Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Junior Barranquilla wins the match

1. Recent performance: Over the last 5 matches, Junior Barranquilla has a 40% home win rate compared to Envigado FC’s 40% away win rate. However, Barranquilla has drawn in 20% of cases, giving them an edge in potential points.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: Junior Barranquilla has a 43% offensive potential compared to Envigado FC’s 29%. Additionally, Barranquilla has a 50% defensive potential, slightly higher than Envigado FC’s 43% – this could indicate they are less likely to concede goals.

3. Probability indicated by sports betting: According to sports betting odds, Junior Barranquilla has a success rate of 76.19%, nearly 12 times higher than Envigado FC’s success rate of 6.88%. This is a strong argument for anticipating a Junior Barranquilla victory.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. The recent offensive performances of both teams are not particularly strong, with Junior Barranquilla scoring on average 1.2 goals per match and Envigado FC scoring on average 0.8 goals per match, making a total average of 2 goals per match, less than the 2.5 goal threshold for this prediction.

2. The defensive statistics of both teams result in a low number of goals conceded in the last 5 matches, with 1.4 goals per match for Junior Barranquilla and 1.2 for Envigado FC, indicating a trend towards low-scoring matches.

3. The historical trend of both teams in their respective recent matches mostly shows scores below 2.5 goals. For example, 4 of Junior Barranquilla’s last 5 home matches had fewer than 2.5 goals, as did 4 of Envigado FC’s last 5 away matches.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Junior Barranquilla’s home performance: In their last 5 home matches, Junior Barranquilla has often struggled to score with a total of only 5 goals. Additionally, they have managed to keep a clean sheet in two of these matches against La Equidad Bogota and Atletico Nacional, showing that they can be difficult to beat at home.

2. Envigado FC’s away performance: Envigado FC, in their recent away games, has also found it tough to score as they have only scored 4 goals in 5 matches. Moreover, they have managed to not concede a goal against Orsomarso and Deportivo Pasto.

3. The probability percentage of both teams not scoring is 54.5%: This ratio is higher than the one indicating that both teams will score (45.5% probability). This, combined with the recent performances of both teams, suggests that it is more likely that one or both teams will fail to score in their encounter.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match: 1.95

Bet on the exact result

Junior Barranquilla 1-1 Envigado FC

1. Junior Barranquilla has a strong defensive potential at home (50%), indicating that they are likely not to concede more than one goal. Furthermore, Envigado FC has a relatively weak offensive potential away from home (29%), reinforcing the idea that they should not score more than one goal.

2. Envigado FC has a good defensive potential away (43%), suggesting that they will not allow Junior Barranquilla to score more than one goal. Additionally, Junior Barranquilla has only scored one goal per match on average at home in their last 5 matches, which aligns with this.

3. The odds and probability for a draw (16.93% probability, odds of 4.75) and for “under 2.5 goals in the match” (odds of 1.95) support the idea of a low-scoring game. The fact that “both teams to score” has a 45.5% probability also adds weight to a 1-1 prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Junior Barranquilla has performed well at home, winning 2 out of 5 matches. However, they have conceded more goals (6) than they have scored (5). Envigado FC, playing away, has had similar results with 2 victories but a balanced goal record (4 scored, 4 conceded).

Junior Barranquilla, with an offensive potential of 43% and defensive potential of 50%, is more efficient than Envigado FC which has 29% in attack and 43% in defense. Therefore, it is more likely that Junior Barranquilla will win this match with odds of 1.38.

Although both teams tend to score, with a probability of 45.5%, the most likely trend is for both teams not to score (54.5% probability, odds of 1.70), based on recent matches.

The match is more likely to have fewer than 4.5 goals (91.53% probability), with odds of 1.12. Generally, there is a 75.13% probability that the match will have more than 1.5 goals.

In summary, it would be wise to bet on Junior Barranquilla to win with fewer than 4.5 total goals.

The potential number of goals

Junior Barranquilla is showing solid form at home with a 40% win rate. They have recently strengthened their defense, allowing an average of 1.4 goals per match. With an offensive potential of 43%, they have scored 5 goals in their last 5 games.

On the other hand, Envigado FC has an equivalent away performance with a 40% win rate. They maintain a solid defense, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match. Their offensive capability is slightly lacking with a total of 4 goals scored in 5 matches.

Likely prediction: Junior Barranquilla is the favorite with a probability of 76.19%. However, there is also a 16.93% chance of a draw.

Regarding the number of goals, expect over 1.5 goals in the match with a success probability of 75.13%. While the chance of seeing over 2.5 goals is at 55.56%.

Relevant tip: Less than 3.5 goals are likely to be scored during this match with a probability of 71.43%. The strong defense of both teams suggests that they probably won’t both score, with a probability of 54.5%.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

CONCLUSION

Following a detailed analysis of each team, Junior Barranquilla and Envigado FC, it is possible to predict the likely outcome of the match and other important characteristics.

Based on the recent performances and statistics of both teams, it is more probable that Junior Barranquilla will win this match. This is due to several factors such as their stronger home performance compared to Envigado FC’s away record, as well as their superior offensive and defensive potential. The probability reflected by the sports betting odds also confirms this.

Regarding the total number of goals scored during the match, our analysis suggests that it will most likely be under 2.5. Both teams have shown solid defensive performances and struggles in scoring, which reinforces this prediction.

It is also likely that both teams will not score. The probability is higher for a match without both teams scoring, citing Envigado FC’s offensive issues and Junior Barranquilla’s solid defense as key factors.

In summary, to maximize your chances of winning your bet, it would be wise to bet on Junior Barranquilla’s victory, with the match totaling under 2.5 goals, and the likelihood that both teams will probably fail to score.