of them have seen both teams score. For Botafogo RJ, three of their last five away matches have also seen both teams score. These numbers show that both teams are often involved in matches where both sides find the back of the net.

3. The odds offered for “Both teams to score: Yes” have a success probability of 54.55%, which is slightly higher than 50%. This indicates that bookmakers believe that both teams are more likely to score in this match compared to some others.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Less than 2.5 goals in the match: 1.74

Bet on the exact result

Junior Barranquilla 1-1 Botafogo RJ

1. Recent Performances: Both Junior Barranquilla and Botafogo RJ have balanced performances in terms of wins, draws, and losses in their last 5 matches. Junior Barranquilla has won 2 matches in their last 5 home games, while Botafogo RJ has won 2 matches in their last 5 away games. They have also both had a draw, which aligns with our prediction.
2. Score History: Looking at the recent home results for Junior Barranquilla and away results for Botafogo RJ, we can see that a 1-1 scoreline is common. Junior Barranquilla has had a 1-1 draw in two of their last five home matches, while Botafogo RJ has had the same result in one of their last five away matches.
3. Goal Averages: Both teams have a close average of around 1 goal scored and conceded per match. Junior Barranquilla averages 0.8 goals scored and conceded at home, while Botafogo RJ averages 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded away. These averages suggest a 1-1 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Junior Barranquilla has shown an average performance at home, with a 40% win rate and an average of 0.8 goals scored per match. Their defense seems to be their weak point with 1.6 goals conceded per match.

Botafogo RJ, on the other hand, also has a 40% win rate away from home, but with an average of 1.2 goals scored per match. They have a stronger defense, conceding only 0.8 goals per match.

There is a 35.29% chance for Junior Barranquilla to win, 34.22% probability for a draw, and 30.48% for a Botafogo RJ victory. The ‘Draw or Junior Barranquilla to win’ option offers the best probabilities at 69.52%.

In terms of goals, the forecast suggests a low-scoring match with an 83.96% probability for under 3.5 goals and a 73.26% probability for over 1.5 goals scored in the match. Both teams are likely to score with a 54.55% probability.

Past performances place Junior Barranquilla as slight favorites, but their fragile defense could lead to surprises.

The potential number of goals

Junior Barranquilla has an average performance at home, with 40% of wins and 20% of draws. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 8 goals in their last 5 matches. This gives them an offensive efficiency of 29% and a defensive efficiency of 29%.

On the other hand, Botafogo RJ presents exactly the same figures in terms of wins and draws away from home, scoring 6 goals and conceding 7 goals. Their offensive efficiency is slightly higher, at 43%, while the defensive efficiency is 29%.

The probability of Junior Barranquilla winning the match is 35.29%, while the probability of a draw is 34.22%. Botafogo RJ has a slightly lower winning probability, at 30.48%. The most likely scenario seems to be a draw or a victory for Junior Barranquilla, with a 69.52% probability.

As for goals, there is a 73.26% chance that the match will have more than 1.5 goals, but only a 43.32% chance of having more than 2.5 goals. The chances of both teams scoring are fairly balanced, with a 54.55% probability.

Analyzing the recent matches, Junior Barranquilla seems to have a slight advantage at home, while Botafogo RJ has shown some strength away from home. This could result in a close match with a low final score.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Junior Barranquilla and Botafogo RJ could prove to be an intense and close encounter, reflecting the almost equivalent performances of both teams. The probability slightly favors Junior Barranquilla or a draw with a 69.52% chance.

The prediction of fewer than 2.5 goals in the match seems quite likely considering the teams’ goal averages and defensive form. Posing that both teams will score in this game also presents a probability of 54.55%, slightly higher than 50%.

In terms of value bet, betting on fewer than 2.5 goals in the match could prove interesting given the available statistics. Finally, the predicted exact score indicates a close match with a potential final result of 1-1.

However, it’s important to remember that football matches are unpredictable and despite all the statistical data, the outcome remains uncertain. Therefore, it is advisable to bet with caution and responsibility.